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Reds vs Yankees Odds, Lines & Spread (July 12)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Jul 11, 2022 · 5:12 PM PDT

Gerrit Cole walking off the mound
Jul 7, 2022; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; New York Yankees starting pitcher Gerrit Cole (45) reacts during the third inning against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Yankees are -295 home favorites over the Reds on Tuesday night
  • Rookie Graham Ashcraft (4-2, 4.35) will pitch for Cincinnati against Gerrit Cole (8-2, 3.26)
  • The Reds vs Yankees odds and pitching matchup can be found below with a prediction

The team with the best record in the major leagues meets a team with one of the worst when the New York Yankees host the Cincinnati Reds at 7:05 p.m. ET Tuesday in the opener of a three-game series at Yankee Stadium.

Both teams were off Monday.

The Yankees (61-25, 34-9 home) are coming a four-game series split with the Red Sox over the weekend in which they lost the last two games, including 11-6 on Sunday. The Reds (32-54, 14-26) swept a three-game set from the visiting Tampa Bay Rays, capped by a 10-5 victory Sunday, and are on a four-game winning streak.

Reds vs Yankees Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Cincinnati Reds +245 +1.5 (+115) Over 8 (-115)
New York Yankees -295 -1.5 (-135) Under 8 (-105)

Odds as of July 11st at DraftKings Sportsbook.



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The Yankees have a 74.68% implied win probability as -295 favorites. At +400, the Yankees are co-favorites with the Los Angeles Dodgers in the World Series odds while the Reds are an extreme longshot at +100000.

The weather forecast calls for a 60% chance of showers or thunderstorms with a gametime temperature of 83 degrees and a low of 74, partly cloudy skies and southwest wind at 6-13 mph.

Cincinnati vs New York Yankees Probable Pitchers

Rookie Graham Ashcraft (4-2, 4.35) is scheduled to start for the Reds against All-Star Gerrit Cole (8-2, 3.26). Ashcraft will be pitching on five days of rest and Cole on four.

Ashcraft vs Cole

Graham Ashcraft
Gerrit Cole
4-2 Record 8-2
4.35 ERA 3.26
3.74 xERA 3.20
1.29 WHIP 1.03
3.22 SO/W 4.28

Ashcraft held the National League East-leading New York Mets to two runs in six innings last Wednesday in Cincinnati but did not get a decision. He scattered 10 hits while striking only one and issuing no walks.

This will be Ashcraft’s first career appearance against the Yankees.

Ashcraft has struggled on the road this season with a 1-1 record and 6.98 ERA in four starts. In six starts at night, he is 4-1 with a 3.03 ERA.

Cole was shaky in his last start but was still able to beat the Red Sox last Thursday at Boston. He surrendered five runs on five hits in six innings while striking out seven and walking three.

The Reds have given Cole all kinds of problems throughout his career. He is just 1-8 against them with a 4.68 ERA in 13 starts.

Cole, who has American League Cy Young odds of +850, is 3-2 with a 2.31 ERA in eight starts in the Bronx this season. He has a 6-1 record at night and a 3.98 ERA in 11 starts.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Reds Batters Batting Average vs Gerrit Cole
Tommy Pham .417
Brandon Drury .250
Joey Votto .208
Mike Moustakas .000
Tyler Naquin .000
Albert Almora Jr. .000
Donovan Solano .000
Nick Senzel .000

The Reds’ Tommy Pham has a .417 lifetime batting average against Cole, going 10 for 24 with two doubles and a home run. Mike Moustakas is hitless in seven at-bats and Tyler Naquin is 0 for 5 with four strikeouts.

Reds vs Yankees Betting Outlook

Moustakas, Tyler Stephenson and Jonathan India each hit two-run home runs in the third inning Sunday to lead the Reds over the Rays. Moustakas’ homer was the 20tth of his career.

Stephenson and Donovan Solano each had three of the Reds’ 14 hits. Pham and Mark Reynolds added two apiece.

First baseman Joey Votto missed his seventh consecutive game with back stiffness and is considered day-to-day.

The Yankees got early homers from Giancarlo Stanton and Matt Carpenter on Sunday in building a 6-2 lead over the Red Sox after three innings. Boston then scored the game’s last nine runs.

Stanton and Carpenter each had two hits for the Yankees as did DJ LeMahieu and Jose Trevino.

The teams last met in 2017 with the Yankees winning three of four games, including two in New York. The Yankees are 9-4 against the Reds since 2011.

CIN vs NYY Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
7/26/17 Yankees Reds NYY, 9-5
7/25/17 Yankees Reds NYY, 4-2
5/9/17 Reds Yankees CIN, 5-3
5/8/17 Reds Yankees NYY, 10-4
7/20/14 Yankees Reds NYY, 3-2
7/19/14 Yankees Reds NYY, 7-1
7/18 Yankees Reds NYY, 4-3
5/20/12 Yankees Reds CIN, 5-2
5/19/12 Yankees Reds CIN, 6-5
5/18/12 Yankees Reds NYY, 4-0

Reds vs Yankees Prediction

Cole’s 1-8 record against the Reds is alarming but that came primarily against much better Cincinnati lineups when he pitched for the Pittsburgh Pirates. Ashcraft has looked good at times but it’s hard to buck Cole at home.

Pick: Yankees ML (-295) 

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