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Reds vs Cardinals Odds, Lines & Spread (Sep. 17)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Sep 17, 2022 · 5:49 AM PDT

Reds vs Cardinals odds
Sep 16, 2022; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; Cincinnati Reds right fielder Aristides Aquino (44) hits a one run single against the St. Louis Cardinals during the fifth inning at Busch Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports
  • The St Louis Cardinals are -250 home favorites over the Cincinnati Reds in the Reds vs Cardinals Odds for Saturday, September 17
  • The Cardinals are 7-3 SU and 5-5 ATR in the past 10 games against the Reds played at St Louis
  • See the Reds vs Cardinals picks, odds, and best bets, below

The St Louis Cardinals (85-60, 49-26 home) are atop the National League Central, while the Cincinnati Reds (57-87, 28-44 away) are near the bottom of the division. There are 26.5 games separating them in the standings.

However, on the diamond, not as much has separated the Cardinals from the Reds this season.

The Reds are 2-2 straight up in the past four against the Cardinals. In 16 meetings with Cincinnati in 2022, St Louis has emerged the winner 10 times.

Regardless, it’s the first-place Cardinals who are getting the love from the oddsmakers in this games. St Louis is a -250 home favorite. The Cardinals are 86-44 against the runline this season. That’s fourth-best in MLB.

Reds vs Cardinals Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Cincinnati Reds -205 +1.5 (+100) O 8.5 (-105)
St Louis Cardinals +250 -1.5 (-20) U 8.5 (-115)

Odds as of September 17 at Caesars Sportsbook. Get Caesars Sportsbook bonus code.

At moneyline odds of -250, the Cardinals have an implied probability of victory of 71.43% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on St Louis would create a payout of $14.00.

 

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The MLB lineups will be set for the first pitch at Busch Stadium at 1:10 pm ET on Saturday, September 17 in what is the first game of a day-night doubleheader. The weather forecast is calling for mostly sunny skies with 3 mph wind and a temperature of 89 degrees.

MLB betting trends are showing the Cardinals with a betting line of +900 to win the NL flag in the MLB pennant odds. In the World Series odds,  the Cardinals are at +2000.

Reds vs Cardinals Probable Pitchers

After a 1-10 start to the season, Reds left-hander Mike Minor has won three of his last four decisions. All three wins have come on the road. Minor is 4-3 away this season, and 0-8 at home.

The lefty is in the bottom 4% of MLB pitchers in wOBA (.380). He’s tied for eighth in the NL in home runs allowed (23).

Against the Cardinals this season Minor is 0-1 with a 7.27 ERA in two starts. Over his career, he’s 2-5 with a 6.12 ERA in 11 appearances, including nine starts. He’s 1-2 with a 6.11 ERA at Busch Stadium.

Minor vs Hudson Stats

Mike Minor
VS
Dakota Hudson
4-11 Record 7-7
5.78 ERA 4.43
4.55 xERA 5.10
1.58 WHIP 1.42
2.14 SO/W Ratio 1.29

Cardinals right-hander Dakota Hudson rates among the bottom 2% of MLB pitchers in strikeout percentage (13.5). He’s in the bottom 3% in Max EV (116.9) and the bottom 5% in xBA (.277).  Hudson is tied for second in the NL in bases on balls issued (56).

Since August 1, Hudson is 1-3 over nine starts. He was demoted to Triple-A Memphis last week. However, Hudson will be rejoining the Cardinals as the 29th player for today’s twin bill.

In three starts against the Reds this season, he’s 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA. Over 11 career appearances facing Cincinnati, including 10 starts, Hudson is 6-2 with a 3.45 ERA.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Cardinals Batters Batting Average vs Minor Reds Batters Batting Average vs Hudson
Nolan Arenado .333 Kyle Farmer .375
Paul DeJong .250 Jake Fraley .667
Corey Dickerson .250 TJ Friedl .400
Paul Goldschmidt .600 Jonathan India 1.000
Tyler O’Neill .600 Alejo Lopez .667
Albert Pujols .261 Matt Reynolds .667

Paul Goldschmidt of the Cardinals, the odds-on -2200 chalk for the NL in the MLB MVP odds, is 9-for-15 (.600) with three homers and five RBI when batting against Minor. Nolan Arenado, the +3500 second betting choice in the NL MVP betting market, is 5-for-15 (.333) with two homers and five RBI. Tyler O’Neill is 6-for-10 (.600) with three homers and five RBI.

Cincinnati’s Jonathan India is 2-for-2 (1.000) when facing Hudson. Jake Fraley, Matt Reynolds and Alejo Lopez are all 2-for-3 (.667). TJ Friedl is 2-for-5 (.400) with two RBI. Austin Romine has a home and two RBI.

Reds vs Cardinals Prediction

Hudson has allowed 11 earned runs over his past 16 MLB innings for a 6.19 ERA. There’s been an average of 13.5 runs scored over his past four starts. Minor’s last four trips to the mound have seen 9.8 runs per game cross the plate. He’s allowed 22 earned runs through his past six starts.

This game is screaming for an over wager.

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Pick: Over 8.5 (-105)

 

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