- Top heavyweight contenders clash, as Ciryl Gane battles Tai Tuivasa in the main event at UFC Paris
- Former UFC middleweight champion Robert Whittaker takes on Marvin Vettori in the co-main event of the evening
- Read on for all the odds and trends ahead of UFC Fight Night Paris on Saturday afternoon at Accor Arena
Ciryl Gane looks to rebound from his recent failed bid for the undisputed UFC heavyweight title when he takes on hard hitting Australian Tai Tuivasa in the main event at UFC Fight Night Paris on Saturday September 3. The co-main event features a clash of highly ranked middleweights, as former champion Robert Whittaker tangles with Marvin Vettori.
Fight fans should prepare for an early start, with prelim action is scheduled to get underway at 12:00pm ET on Saturday afternoon at Accor Arena in Paris, France. The main card follows at 3:00pm ET, with all the action available on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night Paris Odds
|Alessio Di Chirico||-112|
Odds at Barstool Sportsbook as of August 30, 2022.
Gane vs Tuivasa Odds, Prediction & Best Bet
Gane remains the top-ranked contender in the UFC heavyweight rankings despite coming up short in his recent clash with reigning champion Francis Ngannou in his last outing at UFC 270.
Tuivasa has rediscovered his devastating punching power during a five-fight win streak that has vaulted him to No. 3 in the UFC heavyweight rankings.
Gane vs Tuivasa Stats
|6′ 5″||Height||6′ 2″|
|81 inches||Reach||75 inches|
|10-1-0, (7)||Pro MMA Record (finishes)||14-3-0, (13)|
|#1||UFC Heavyweight Ranking||#3|
Gane’s recent heartbreaking loss to Ngannou marked the first defeat of his pro MMA career. The 31-year-old Frenchman used his impressive 80-inch reach to outstrike the champion by a wide 63-43 margin in their UFC 270 matchup. Indeed, he enjoyed a clear edge early on in the contest until Ngannou took control with four takedowns and over eight minutes of control time.
January 22, 2022
Gane faces former training partner Francis Ngannou for the Heavyweight Belt.
A bizarre fight that Gane nearly won.
Fight exposed his inexperience in several key moments. Limitations in his grappling are made apparent. pic.twitter.com/xbGkwzadnM
— Ocelot MMA (@Ocelot_MMA) August 30, 2022
“Bon Gamin’s” clash with Ngannou marked the first time he has been taken down in eight UFC fights, and put an end to a seven-win fight streak that was the second-longest in UFC heavyweight history.
— UFC (@ufc) October 26, 2019
Gane has earned a much deserved reputation as a power puncher, and averages 4.83 significant strikes per minute. But despite his struggles on the mat against Ngannou, Bon Gamin is also a formidable grappler, with three wins by submission to his credit.
Gane vs Tuivasa Recent Fights
|Francis Ngannou (loss – unanimous decision)||Fight 1||Derrick Lewis (win – KO)|
|Derrick Lewis (win – TKO)||Fight 2||Augusto Sakai (win – KO)|
|Alexander Volkov (win – unanimous decision)||Fight 3||Greg Hardy (win – KO)|
|Jairzinho Rozenstruik (win – unanimous decision)||Fight 4||Harry Hunsucker (win – TKO)|
|Junior dos Santos (win – TKO)||Fight 5||Stefan Struve (win – KO)|
It was less than three years ago that Tai Tuivasa was fighting to maintain his place in the UFC. The 29-year-old Australian looked to be on his way out after suffering three straight losses. However, that adversity looks to have served him well. Since that slide, “Bam Bam” has been unstoppable, tallying five straight victories, including a trio of first-round knockouts.
Tai Tuivasa snaps the skid!
Bam Bam stops his three-fight losing streak but has nothing but respect for man-mountain Stefan Struve 🤝 pic.twitter.com/EjwXuR3jYV
— UFC on BT Sport (@btsportufc) October 24, 2020
Tuivasa has claimed Performance of the Night bonuses in each of his past three outings. In addition, he has knocked out opponents in 13 of his 14 career wins, and ranks eighth all-time among UFC heavyweights with an average of 1.47 knockdowns per 15 minutes.
— Barstool Sports (@barstoolsports) December 12, 2021
Bam Bam is not a takedown threat, but compiled over two minutes of control time before ending his recent clash with Derrick Lewis with a second-round TKO on punches.
Pick: Gane by finish (-150)
Whittaker vs Vettori Odds and Pick
Robert Whittaker heads back to the drawing board after failing to regain the UFC middleweight title in his recent rematch with Israel Adesanya at UFC 271. With the exception of two losses to the Last Stylebender, Whittaker has been a force in the 185-pound division, claiming victory in all of the other 10 bouts he has fought as a middleweight, including seven victories by decision.
Marvin Vettori hasn’t lost to anybody not named Israel Adesanya since 2016
Robert Whittaker hasn’t lost to anybody besides Adesanya since 2014
Discounting fights against the current MW champ, the record of Vettori is 9-0-1 and Whittaker is 12-0 in those timespans#UFCParis
— Real News MMA (@real_news_mma) August 28, 2022
Despite a lengthy track record of fights going the distance, Whittaker’s punching prowess should not be underestimated. “The Reaper” ranks third all-time among UFC middleweights with 884 significant strikes landed, and has recorded knockdown in two of his past four fights.
Whittaker vs Vettori Recent Fights
|Israel Adesanya (loss – unanimous decision)||Fight 1||Paulo Costa (win – unanimous decision)|
|Kelvin Gastelum (win – unanimous decision)||Fight 2||Israel Adesanya (loss – unanimous decision)|
|Jared Cannonier (win – unanimous decision)||Fight 3||Kevin Holland (win – unanimous decision)|
|Darren Till (win – unanimous decision)||Fight 4||Jack Hermansson (win – unanimous decision)|
|Israel Adesanya (loss – KO)||Fight 5||Karl Roberson (win – submission)|
Marvin Vettori followed up his failed bid for the UFC middleweight strap by outlasting Paulo Costa to claim a five-round unanimous decision in his light heavyweight debut at UFC vegas 41. Overall, the “Italian Dream” has earned the win in six of his past seven outings, with five of those victories coming by unanimous decision.
Some highlights of Paulo Costa in his last fight against Vettori.
A really good showing how to exploit the open stance matchup and great display of body hitting.
Marvin has some insane durability. pic.twitter.com/PZuojXpE6g
— Dom (@Frittenpate) October 26, 2021
While Vettori’s recent date with Costa will be best remembered as a slugfest, it is important to not overlook Vettori’s effectiveness on the mat. While he went just 1-for-5 on takedown attempts, he dominated when the action went to the mat, and has nine submission wins to his credit.
Pick: Whittaker by decision (-115)
Other UFC Fight Night Paris Picks
- Ailin Perez (+250): A winner of two straight, both by knockout, Perez will make her UFC debut in Paris against last-minute replacement Stephanie Eggar, who is coming off a first-round submission loss just three weeks ago.
- Nathaniel Wood (+116): Wood impressed while claiming a unanimous decision win over Charles Rosa in his featherweight debut at UFC London.
- Dustin Stoltzfus (+205): Stoltzfus agreed to this fight on short notice, but will face Abus Magomedov, who will be competing for the first time in almost two years.