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Red Sox vs Guardians Picks and Odds (June 26)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Jun 25, 2022 · 11:53 PM PDT

Alex Verdugo
Jun 25, 2022; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Boston Red Sox left fielder Alex Verdugo (99) rounds the bases after hitting a home run during the sixth inning against the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Red Sox are -112 road favorites over the Guardians on Sunday.
  • Lefty Rich Hill (3-4, 4.50) will pitch for Boston against Aaron Civale (2-3, 7.25)
  • A look at the odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction

The red-hot Boston Red Sox will attempt to sweep a three-game series from the host Cleveland Guardians at 1:40 p.m. ET Sunday at Progressive Field.

The Red Sox (41-31/21-15) ran their winning streak to six games Saturday night and improved to 18-4 in June with a 4-2 win over the Guardians. Cleveland (36-31/16-12 home) lost its third straight game.

Red Sox vs Guardians Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Boston Red Sox -112 -1.5 (+138) Over 9 (-122)
Cleveland Guardians -104 +1.5 (-175) Under 9 (+102)

Odds as of June 25th at Barstool Sportsbook.

The Red Sox have a implied win probability of 52.83% as a -112 favorite. Boston has +3000 World Series odds and the Guardians are listed at +6000.


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This game could see a delay as the weather forecast calls for a 50% chance of thunderstorms or showers from 11 a.m.-5 p.m., most cloudy, a high temperature of 86 degrees and west wind at 9-15 mph.

Red Sox vs Guardians Probable Pitchers

Left-hander Rich Hill (3-4, 4.50) is scheduled to start for the Red Sox against Aaron Civale (2-3, 7.25). Both will be pitching on four days of rest.

Hill vs Civale

Rich Hill
Aaron Civale
3-4 Record 2-3
4.50 ERA 7.25
4.12 xERA 5.06
1.27 WHIP 1.47
3.33 SO/W 3.70

Hill is coming off a win Tuesday against the Detroit Tigers at home. He lasted five innings and allowed three runs and seven hits with six strikeouts and two walks.

In 11 career games (four starts) against Cleveland, Hill has a 1-1 record and 4.43 ERA. He has struggled at Progressive Field, posting a 1-2 mark with a 6.35 ERA in 37 games (two starts).

He hasn’t forgotten where he came from, though.

Hill is 2-1 with a 2.67 ERA in seven road games this season. He is 1-2 with a 3.34 ERA in six starts.

Civale had a solid return from the injured list Tuesday after missing a month because of a strained left glute. Though he did not factor in the decision, he gave up two runs on five hits in a no-decision against the Twins in Minnesota while striking out seven and walking one.

This will be Civale’s first career appearances versus the Red Sox.

Civale has a 2-1 record at home in three starts this season and a 2.94 ERA. He is 0-2 with a 9.58 ERA in three daytime starts.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Red Sox Batters Batting Average vs Aaron Civale
Jackie Bradley Jr. .000
Guardians Batters Batting Average vs Rich Hill
Jose Ramirez .500
Amed Rosario .375
Franmil Reyes .333
Austin Hedges .211
Myles Straw .000

Jackie Bradley Jr. is the only Red Sox batter Civale has ever faced and is 0 for 2 off the righty.

Guardians star Jose Ramirez is 4 for 8 with a double and a home run off Hill while Amed Rosario is 3 for 8 with two doubles.

Red Sox vs Guardians Betting Outlook

Alex Verdugo hit a two-run home run and Duran had four hits Saturday night to lead the Red Sox over the Guardians.

Verdugo’s blast came in the sixth inning and put the Red Sox ahead for good at 3-2. He finished 3 for 4.

Duran also stole two bases for the Red Sox and singled in a ninth-inning insurance run. Kevin Plawecki added two hits.

The Guardians’ Jose Ramirez hit a sacrifice fly but his 13-game hitting streak ended. He has +750 American League MVP odds.

The Guardians called up left-hander Tanner Tully from Triple-A Columbus before the game to serve in long relief while optioning right-hander Yohan Ramirez to the same club.

Boston has won six of eight games from Cleveland since the beginning of last season.

Red Sox vs Guardians Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
6/25/22 Guardians Red Sox BOS, 4-2
6/24/22 Guardians Red Sox BOS, 6-3
9/5/21 Red Sox Cleveland CLE, 11-5
9/4/21 Red Sox Cleveland BOS, 4-3
9/3/21 Red Sox Cleveland BOS, 8-5
8/29/21 Cleveland Red Sox CLE, 7-5
8/28/21 Cleveland Red Sox BOS, 5-3
8/27/21 Cleveland Red Sox BOS, 4-3
8/14/19 Cleveland Red Sox BOS, 5-1
8/13/19 Cleveland Red Sox BOS, 7-6

Red Sox vs Guardians Prediction

Civale has struggled this season, but he had a good first outing following his IL stint. Look for him to build on that and help the Guardians avoid a sweep even if his record in day games provides pause for some concern.

Pick: Guardians -104 ML



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