Red Sox vs Yankees Odds, Lines, and Spread – July 31
- The New York Yankees are -222 favorites over the Boston Red Sox in a game that features a total of 10.5
- Ryan Weber (0-1, 14.73 ERA) will start for Boston, while New York will counter with Jordan Montgomery (0-0, 0.00 ERA)
- Read below for a preview and betting prediction for the game
The first installment of baseball’s greatest rivalry will take place Friday at 7:05 pm EST in the Bronx. The Boston Red Sox, who enter play with a below .500 record, will face the AL East favorite New York Yankees, who look primed to make a run at the title.
Red Sox vs Yankees Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total at BetMGM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox | +195 | +1.5 (-105) | Over 10.5 (-110) |
| New York Yankees | -222 | -1.5 (-115) | Under 10.5 (-110) |
Odds taken July 30th.
New York opened as a -222 favorite in the Red Sox vs Yankees odds for good reason. They were 14-5 against their arch nemesis last year and are tied with the Los Angeles Dodgers for the shortest World Series odds. Boston meanwhile, came into Thursday’s action with the fourth worst team ERA in all of baseball.
Desperate Times in Red Sox Land
The Red Sox will turn to 29-year-old Ryan Weber versus the AL’s most dangerous lineup. Weber, who is somehow Boston’s fourth starter, has been used primarily as a reliever before this season, and has just 12 career starts on his resume. One of those outings came last week versus Baltimore and it was not pretty.
Anthony Santander – Baltimore Orioles (1) 2-run
Distance: 401 ft
Exit Velocity: 102.7 mph
Launch Angle: 23° pic.twitter.com/sVYtgHDfoK— MLB Home Runs (@HomeRunVideos) July 26, 2020
He allowed six runs in just 3.2 innings, walking three and failing to record a strikeout. Four of those runs came via the long ball and that doesn’t bode well against the Bronx Bombers. New York is favored to lead the Majors in home runs this season and have been heating up recently.
Yankees Career Stats vs Weber
| Player | AB | H | HR | RBI | K | AVG. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ LeMahieu | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 |
| Aaron Judge | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 |
| Gleybar Torres | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Aaron Hicks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Luke Voit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Gio Urshela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Miguel Andujar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
Only a handful of Yankees have any at-bats versus Weber, but don’t let that unfamiliarity deter you from backing New York. Baltimore had limited experience versus him as well, and that didn’t stop the O’s from hitting him hard.
Montgomery on the Mend
The last time we saw Yankees starter Jordan Montgomery on a routine basis was back in 2017. That season he made 29 starts for the Yankees, posting a 9-7 record with a respectable 2.9 WAR, and 3.88 ERA. He underwent Tommy John surgery in 2018 and was limited to just two appearances last season.
Jordan Montgomery, Filthy Breaking Balls. 😷 pic.twitter.com/uEbHET5SqV
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 19, 2020
With Masahiro Tanaka on the injured list, Montgomery will have limited opportunities to impress so a strong outing against Boston is key. He was excellent in his exhibition tune-up versus the Mets, throwing five scoreless innings and striking out six. He’s made three career starts versus the Red Sox, but none since 2017, and this Boston lineup looks far different today than three years ago.
Red Sox Career Stats vs Montgomery
| Player | AB | H | HR | RBI | K | AVG. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Peraza | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Kevin Pillar | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .167 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Xander Bogaerts | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 |
| Christian Vazquez | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .750 |
| Alex Verdugo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Michael Chavis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 |
| Jonathan Arauz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
Stash this away in the it’s way too early to draw conclusions box, but so far in 2020 the Red Sox have fared much better at home offensively. They’re hitting .285 at Fenway Park, compared to only .242 on the road.
Back the Bronx Bombers
The fact that Weber is Boston’s fourth starter tells you everything you need to know about this year’s Red Sox. Their pitching is well below league average on paper, and so far that’s exactly how they’ve looked.
Anthony Santander – Baltimore Orioles (1) 2-run
Distance: 401 ft
Exit Velocity: 102.7 mph
Launch Angle: 23° pic.twitter.com/sVYtgHDfoK— MLB Home Runs (@HomeRunVideos) July 26, 2020
The Yankees on the other hand, don’t have a weak spot in their lineup and are bound to feast on Weber early and often. Montgomery is a bit of a question mark on the mound, but he looked good enough heading into the season to not deter me from wanting to back New York here.
Pick: New York Yankees -1.5 (-115)
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
