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Best Lions vs Packers Same-Game Parlay for SNF

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NFL Football

Updated Mar 16, 2023 · 12:29 PM PDT

Aaron Rodgers TD celebration
Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) celebrates scoring a touchdown with tight end Tyler Davis (84) against the Minnesota Vikings in the fourth quarter during their football game Sunday, January 1, 2023, at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis. Dan Powers/USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin Apc Packvsvikes 0101231770djp
  • Our +255 Lions vs Packers same-game parlay picks are live ahead of Sunday Night Football
  • Will Green Bay win and claim the NFC’s last playoff spot? Will the game fall short of 50 points?
  • Check out our Lions vs Packers same-game parlay below for this NFC North showdown

Win and you’re in. It’s as simple as that when it comes to the Packers playoff hopes. Green Bay is in the midst of an improbable run to make it back to the postseason, and they can secure their spot in the dance by beating Detroit at home in the regular season finale on Sunday Night Football.

The majority of bettors are bullish on Aaron Rodgers and Co. according to the Lions vs Packers public betting splits, and it’s easy to see why.

Green Bay enters play fresh off four straight wins and has been nearly unbeatable at home in December and January with Rodgers under center. Our Lions vs Packers same-game parlay is bullish on Green Bay, but bearish on a high-scoring affair and Jared Goff’s arm.

Lions vs Packers Same-Game Parlay

Pick Odds
Green Bay Packers Moneyline -220
Under 49.5 Points -115
Jared Goff Under 274.5 Passing Yards -190
PARLAY ODDS  +255

Odds as of January 8 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings Sportsbook promo code where you can get up to a 100% profit boost on any SGP in Week 18.

This Detroit vs Green Bay same-game parlay features three legs, and pays out +255 odds if it hits. Green Bay is 5-3 at home this season, winning its past two home games by a combined 36 points.

 

 

Green Bay Packers Moneyline

In the Rodgers era, Green Bay is 28-4 straight up at Lambeau Field in December and January regular season games. This will be Rodgers’ final game in front of the Lambeau faithful this season, and perhaps the last one of his career. He won’t go out as a loser. It also helps that his team is playing their best football of the campaign.

Over the past eight weeks, the Packers rank fifth in the NFL on offense in expected points per play. On the other side of the ball, they check in at number five on defense in EPA per play, and have limited four straight opponents to 20 points or less.

Also working in Green Bay’s favor, is the fact that this game may be meaningless for Detroit. If the Seahawks beat the Rams in a game they’re favored by 6 points in, the Lions will be eliminated from the playoffs.

Dan Quinn will have his team ready to play regardless, but we can’t possibly expect the same level of intensity from Detroit if there’s nothing on the line.

Under 49.5 Points

Per the Lions vs Packers picks, Detroit ranks third in the NFL in points per game. However, those numbers are slightly misleading. Goff and Co. average 33.1 points indoors at home, but just 19.2 points on the road. If you remove dome road games from the equation, that number falls to 18.5 points per game.

Nothing about Sunday night’s weather is going to be favorable for offense, as 23 degree temperatures are in the forecast as well as 17 mph wind gusts. Not exactly ideal conditions for Goff, a California kid, to operate in – more on him shortly.

The Lions scored only 15 points against the Packers in their first meeting this season at that was indoors at home. Expect them to struggle offensively, and for Green Bay to sustain long, run heavy drives to bleed the clock dry.

The Packers have been running the ball extremely well over the past month, and that should continue against Detroit’s 27th ranked run defense per DVOA. Consider both Green Bay RB’s as targets in the Lions vs Packers player props.

Primetime unders are 14-1 over the past five weeks, and 35-19-1 this season. As for Sunday Night Football unders, they’re 12-5 so far this season.

Jared Goff Under 274.5 Passing Yards

Back to Goff now, who has severe home/road splits just like the rest of the Detroit offense. Goff averages 274.6 passing yards and 2.5 TD at home, but just 248 yards and 0.8 TD per contest as a visitor. He’s reached 275 passing yards only twice on the road this season, and one of those performance came in a dome.

Green Bay is not a defense you want to target through the air, as Goff found out in their first matchup. To make matters worse for Detroit, the Packers D is completely healthy per the Lions vs Packers injury report.

Jared Goff Stats – Last 5 Road Games

CMP-ATT YDS TD/INT
25-42 355 3/0
23-38 252 1/0
17-26 165 0/0
19-26 236 1/0
21-26 228 0/2

Goff threw for just 136 yards versus Green Bay in Week 9, while the Packers enter play ranked 10th against the pass per DVOA, compared to 31st against the run. Green Bay just picked off Kirk Cousins three times last week, after intercepting Tua Tagovailoa three times on Christmas Day.

 

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