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Yankees vs Orioles Picks, Odds & Runline (April 9)

George Nassios

by George Nassios in MLB Baseball

Updated Apr 9, 2023 · 12:32 AM PDT

Yankees starting pitcher Nestor Cortes. Yankees vs Orioles
Apr 3, 2023; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees starting pitcher Nestor Cortes (65) pitches against the Philadelphia Phillies during the second inning at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Yankees conclude a 3-game set against the Orioles on Sunday, April 9th
  • The Yanks are -163 moneyline favorites to take the finale
  • Check out the Yankees vs Orioles odds, plus our best bet and prediction below

After splitting two games, the rubber match between the Yankees (5-3, 1-1 away) and Orioles (4-4, 1-1 home) takes place on Sunday, April 9th at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm ET in a game you can see on MASN as well as YES Network.

The Yankees send funky throwing lefthander Nestor Cortes to the hill, while the Orioles counter with little-known Tyler Wells who threw five sparkling innings in relief in his season debut.

Below, you can find the Yankees vs Orioles odds for this matchup. We will break down the pitching matchup as well as some trends for these two sides before offering up our best bet and pick.

Yankees vs Orioles Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
New York Yankees -163 -1.5 (-103 O 8 (-117)
Baltimore Orioles +118 +1.5 (-133) U 8 (-117)

It was a tidy 4-1 win for the Yankees in Saturday night’s action between these two. While Baltimore was much improved last season, they still aren’t expected to compete at the Bronx Bombers’ level just yet.

Sending one of their best pitchers to the hill in Cortes, the Yankees are -163 moneyline favorites in a game that features a total of 8 runs. New York has gone under the betting total five of eight times so far this year.

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Odds as of April 8th at Caesars Sportsbook.

New York vs Baltimore Probable Pitchers

The Baltimore Orioles will not be happy to see Nasty Nestor on the hill. The southpaw owned the O’s last year, going 2-0 in three starts against Baltimore and not allowing a single run in 18 1/3 innings pitched. It’s no wonder the O’s are home underdogs in the MLB odds.

To further illustrate how untouchable he was against the Orioles’ hitters, Cortes had 31 strikeouts in those contests. That’s an incredible ratio of 15.2 strikeouts per 9 innings. Those Baltimore hitters better be studying a lot of tape in the hopes of at least putting up a single run against Cortes Sunday afternoon.

Cortes vs Wells 2022 Stats

Nestor Cortes
VS
Tyler Wells
12-4 Record 7-7
2.44 ERA 4.25
0.92 WHIP 1.14
.189 OBA .231
4.29 SO/W Ratio 2.71

On the other side, the O’s counter with Wells, who is in just his second major league season as a starter. Last year, he put up a respectable 7-7 record with a 4.25 ERA in 23 starts.

Baltimore is anxious to see if he can build off his first appearance, where the towering righty threw five scoreless innings in relief. Orioles righthander Kyle Bradish departed with a bruised foot early in the 2nd inning against the Rangers on Monday, but Wells came in and more than did his job. He didn’t allow a single walk or hit.

Standing 6’8, the Baltimore starter can use his height to intimidate the guys who he stares at in the batter’s box, but good luck throwing fear into this Yankees lineup.

Stanton Pulling Aaron Judge Impression In Early Going

Last season belonged to Aaron Judge. The Yankees outfielder hit 62 homers, topping Roger Maris by one for the most all-time by a player not associated with performance-enhancing drugs. It’s the most any player has hit since current teammate, Giancarlo Stanton crushed 59 bombs for the Marlins in 2017.

While it’s still very early, it’s Stanton who is leading the Yankees home run derby so far this season with three jacks, including a solo shot on Saturday night against Baltimore. Injuries have forced the slugger to miss a ton of games in his first five years with New York. If Stanton can stay healthy, he may surpass 40 homers for the first time in a Yankee uniform and make them stronger contenders in the odds to win the World Series.

Yankees vs Orioles Pick

After going 24-35 to start the season last year, it looked like Baltimore was going to finish well below .500 for the 6th year in a row. However, aided by an injection of youth including budding superstar catcher Adley Rutschman, the Birds turned things around in a big way, finishing 59-44 the rest of the way.

They’re still not getting much love from the sportsbooks, owning the longest division odds in an ultra-competitive AL East, but they definitely shouldn’t be taken for granted.

Having said that, this is the Yankees’ game to lose. Cortes dominated Baltimore last year and until we see them touch him up a bit, it makes no sense to bet against the Yankees. Take the Bronx Bombers with the 1.5-run advantage to leave Camden Yards with Baltimore knowing who still runs the division.

Pick: New York Yankees -1.5 (-103)

 

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