- Drake (9-0) heads to Indiana State (3-2) on Sunday, Dec. 27, at 1:00 pm ET
- The Bulldogs are one of just three nine-win teams in NCAA Division I, and they’re unbeaten against the spread
- The odds for the game, as well as matchup analysis and a pick, can be found in the article below
Of the 357 teams in NCAA Division I, there are three that have reached the nine-win mark already. Only two of them have done so without taking a loss, and one of those is Drake. The Bulldogs will look to get win No. 10 on Sunday, Dec. 27 at 1:00 pm ET on the road against Indiana State.
Drake is not just unbeaten on its straight up record, but also against the spread. The Sycamores will try to halt that streak as 3.5-point underdogs.
Drake vs Indiana State Odds
|Drake||-174||-3.5 (-115)||Over 142.5 (-110)|
|Indiana State||+146||+3.5 (-105)||Under 142.5 (-110)|
Odds as of Dec. 26th, 2020.
How They’ve Fared So Far
Drake and Indiana State have 12 combined wins, but none have come against top-100 opponents, according to KenPom’s rankings. In fact, they both have just a single top-150 win apiece.
.@_DJWilkins1 when you're 🔥 … you're 🔥
— Drake Basketball (@DrakeBulldogsMB) December 19, 2020
For Drake, that win came against Kansas State in their opener on Nov. 25. The Bulldogs were 4-point underdogs, clearing that spread easily in an 80-70 victory. Since then, they’ve beaten a pair of non-D-I teams and six others ranked outside of KenPom’s top-200.
Indiana State has faced easily the tougher opponents, dropping back-to-back games to Purdue (34th in KenPom) and Saint Louis (29th). The Sycamores weren’t particularly close in those matchups, losing by a combined 31 points — but they did cover against Purdue as 15.5-point underdogs.
Non-Conference: ☑️@ValleyHoops: 🔜
— Sycamore Basketball (@IndStMBB) December 23, 2020
The Sycamores’ top win came against Ball State, 67-57, covering as 3.5-point favorites. It was a sloppy game, featuring 39 total turnovers and just 9-of-38 made threes (23.7 percent). But they came out on the right side of the score and the spread.
Speaking of coming out on the right side of the spread, that’s been Drake’s situation all season long. The Bulldogs are 7-0 against the spread (their two games against non-D-I teams didn’t have odds).
Not only are they winning and covering, they are obliterating the point spread. Six of their seven ATS wins — including five in a row — have come by an ATS margin of 12 points or more. Is it possible for oddsmakers to keep getting it wrong by that much, or might they overcorrect?
11:18 | 2nd
— Drake Basketball (@DrakeBulldogsMB) December 23, 2020
On the other side, Indiana State is 2-2 ATS. All of their ATS margins were under seven points, and they’re coming off a six-point ATS loss as 12-point favorites last time out (versus Southeast Missouri State).
In the past three years, Drake and Indiana State have met six times. Drake has covered the spread in all six. The Bulldogs won five of those games straight up, despite being favorites just three times.
Last year, both games were really tight on the scoreboard and the spread. Drake lost, 58-56, but covered as a four-point underdog. Drake also won, 80-76, covering as a 3.5-point favorite.
Looking at this year, there’s one thing that really stands out about Drake: its ability to shoot from 3-pt. range. The Bulldogs are fifth in D-I in 3-pt. percentage (42.8 percent), which means they’re a threat to score in bunches at any moment.
And although they’ve racked up their wins against fairly weak opponents, you can’t “luck” your way into excellent 3-pt. shooting. So find comfort in Drake’s absurdly strong start, its recent dominance over Indiana State and its ability to score from deep.
Pick: Drake -3.5 (-115)