Twins vs Dodgers Predictions, Odds, Starting Pitchers & Lineups (May 17)
- The Dodgers are -145 home favorites over the Twins on Wednesday
- Sonny Gray (4-0, 1.39) will pitch for the Twins against the Dodgers’ Dustin May (4-1, 2.68)
- A look at the Twins vs Dodgers predictions and odds can be found below
The Minnesota Twins and Los Angeles Dodgers play the rubber game of their three-game series at 3:10 p.m. ET Wednesday at Dodger Stadium.
The Twins (24-19, 10-11 road) beat the Dodgers 5-1 on Tuesday night for their third win in the last four games and fifth in their last seven. The Dodgers (27-16, 16-7 home) had their six-game winning streak end.
Twins vs Dodgers Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins | +125 | +1.5 (-155) | Over 8.5 (-115) |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | -145 | -1.5 (+135) | Under 8.5 (-105) |
The Dodgers are -145 favorites over the Twins on Wednesday in the MLB odds, giving them a 59.18% implied win probability. Los Angeles has +550 World Series championship odds and Minnesota is listed at +1800.
A high of 79 is forecast with mostly sunny skies and wind from the southwest 5-10 with gusts up to 15.
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Twins vs Dodgers Probable Pitchers
Sonny Gray (4-0, 1.39) is expected to pitch for the Twins against Dustin May (4-1, 2.68). Both will be working on four days of rest.
Gray vs May
| 4-0 | Record | 4-1 |
| 1.39 | ERA | 2.68 |
| 2.91 | xERA | 3.38 |
| 1.08 | WHIP | 0.94 |
| 3.50 | SO/W | 2.00 |
Gray had a no-decision against the Chicago Cubs last Friday at home. He allowed only one run on four hits in 5.1 innings while striking out nine and walking one.
This will be Gray’s sixth career start against the Dodgers. He has a 1-3 record and a 3.16 ERA.
The Twins are 5-3 when Gray pitches and he has logged three quality starts. On the road this season, Gray is 1-0 with a 2.40 ERA in three starts. He has been lights out on the road with a 3-0 record and 0.78 ERA in four outings.
May is 3-0 with a 2.35 ERA in his last four starts, though he had a no-decision last Friday against the visiting San Diego Padres. He pitched 6.2 innings and gave up two runs, five hits and one walk while striking out three.
Dustin May was one strike away from pitching 7 shutty and was pissed after giving up the 2-run double to Kim.
May holds himself to an ace standard and wants to be great. Dodgers have a budding star in May.
— Doug McKain (@DMAC_LA) May 13, 2023
This will be May’s first career appearance versus the Twins.
May has made only one start in the day this season, beating the San Francisco Giants on April 11 when he surrendered two runs in 5.1 innings. He is 1-0 with a 3.33 ERA in four starts at Dodger Stadium.
May, whose NL Cy Young odds are +1000, has recorded quality starts in half of his eight outings. The Dodgers are 5-3 in those games.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Twins Batters | Batting Average vs Dustin May |
|---|---|
| Carlos Correa | 1.000 |
| Joey Gallo | .000 |
| Michael A. Taylor | .000 |
| Dodgers Batters | Batting Average vs Sonny Gray |
| David Peralta | .500 |
| Trayce Thompson | .500 |
| J.D. Martinez | .400 |
| Freddie Freeman | .333 |
| Will Smith | .333 |
| Miguel Rojas | .250 |
| Chris Taylor | .182 |
| Mookie Betts | .148 |
| Jason Heyward | .125 |
| Max Muncy | .100 |
| Austin Barnes | .000 |
Only three Twins have ever faced May and shortstop Carlos Correa is 1 for 1 with a walk. Dodgers designated hitter J.D. Martinez is 4 for 10 with a double and a home run off Gray while Mookie Betts is just 4 for 27 (.148) with three doubles.
Twins vs Dodgers Betting Outlook
Kyle Farmer hit a two-run home run and drove in three runs to lead the Twins over the Dodgers on Tuesday nighyt. His homer in the ninth inning put the game out of reach.
Farmer extended his hitting streak to nine games.
Farmer’s Insurance pic.twitter.com/zPq4P7OrLt
— Minnesota Twins (@Twins) May 17, 2023
The Twins also got two hits and two stolen bases each from Byron Buxton and Willi Castro. Donovan Solano and Joey Gallo added two hits apiece.
Freddie Freeman had two hits and drove in the Dodgers’ only run. Freeman’s NL MVP odds are +3000.
The Twins placed reliever Jorge Alcala on the injured list before the game with a right forearm extensor muscle strain. Right-hander Jose DeLeon was called up from Triple-A St. Paul.
Twins vs Dodgers Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5/16/23 | Dodgers | Twins | MIN, 5-1 |
| 5/15/23 | Dodgers | Twins | LAD, 9-8 |
| 8/10/22 | Dodgers | Twins | LAD, 8-5 |
| 8/9/22 | Dodgers | Twins | LAD, 10-3 |
| 4/13/22 | Twins | Dodgers | LAD, 7-0 |
| 4/12/22 | Twins | Dodgers | LAD, 7-2 |
| 7/26/17 | Dodgers | Twins | LAD, 6-5 |
| 7/25/17 | Dodgers | Twins | LAD, 6-2 |
| 7/24/17 | Dodgers | Twins | LAD, 6-4 |
| 5/1/14 (2) | Twins | Dodgers | LAD, 4-3 |
The Dodgers had been 11-0 against the Twins since 2014 before Minnesota won Tuesday night.
Twins vs Dodgers Prediction
In an intriguing pitching matchup, let’s ride with May and the Dodgers to get back on the winning track after Tuesday’s stumble.
Pick: Dodgers -145 ML
Season Record: 18-7 (+9.4 units) ML; 2-2 (0.0 units) RL; 2-1 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 22-9 (+10.4 units) overall
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John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
