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UFC Fight Night: Gane vs Tuivasa Odds, Lines & Picks

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in Mixed Martial Arts News

Aug 30, 2022 · 7:36 PM PDT

Francis Ngannou punching Ciryl Gane
Jan 22, 2022; Anaheim, California, USA; Francis Ngannou (red gloves) competes against Ciryl Gane (blue gloves) during UFC 270 at Honda Center. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
  • Top heavyweight contenders clash, as Ciryl Gane battles Tai Tuivasa in the main event at UFC Paris
  • Former UFC middleweight champion Robert Whittaker takes on Marvin Vettori in the co-main event of the evening
  • Read on for all the odds and trends ahead of UFC Fight Night Paris on Saturday afternoon at Accor Arena

Ciryl Gane looks to rebound from his recent failed bid for the undisputed UFC heavyweight title when he takes on hard hitting Australian Tai Tuivasa in the main event at UFC Fight Night Paris on Saturday September 3. The co-main event features a clash of highly ranked middleweights, as former champion Robert Whittaker tangles with Marvin Vettori.

Fight fans should prepare for an early start, with prelim action is scheduled to get underway at 12:00pm ET on Saturday afternoon at Accor Arena in Paris, France. The main card follows at 3:00pm ET, with all the action available on ESPN+.

UFC Fight Night Paris Odds

Fighter Odds
Ciryl Gane -560
Tai Tuivasa +410
Fighter Odds
Robert Whittaker -245
Marvin Vettori +190
Fighter Odds
Alessio Di Chirico -112
Roman Kopylov -112
Fighter Odds
William Gomis -215
Jarno Errens +170
Fighter Odds
Nasrat Haqparast -230
John Makdessi +180
Fighter Odds
Nassourdine Imavov -275
Joaquin Buckley +210
Fighter Odds
Charles Jourdain -143
Nathaniel Wood +116
Fighter Odds
Allin Perez +250
Stephanie Eggar -335
Fighter Odds
Benoit Saint-Denis -278
Gabriel Miranda +215
Fighter Odds
Dustin Stoltzfus +205
Abusupiyan Magomedov -265
Fighter Odds
Khalid Taha -132
Cristian Quinonez +107
Fighter Odds
Fares Ziam +160
Michal Figlak -200

Odds at Barstool Sportsbook as of August 30, 2022.


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Gane vs Tuivasa Odds, Prediction & Best Bet

Gane remains the top-ranked contender in the UFC heavyweight rankings despite coming up short in his recent clash with reigning champion Francis Ngannou in his last outing at UFC 270.

Tuivasa has rediscovered his devastating punching power during a five-fight win streak that has vaulted him to No. 3 in the UFC heavyweight rankings.

Gane vs Tuivasa Stats

32 Age 29
6′ 5″ Height 6′ 2″
81 inches Reach 75 inches
10-1-0, (7) Pro MMA Record (finishes) 14-3-0, (13)
#1 UFC Heavyweight Ranking #3

Gane’s recent heartbreaking loss to  Ngannou marked the first defeat of his pro MMA career. The 31-year-old Frenchman used his impressive 80-inch reach to outstrike the champion by a wide 63-43 margin in their UFC 270 matchup. Indeed, he enjoyed a clear edge early on in the contest until Ngannou took control with four takedowns and over eight minutes of control time.

“Bon Gamin’s” clash with Ngannou marked the first time he has been taken down in eight UFC fights, and put an end to a seven-win fight streak that was the second-longest in UFC heavyweight history.

Gane has earned a much deserved reputation as a power puncher, and averages 4.83 significant strikes per minute. But despite his struggles on the mat against Ngannou, Bon Gamin is also a formidable grappler, with three wins by submission to his credit.

Gane vs Tuivasa Recent Fights

Francis Ngannou (loss – unanimous decision) Fight 1 Derrick Lewis (win – KO)
Derrick Lewis (win – TKO) Fight 2 Augusto Sakai (win – KO)
Alexander Volkov (win – unanimous decision) Fight 3 Greg Hardy (win – KO)
Jairzinho Rozenstruik (win – unanimous decision) Fight 4 Harry Hunsucker (win – TKO)
Junior dos Santos (win – TKO) Fight 5 Stefan Struve (win – KO)

It was less than three years ago that Tai Tuivasa was fighting to maintain his place in the UFC. The 29-year-old Australian looked to be on his way out after suffering three straight losses. However, that adversity looks to have served him well. Since that slide, “Bam Bam” has been unstoppable, tallying five straight victories, including a trio of first-round knockouts.

Tuivasa has claimed Performance of the Night bonuses in each of his past three outings. In addition, he has knocked out opponents in 13 of his 14 career wins, and ranks eighth all-time among UFC heavyweights with an average of 1.47 knockdowns per 15 minutes.

Bam Bam is not a takedown threat, but compiled over two minutes of control time before ending his recent clash with Derrick Lewis with a second-round TKO on punches.

Pick: Gane by finish (-150)

Whittaker vs Vettori Odds and Pick

Robert Whittaker heads back to the drawing board after failing to regain the UFC middleweight title in his recent rematch with Israel Adesanya at UFC 271. With the exception of two losses to the Last Stylebender, Whittaker has been a force in the 185-pound division, claiming victory in all of the other 10 bouts he has fought as a middleweight, including seven victories by decision.

Despite a lengthy track record of fights going the distance, Whittaker’s punching prowess should not be underestimated. “The Reaper” ranks third all-time among UFC middleweights with 884 significant strikes landed, and has recorded knockdown in two of his past four fights.

Whittaker vs Vettori Recent Fights

Israel Adesanya (loss – unanimous decision) Fight 1 Paulo Costa (win – unanimous decision)
Kelvin Gastelum (win – unanimous decision) Fight 2 Israel Adesanya (loss – unanimous decision)
Jared Cannonier (win – unanimous decision) Fight 3 Kevin Holland (win – unanimous decision)
Darren Till (win – unanimous decision) Fight 4 Jack Hermansson (win – unanimous decision)
Israel Adesanya (loss – KO) Fight 5 Karl Roberson (win – submission)

Marvin Vettori followed up his failed bid for the UFC middleweight strap by outlasting Paulo Costa to claim a five-round unanimous decision in his light heavyweight debut at UFC vegas 41. Overall, the “Italian Dream” has earned the win in six of his past seven outings, with five of those victories coming by unanimous decision.

While Vettori’s recent date with Costa will be best remembered as a slugfest, it is important to not overlook Vettori’s effectiveness on the mat. While he went just 1-for-5 on takedown attempts, he dominated when the action went to the mat, and has nine submission wins to his credit.

Pick: Whittaker by decision (-115)

Other UFC Fight Night Paris Picks

  • Ailin Perez (+250): A winner of two straight, both by knockout, Perez will make her UFC debut in Paris against last-minute replacement Stephanie Eggar, who is coming off a first-round submission loss just three weeks ago.
  • Nathaniel Wood (+116): Wood impressed while claiming a unanimous decision win over Charles Rosa in his featherweight debut at UFC London.
  • Dustin Stoltzfus (+205): Stoltzfus agreed to this fight on short notice, but will face Abus Magomedov, who will be competing for the first time in almost two years.


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