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Grizzlies vs Celtics Predictions, Odds & Player Props (Saturday, Dec. 7)

Brady Trettenero

By Brady Trettenero in NBA Basketball

Published:


Memphis Grizzlies guard Ja Morant reacts after a foul call
Dec 5, 2024; Memphis, Tennessee, USA; Memphis Grizzlies guard Ja Morant (12) reacts after a foul call toward an official, resulting in a technical foul, during the fourth quarter against the Sacramento Kings at FedExForum. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-Imagn Images
  • The scorching Celtics host the gritty Grizzlies on Saturday night NBA action
  • Boston enters as 7.5-point home chalk after the line dropped from -8.5
  • Where’s the betting value? Check out our Grizzlies vs Celtics predictions and best bets

The surging Boston Celtics (19-4) welcome the Memphis Grizzlies (15-8) to TD Garden on Saturday night for an anticipated interconference clash. Tip-off is set for 8:00 PM ET.

Memphis is aiming to prove they can win on the road, where they’re a shaky 4-5 straight up this season. On the other hand, Boston rides a three-game win streak and boasts a strong 10-2 home record. Oddsmakers initially pegged Boston as 8.5-point favorites, but early action on Memphis trimmed the line to -7.5.

Can Memphis hang tough as road underdogs, or will Boston’s home-court dominance continue? Let’s break it all down with our best Saturday NBA bets and predictions.

Grizzlies vs Celtics Predictions and Picks

  • Best Bet: Grizzlies +7.5 (-110) at ESPN Bet
  • Lean: Over 237.5 (-115) at ESPN Bet

Why Memphis Can Cover

The Grizz aren’t getting enough credit from the oddsmakers in this spot. Memphis enters scorching hot, winning four of five while covering the spread in seven of their last 10. They’ve been road warriors of late, covering in four of their last five away from FedEx Forum.

Make no mistake, this Memphis squad is legit. The Grizzlies rank 5th in Offensive Rating (114.5) and play at the NBA’s 6th-fastest pace, making them tough to slow down. With Ja Morant, Desmond Bane, and Jaren Jackson Jr. leading the charge, Memphis can score from anywhere.

The Grizz also control the glass, ranking 2nd in rebound rate – a big advantage to have against a Celtics team that ranks just 18th in that same category.

Sure, the Celtics have been a juggernaut, especially at home. But they’re also an abysmal 2-8 ATS over their last 10 and consistently failing to cover these big spreads. Marcus Smart’s return to face his old Boston squad adds a little extra narrative juice to this matchup. I’m expecting a spirited effort from Memphis.

My Best Bet

Give me the Grizz and the points. This is simply too many to lay against a red-hot Memphis club that enters in better form than the Celtics. The Grizz are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 and match up well with their length, athleticism, and rebounding ability.

Boston’s rest advantage is largely negated by the absence of Horford and the fact that key players like Tatum and Brown will likely have their minutes monitored. I’m banking on Memphis rising to the occasion in a playoff-like atmosphere and giving the C’s all they can handle.

The Celtics probably squeak out the W on their home floor, but I trust the Grizzlies to keep it within this generous number. Play Memphis +7.5 and consider a tickle on the moneyline at +240.

  • Pick: Memphis +7.5 (-110) at ESPN Bet

Celtics vs Grizzlies Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Memphis Grizzlies +7.5 (-110) +240 Over 237.5 (-115) at ESPN Bet
Boston Celtics -7.5 (-110) -290 Under 237.5 (-105) at ESPN Bet

Boston comes in as 7.5-point favorites, down from -8.5, signaling sharp bettors took Memphis early. The Grizzlies’ moneyline sits at +240 for a potential upset, while the Celtics are steep -290 favorites.

The over/under is set at a sky-high 237.5 points, hinting at a potential offensive shootout.It’s not hard at all to see why oddsmakers project a shootout. Boston averages 120+ points per game at home, while Memphis has been filling it up with 121 PPG over their last 10 contests.

The over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings between these teams in Boston and 7-1 in Memphis’ last eight games at TD Garden. Unless the Grizzlies’ defense travels better than expected, this one could be a track meet.

Grizzlies vs Celtics Player Props

Here’s a glance at some of our favorite player prop picks for this Saturday night matchup:

Player Points Rebounds Assists Three-Pointers Made
Jayson Tatum (BOS) Over 26.5 (-125) | Under 26.5 (-105) Over 8.5 (-120) | Under 8.5 (-110) Over 5.5 (+120) | Under 5.5 (-154) Over 3.5 (-110) | Under 3.5 (-120)
Ja Morant (MEM) Over 21.5 (-115) | Under 21.5 (-115) Over 4.5 (-142) | Under 4.5 (+110) Over 7.5 (-125) | Under 7.5 (-105) Over 1.5 (+115) | Under 1.5 (-148)
Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM) Over 19.5 (-120) | Under 19.5 (-110) Over 6.5 (+105) | Under 6.5 (-135) N/A Over 1.5 (-135) | Under 1.5 (+105)
Jaylen Brown (BOS) Over 23.5 (-115) | Under 23.5 (-115) Over 5.5 (-120)| Under 5.5 (-110) Over 3.5 (-162) | Under 3.5 (+126) Over 2.5 (-130) | Under 2.5 (+100)

NBA player props from DraftKings Sportsbook on Dec. 7.

These are the player props I’m targeting for Saturday’s matchup:

  • Jaren Jackson Jr. over 19.5 points (-120): JJJ has gotten buckets in bunches lately, scoring 20+ points in five of his last seven games. He could exploit a Boston defense that ranks just 22nd in points allowed to PFs.
  • Jaylen Brown over 2.5 threes (-130): Jaylen has been letting it fly from deep, hitting at least three triples in each of his last three games. He now faces a Memphis squad allowing the ninth-worst three-point percentage on the road (37.9%). Fire away.

 

Brady Trettenero
Brady Trettenero

Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor

Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.

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