The Memorial Tournament Picks, Predictions & Odds
By Michael Harrison in Golf
Published:
- The Memorial Tournament from Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio tees off Thursday, June 4th
- Scottie Scheffler is the favorite to win this tournament for the third straight year over Rory McIlroy
- See my 2026 The Memorial Tournament picks, best value bets, and the odds to win the tournament
After Russell Henley won the Charles Schwab Challenge as the +2000 second favorite before the tournament began, the PGA Tour heads to Jack Nicklaus’ championship, the Memorial Tournament. It’s a signature event, and Scottie Scheffler is the two-time defending champion. Virtually all the big names are teeing it up, with Rory McIlroy the second favorite to win the tourney.
It’s being contested at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, and is one of the premier events on the calendar. Last year, the world #1 Scheffler was victorious by four strokes over Ben Griffin. While Scheffler is still playing stellar golf, with three runner-ups, a third and T-14th in his last five times teeing it up, he’s stuck with only one victory in 2026.
The Memorial Tournament Odds (2026)
I’m starting my card this week with Min Woo Lee, who won for the first time on the PGA Tour last year at the Texas Children’s Houston Open. He’s been playing solid, if unspectacular golf the last three times competing, putting together a trio of top-20s. For the season, he’s has three top-10s, including a T-2nd at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
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Last 5 The Memorial Tournament Winners
He’s eighth in strokes gained: off-the-tee, which will be critical for success at this venue. For 2026, the Aussie is also in the top-10 in total strokes gained. The odds for Min Woo Lee to pick off his second title are very reasonable at +3700, which is longer than the top-eleven golfers on the board. That allows you to get him at solid value to claim the biggest tournament win of his career.
The Memorial Tournament 2026 Picks & Value Bets
- Nicolai Hojgaard +5300: It’s only a matter of time before the impressive Dane Nicolai Hojgaard gets on the board with his first W stateside. On the campaign, Hojgaard has picked up a pair of runner-ups and a T-3rd as well. He’s eighth in total strokes game on the main circuit in 2026, and this could be the week he gets in the winners circle.
- J.J. Spaun +5900: The reigning U.S. Open champion has had an up and down season, though it’s come with a trophy at the Valero Texas Open in April. Three tournaments ago he was T-5th at the Truist Championship, and was T-6th at Colonial, finding himself in contention deep on the back nine holes on Sunday.
- Sepp Straka +6600: Sepp Straka has been dynamite at Muirfield Village the last three years, with a top-20 in 2023, a tie for fifth in 2024 and a third place result last year. This season, the big Austrian has a trio of top-10s, including a T-4th just three starts ago at Doral.
- Alex Smalley +8600: There aren’t many golfers playing better than Alex Smalley lately, as he continues to knock on the door for his maiden PGA Tour title. He’s racked up six straight top-20s, including a pair of runner-ups in New Orleans and the PGA Championship, plus was T-3rd at the just completed Charles Schwab Challenge. He’ll be interesting to monitor in the top 5/10/20 markets.
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Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 20 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.
