Upcoming Match-ups

Bucks Still Favored to Win Series vs Celtics After Losing Game 1

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NBA Basketball

Updated Apr 9, 2020 · 11:09 AM PDT

Giannis Antetokounmpo dunks
Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks are still favored to beat the Boston Celtics, even though the Celtics won Game 1 of their NBA second-round playoff series. Photo by Keith Allison (flickr).
  • The Milwaukee Bucks are still favored to eliminate the Boston Celtics from the NBA Playoffs
  • The Celtics took a 112-90 decision over Milwaukee in Game 1 of their Eastern Conference semifinal
  • The Bucks haven’t reached the Eastern Conference Conference Finals since 2000-01

Do the Boston Celtics have what it takes to make the Milwaukee Bucks stop here?

Sportsbooks still don’t think so. Boston’s solid 112-90 road verdict over the Bucks in Sunday’s opening game of their Eastern Conference semifinal did little to sway the minds of the oddsmakers.

Sportsbooks continue to list the Bucks as favorites to win the best-of-seven series.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics Playoff Series Odds

Team Odds to Win Series
Milwaukee Bucks -129
Boston Celtics +109

Odds taken on 04/29/19.

Milwaukee hasn’t reached the Eastern Conference final since 2000-01, when the Bucks lost a seven-game set to the Philadelphia 76ers.

Celtics Bring It

Boston was certainly an impressive bunch in Game 1. The Celtics shot 54% from the field, while holding the Bucks to a 34.8% shooting performance. Limiting Milwaukee to 90 points is no easy task. The Bucks led the NBA this season, averaging 118.1 points per game.

Scoring 112 on Milwaukee is equally astonishing. Milwaukee was also the NBA’s best regular-season defensive team, limiting opponents to a defensive rating of 104.9. The Bucks also pulled down the most defensive rebounds (40.4) and allowed the fewest points in the paint (42.2) per game of any NBA team.

Freaking Out The Greek Freak

Boston’s dynamic duo of Al Horford and Aron Baynes did a number on Milwaukee MVP candidate Giannis Antetokounmpo, checking him at 22 points via 7-of-21 from the floor.

The Greek Freak was a minus-24 for the game, tying his worst-ever performance in a playoff game. He shot 27% (4-for-15) in the paint, a season low.

YouTube video

Shooting a dismal 13-of-39 from three-point range, the Bucks made it easy for the Celtics to collapse around the hoop and deny Antetokounmpo lanes to drive to the basket. Brook Lopez, so deadly from outside the arc in the first round against Detroit, was 1-for-4 from three-point range. Eric Bledsoe finished with six points.

Milwaukee’s sweep of the Pistons was a team effort. Giannis averaged just 21.3 ppg through the first three games of that series, yet the Bucks won each game handily.

Bucks Won’t Stop Here

At the start of the series, the Bucks were -300 favorites to beat the Celtics. You could get +250 odds on Boston winning this series.

Milwaukee is the fifth team since 1984 to lose Game 1 of a best-of-seven series by more than 20 points. Of the previous four, just the 2017 San Antonio Spurs rallied to win the series. One of the three who lost were the 1985 Bucks.

Regardless, Milwaukee didn’t finish first overall in the East because the Bucks aren’t a talented bunch. Every great player, every championship squad, faces adversity at some point on their journey to the title. This is the first test of the Bucks’ mettle.

The playoffs are about adjustments. Milwaukee lost back-to-back games once all season.

The Bucks won’t do that here, and they won’t lose this series.

Pick: Milwaukee Bucks (-129)

Author Image