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Ohio State vs Duke Odds & Picks (Nov. 30)

George Nassios

by George Nassios in College Basketball

Nov 29, 2022 · 5:23 PM PST

Duke Blue Devils center Kyle Filipowski talks to coach Jon Scheyer
Nov 27, 2022; Portland, Oregon, USA; Duke Blue Devils center Kyle Filipowski (30) shakes hand with head coach Jon Scheyer after fouling out of the game during the second half against the Purdue Boilermakers at Moda Center. Purdue won the Phil Knight Legacy Championship game 75-56. Mandatory Credit: Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports
  • Two top 25 teams meet when Ohio State takes on Duke on Wednesday, November 30th
  • Duke is coming off a 19-point loss to Purdue in the Phil Knight tournament championship
  • See the Ohio State vs Duke odds, plus predictions for the game

Jon Scheyer and the Duke Blue Devils (6-2, 4-4 ATS) will look for a bounce-back performance when they host Ohio State (5-1, 3-3 ATS) in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge at Cameron Indoor Stadium on Wednesday, November 30th. The Blue Devils suffered a 19-point loss to Purdue in the Phil Knight Legacy tournament championship game in their last game.

You can bet the Blue Devils are happy to be back from Oregon with the support of the Cameron Crazies behind them. Tip off for the Buckeyes and Duke is scheduled for 7:15 pm ET in a game that will be broadcast on ESPN. Duke tumbled down to 17th in the rankings following the beatdown the Boilermakers gave them,

Ohio State vs Duke Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Ohio State Buckeyes +4.5 (-110) +158 O 138.5 (-110)
Duke Blue Devils -4.5 (-110) -194 U 138.5 (-110)

Odds as of November 29th at FanDuel Sportsbook. Claim the FanDuel Sportsbook promo code.

However, that hasn’t stopped the oddsmakers from installing Duke as 4.5-point home favorites in the college basketball odds when they welcome the Buckeyes to North Carolina on Wednesday. Check out the rest of the Ohio State vs Duke odds below plus our prediction for this game.

 

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Another loss to Ohio State would be cause for concern for Duke, but they are strong -194 favorites on their own court giving them an implied win probability of 65.99% to win this game. The over/under is set at 138.5 points, a number that Duke hasn’t reached with their opponent in their last four contests.

Ohio State Buckeyes Betting Analysis

While Duke’s offense has slowed down in the last half of November, the Buckeyes offense is doing just fine. They’ve scored 80 or more points in their last two games while shooting 49.1% from the field in those contests. According to KenPom, they have the sixth best offensive efficiency in the nation at 115.9, 15 spots higher than Duke.

The over has hit in 23 of the Buckeyes last 32 road games against a team with a winning home record, and the Blue Devils are a perfect 4-0 at home this season. This will be Ohio State’s first official road game, with their previous outings outside of Columbus being neutral site affairs.

The non-conference matchup is a rematch from last year when the Buckeyes knocked off the top ranked Blue Devils 71-66 at home. Duke is looking to return the favor on their home court this season.

For the Buckeyes, forward Brice Sensabaugh leads the team in scoring with 15.8 points per game, although he’s mostly been coming off the bench. The freshman was the only Ohio State player to score in double figures in all three tournament games at the Maui Invitational. Senior forward Justice Sueing had a monster game to finish the tourney scoring 33 points in 31 minutes along with eight rebounds, five assists and two steals against Texas Tech.

Duke Blue Devils Betting Outlook

It’s not looking like putting a bet on Duke in the odds to win March Madness is a good call right about now. They’ve lost both games against top 25 teams so far this year, and the Buckeyes currently check in right at the quarter century mark.

They have yet to taste defeat on their home court though, winning by an average of 31 points in the four games at Cameron Indoor so far this campaign. Needless to say, Ohio State should prove stiffer competition than teams like Bellarmine and Delaware.

Big men Dereck Lively II and Kyle Filipowski failed to contain Purdue 7’4 center Zach Edey in their last contest, allowing the Boilermakers big man to score 21 points and grab 12 boards.

Another concern for Duke is the status of junior guard Jeremy Roach who left that game against Purdue in the first half with a right foot injury. He returned to the game and played 37 minutes, but after scoring 10 points in the first half, he was far less effective in the second half being held to four points.

Ohio State vs Duke Prediction

Being back on home court should breathe some life into this Duke squad, but the Buckeyes are no pushovers like the rest of the teams they’ve faced at home so far this season.

2022-23 KenPom College Basketball Rankings

Team Rank Record Adjusted Offensive Efficiency Adjusted Defensive Efficiency
Ohio State Buckeyes 19th 5-1 115.9 (6th) 95.2 (63rd)
Duke Blue Devils 20th 6-2 112.3 (21st) 91.7 (30th)

The Blue Devils are a horrendous 1-7 against the spread so far this year and actually have a lower current ranking in the KenPom ratings than their opponents from Ohio State.

They’ll need their big men to rebound from their poor effort against Edey and dominate the offensive glass. Their offensive rebounding percentage of 42.3 ranks first amongst Division I teams according to KenPom.

Based on their performances so far and Roach not being completely healthy with his foot injury, it’s tough to trust Duke to come out with a convincing victory in the Wednesday college basketball odds. Pick the Buckeyes to keep it close and cover until Duke proves to the nation they can beat a top 25 outfit.

Pick: Ohio State Buckeyes +4.5 (-110)

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