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Timberwolves vs Bucks Odds, Spread & Picks

Sam Cox

by Sam Cox in NBA Basketball

Updated Mar 19, 2022 · 6:44 AM PDT

Giannis Antetokounmpo (
Milwaukee Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo (34) brings the ball up during the first quarter of the team's NBA basketball game against the Sacramento Kings in Sacramento, Calif., Wednesday, March 16, 2022. (AP Photo/José Luis Villegas)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves and Milwaukee Bucks matchup in the early tip-off on Saturday, March, 19th
  • Milwaukee is favored by 3.5 points for the game at FanDuel
  • Read below for Timberwolves vs Bucks odds and our betting preview

On a 10-2 run since the All-Star break, the Minnesota Timberwolves are one of the hottest teams in the NBA ahead of their Saturday matchup with the defending champion Milwaukee Bucks. Giannis Antetokounmpo and co are favored by 3.5 for the game at Target Center.

Minnesota won when the teams met back in October, albeit with Brook Lopez and Jrue Holiday sidelined. Owning just a 6-6 record against the spread as home underdogs this season, the Timberwolves are looking for a fourth straight win after a blowout of the Lakers three nights ago.

Timberwolves vs Bucks Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total Points
Minnesota Timberwolves +3.5 (-110) +136 Over 243 (-110)
Milwaukee Bucks -3.5 (-110) -162 Under 243 (-110)

Odds as of Mar 19 at FanDuel

The Bucks are 19-15 against the spread on the road. That improves to 16-8 as an away favorite. They are 8-2 straight up since the break, and have won their last two against the Kings and Jazz.

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Injury Report

The Bucks are without DeAndre’ Bembry for the remainder of the season after tearing both his ACL and MCL. They have a healthy roster other than that, though, with Pat Connaughton (finger) listed as probable.

Minnesota is without Jaden McDaniels after he suffered a high ankle sprain. Naz Reid is questionable because of a back issue and bench guard Jordan McLaughlin is day-to-day. Chris Finch’s frontcourt depth has been hit further with Jarred Vanderbilt only questionable due to a quadriceps problem.

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Anthony Edwards is still on the injury report with a niggling knee problem. He’s played in the last five and is listed as probable.

Milwaukee’s Dominant Offense

The Bucks lead the NBA in offensive rating since All-Star, just ahead of the Timberwolves. Minnesota is fourth in defense over that span, but this is the greatest test a defense can face right now. Milwaukee is getting great production from across the roster — they are pretty much unstoppable when they are knocking down threes at this rate.

Khris Middleton, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis, Grayson Allen and Jevon Carter are all at 41% or better from deep over this span. Serge Ibaka is draining 37.5% of his shots from beyond the arc. Pair that with the MVP-level play of Giannis Antetokounmpo, and the Bucks are a complete juggernaut on offense. Like most teams, Minnesota has to throw bodies at Antetokounmpo, which only opens up more shots for his supporting cast.

The Timberwolves are 24th in threes given up. Only one team concedes corner looks at a higher rate. Just four teams shoot more treys than the Bucks. While the T-Wolves have been a decent defensive team this year, Milwaukee is a difficult matchup for them.

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On the other end, the Bucks have been surprisingly inconsistent, and there are clear signs they are cruising through the regular season. Still, Giannis is a good matchup for Karl-Anthony Towns, and the combination of Holiday and Middleton should be able to slow down D’Angelo Russell and Anthony Edwards.

Timberwolves vs Bucks Prediction

This feels like a statement game for the Bucks. They have cruised through parts of this regular season, but there are real signs of a ramp up over the last couple of weeks, and Lopez’s return adds another dimension for Mike Budenholzer.

As good as the Timberwolves have been of late, they are not the same two-way force as the Bucks. Their defense will not be able to contain this Bucks offense. Minnesota has won just five of 12 as a home underdog this season, while Milwaukee is 17-7 straight up as a road favorite.

Of the reigning champions’ eight wins since the break, only one has been by three or fewer points. Take the Bucks to cover.

Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -3.5 (-110)

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