- A series of prop wagers is asking bettors to predict a series a circumstances involving NFL players being arrested
- What crime will law enforcement end up charging an NFL player with next? How many NFLers will be arrested over the summer? Which position will the next arrested NFLer play?
- Analysis, odds and predictions on the outcomes follow in the story below
The NFL is currently in a state of arrested development.
With no football being played, some NFL players are finding that outrunning law enforcement is a lot tougher than cracking a Cover 3 defense.
In the past week, four NFLers – cornerbacks Deandre Baker of the New York Giants and Quinton Dunbar of the Seattle Seahawks, Washington Redskins wide receiver Cody Latimer and Buffalo Bills defensive tackle Ed Oliver – were all arrested.
This rash of run-ins with the law has ended up resulting in a series of prop bet offerings on the arrests of NFL players. One prop asks bettors to correctly assess what offense a player will next be charged with committing?
As well, there’s a total wager on how many players will be arrested between May 27th-September 20th of 2020. Finally, a third prop queries as to whether the next player to be nicked by the police will play on the offensive or defensive side of the ball?
Category of Next NFL Player Arrested After May 27th, 2020
Odds taken May 20th.
If you’re a fan of following trends, take note – the last four arrests of NFL players have all involved gun offenses. In fact, five of the last seven arrests were at least partially gun related.
NFL players seem to like guns a lot, and they tend to take them everywhere. Remember when Plaxico Burress accidentally shot himself in the foot at a nightclub when the gun he was carrying in his belt got dislodged?
Arrest warrants have been issued for Seahawks CB Quinton Dunbar and Giants CB Deandre Baker by Miramar, FL, police on four counts of Armed Robbery with a Firearm; Baker also charged with four counts of Aggravated Assault with a Firearm pic.twitter.com/9DGVfqZFUG
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) May 14, 2020
Driving Under the Influence (DUI) is generally a popular way for athletes to get popped by the cops. Evidently, they’ve never heard of Uber, or are just too proud to admit that the booze got the better of them and they’d be wise to call a cab. However, with the COVID-19 restrictions in place, partying and clubbing isn’t readily accessible to NFLers.
Drug offenses show up four times among 2020 arrests of NFL players. Most recent were the marijuana possession charges laid against Kansas City Chiefs cornerback Bashaud Breeland.
Pick: Gun (+325)
How Many NFL Players Will Be Arrested Between May 27-Sept. 20, 2020?
With four arrests in a week, on the surface it appears that NFL players have an up close and personal relationship with jail cells. However, statistics show this simply isn’t the case.
The University of Texas conducted a study in 2015, covering the years 2000-13. It ended up proving that NFLers are less likely to be thrown in the clink than regular folks. On average, there were 3,740 arrests per 100,000 among NFL players. Among the regular citizenry, the average was 4,889 arrests per 100,000 people.
According to Montgomery County jail records #Bills Ed Oliver was released between 8:00 and 9:00am. Oliver is charged with DWI and unlawfully carrying a weapon.
*photos via Montgomery Co Police Reporter pic.twitter.com/QABAZ5NP0S
— Greg Vorse TV (@GregVorse) May 17, 2020
Through the first 140 days of 2020, 11 NFLers were placed under arrest. That works out to .078 per day. There are 117 days between May 27-Sept. 20.
Based on the current rate, that means 9.126 NFL players should be arrested.
Pick: Over 7.5 (-120)
Position of Next NFL Player Arrested After May 27, 2020
|Offensive Player or Kicker||-120|
|Defensive Player or Punter||-120|
When it comes to NFL players allegedly breaking the law, there’s defensive unrest. Four of the last five players and six of the past eight were defenders. Interestingly, three of them were cornerbacks.
Arrested Lately in 2020:
— Omar N. (@omz007) May 17, 2020
For the entire 2020 calendar year, defense holds a 6-5 edge over offense.
Pick: Defensive Player or Punter (-120)
Let's have fun and keep it civil.