Upcoming Match-ups

Red Sox vs Yankees Odds, Lines, and Spread – July 31

New York Yankees
Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees were 14-5 versus the Boston Red Sox in 2019. Photo by Arturo Pardavila III (Flickr).
  • The New York Yankees are -222 favorites over the Boston Red Sox in a game that features a total of 10.5
  • Ryan Weber (0-1, 14.73 ERA) will start for Boston, while New York will counter with Jordan Montgomery (0-0, 0.00 ERA)
  • Read below for a preview and betting prediction for the game

The first installment of baseball’s greatest rivalry will take place Friday at 7:05 pm EST in the Bronx. The Boston Red Sox, who enter play with a below .500 record, will face the AL East favorite New York Yankees, who look primed to make a run at the title.

Red Sox vs Yankees Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total at BetMGM
Boston Red Sox +195 +1.5 (-105) Over 10.5 (-110)
New York Yankees -222 -1.5 (-115) Under 10.5 (-110)

Odds taken July 30th.

New York opened as a -222 favorite in the Red Sox vs Yankees odds for good reason. They were 14-5 against their arch nemesis last year and are tied with the Los Angeles Dodgers for the shortest World Series odds. Boston meanwhile, came into Thursday’s action with the fourth worst team ERA in all of baseball.

Desperate Times in Red Sox Land

The Red Sox will turn to 29-year-old Ryan Weber versus the AL’s most dangerous lineup. Weber, who is somehow Boston’s fourth starter, has been used primarily as a reliever before this season, and has just 12 career starts on his resume. One of those outings came last week versus Baltimore and it was not pretty.

He allowed six runs in just 3.2 innings, walking three and failing to record a strikeout. Four of those runs came via the long ball and that doesn’t bode well against the Bronx Bombers. New York is favored to lead the Majors in home runs this season and have been heating up recently.

Yankees Career Stats vs Weber

DJ LeMahieu 3 1 0 0 0 .333
Aaron Judge 4 0 0 0 1 .000
Gleybar Torres 2 0 0 0 1 .000
Giancarlo Stanton 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Aaron Hicks 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Luke Voit 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Gary Sanchez 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Gio Urshela 1 0 0 0 0 .000
Miguel Andujar 0 0 0 0 0 .000

Only a handful of Yankees have any at-bats versus Weber, but don’t let that unfamiliarity deter you from backing New York. Baltimore had limited experience versus him as well, and that didn’t stop the O’s from hitting him hard.

Montgomery on the Mend

The last time we saw Yankees starter Jordan Montgomery on a routine basis was back in 2017. That season he made 29 starts for the Yankees, posting a 9-7 record with a respectable 2.9 WAR, and 3.88 ERA. He underwent Tommy John surgery in 2018 and was limited to just two appearances last season.

With Masahiro Tanaka on the injured list, Montgomery will have limited opportunities to impress so a strong outing against Boston is key. He was excellent in his exhibition tune-up versus the Mets, throwing five scoreless innings and striking out six. He’s made three career starts versus the Red Sox, but none since 2017, and this Boston lineup looks far different today than three years ago.

Red Sox Career Stats vs Montgomery

Jose Peraza 2 0 0 0 0 .000
Kevin Pillar 6 1 0 0 1 .167
J.D. Martinez 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Xander Bogaerts 6 2 0 0 1 .333
Christian Vazquez 4 3 1 1 0 .750
Alex Verdugo 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Michael Chavis 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Andrew Benintendi 4 0 0 0 1 .000
Jonathan Arauz 0 0 0 0 0 .000

Stash this away in the it’s way too early to draw conclusions box, but so far in 2020 the Red Sox have fared much better at home offensively. They’re hitting .285 at Fenway Park, compared to only .242 on the road.

Back the Bronx Bombers

The fact that Weber is Boston’s fourth starter tells you everything you need to know about this year’s Red Sox. Their pitching is well below league average on paper, and so far that’s exactly how they’ve looked.

The Yankees on the other hand, don’t have a weak spot in their lineup and are bound to feast on Weber early and often. Montgomery is a  bit of a question mark on the mound, but he looked good enough heading into the season to not deter me from wanting to back New York here.

Pick: New York Yankees -1.5 (-115)

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