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Bills vs Dolphins Best Player Props to Bet for TNF in Week 2

Eric Rosales

By Eric Rosales in NFL News

Updated: September 18, 2024 at 5:11 am EDT

Published:


Josh Allen leaps over defender
Sep 8, 2024; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) leaps for a touchdown against the Arizona Cardinals in the fourth quarter at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-Imagn Images
  • AFC East rivals clash when the Bills visit the Dolphins on Thursday Night Football
  • Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa and Buffalo pivot Josh Allen have hefty passing-prop totals
  • See all the Bills vs Dolphins player props including passing, rushing, receiving, and TD props for TNF

After each picking up a win to start the season, it’s a short turnaround when the Buffalo Bills clash with the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium Thursday night.

Miami put up the sixth-most yards in Week 1, while Buffalo had the third-highest score, so there should be plenty of fireworks and NFL player props to choose from.

Fins’ pivot Tua Tagovailoa has the higher passer-yards total at 265.5 yards, with Josh Allen in at 244.5.

With both De’Von Achane and Raheem Mostert dinged up heading into Week 2, Buffalo’s James Cook is the only RB with a rushing-yards total on the board.

See the full list of Bills vs Dolphins player props and odds, below, as well as my top picks.

Bills vs Dolphins Player Props

Passer Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Josh Allen (BUF) 21.5 (O -135 | U +105) 244.5 (O -120 | U -110) 1.5 (O +100 | U -130)
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) 21.5 (O -130 | U +100) 265.5 (O -115 | U -115) 1.5 (O -130 | U +100)
Rusher Rushing Attempts Rushing Yards Longest Rush
James Cook (BUF) OFF 61.5 (O -115 | U -115) 13.5 (O -115 | U -115)
Josh Allen (BUF) OFF 37.5 (O -110 | U -120) OFF
Receiver Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Curtis Samuel (BUF) 1.5 (O -160 | U +125) 17.5 (O -115 | U -115) 12.5 (O -110 | U -120)
Dalton Kincaid (BUF) 4.5 (O -105 | U -125) 44.5 (O -115 | U -115) 18.5 (O -105 | U -125)
Dawson Knox (BUF) OFF 12.5 (O -130 | U +100) 9.5 (O -115 | U -115)
James Cook (BUF) 2.5 (O -135 | U +105) 18.5 (O -115 | U -115) 11.5 (O -115 | U -115)
Jaylen Waddle (MIA) 4.5 (-140 | U +110) 64.5 (O -115 | U -115) 23.5 (O -120 | U -110)
Keon Coleman (BUF) 3.5 (O -120 | U -110) 43.5 (O -120 | U -110) OFF
Khalil Shakir (BUF) 3.5 (O -110 | U -120) 39.5 (O -120 | U -110) 19.5 (O -105 | U -125)
Tyreek Hill (MIA) 6.5 (-140 | U +110) 96.5 (O -115 | U -115) 29.5 (O -120 | U -110)

Tyreek Hill easily clears as the highest receiving yard prop at 96.5, with teammate Jaylen Waddle firmly in second at 64.5 yards.

Buffalo tight end Dalton Kincaid is the Bills’ top reception target, at 4.5 grabs.

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Bills vs Dolphins Player Prop #1: Josh Allen Passing Yards

Allen’s workmanlike line against the Cardinals probably doesn’t elicit that much confidence in the Bills as an offensive juggernaut.

He was 18-for-23 for 232 yards and 2 TD’s, as Buffalo awoke from a 17-3 deficit to win 34-28.

Thursday should be a good litmus test as to where this Bills’ offense is though, as Allen has torched the Dolphins in five straight starts, throwing for a low of 304 yards, while averaging 347 passing yards.

No Steph Diggs and Gabe Davis? No problem, as Allen spread the love Sunday. Keon Coleman led the team in catches with four, and nine different Bills hauled in a pass.

That should be much the same Thursday in Miami. Perhaps Allen doesn’t go nuclear, but throwing for 245 shouldn’t be a problem.

  • Bills vs Dolphins Prop Picks: Allen OVER 244.5 yards passing (-120); risk 1 unit at DraftKings

BUF vs MIA Player Prop #2: Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards

In his two seasons since joining the Dolphins, it feels like he’s lit just about everyone on fire. And then you pull up his stats against the Bills.

In five games against Buffalo, Hill’s receiving yard high is 83.

It’s been a rough week, as he was handcuffed and forced to the ground by police during a traffic stop outside Hard Rock prior to the game vs the Jaguars.

While it didn’t affect his play on the field — Hill went for seven catches, 130 yards and a score — Hill has been on a media junket discussing the incident, while on a short week, with a team that makes it priority #1 to have him blanketed.

On top of that, Tua’s struggles against Buffalo are a big part of why Sascha Paruk is taking the Buffalo moneyline in his Bills vs Dolphins prediction.

It might be crazy to bet against the explosive Hill, but I’ll stick to the trend until he shows otherwise.

  • Bills vs Dolphins Prop Picks: Hill UNDER 96.5 receiving yards (-115); risk 1 unit at DraftKings

Bills vs Dolphins Touchdown Scorer Props

Player Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Any TD
Tyreek Hill (MIA) +550 -140
Josh Allen (BUF) +650 -115
DeVon Achane (MIA) +700 +115
Raheem Mostert (MIA) +850 +130
Jaylen Waddle (MIA) +900 +130
James Cook (BUF) +1000 +150
Jeff Wilson Jr. (MIA) +1000 +190
Jaylen Wright (MIA) +1100 +190
Dalton Kincaid (BUF) +1400 +210
Keon Coleman (BUF) +1600 +230

Hill has the shortest odds of any player to find the end zone at -140, with Josh Allen the only other player in the field with minus odds to score a TD.

Bills vs Dolphins Player Prop #3: Allen Anytime Touchdown

Allen showed again Sunday that he’s Buffalo’s most dangerous red zone threat, as he scored on a pair of TD runs inside the Cardinals’ 10-yard line.

The Bills’ pivot, who enters Week 2 with the second-best NFL MVP odds to Patrick Mahomes, has now scampered into the end zone in eight of his last nine games.

Looking for a little more juice? Consider wideout Khalil Shakir. He had a beautiful catch and run score vs Arizona, giving him three scores in three straight games.

You’re getting +255 odds he makes it a fourth.

  • Bills vs Dolphins Prop Picks: Allen anytime touchdown (-115); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook

Last week: 0-3, -3 units

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Eric Rosales
Eric Rosales

Sports Writer & Editor

Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.

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