Bills vs Jets Predictions & TD Scorer Picks for Week 10

• Bills vs Jets: Braelon Allen Over 42.5 rushing + receiving yards (-115)
• Week 10 player props: Ty Johnson Over 13.5 receiving yards (-120)
• Best TD scorer pick: James Cook III at 61% on Kalshi (-156)

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There are several appealing player prop opportunities when the Buffalo Bills visit the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium on November 15, 2026. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS, with the game total set at 51 points. Buffalo’s Josh Allen and James Cook III headline the Bills’ player prop market, while Geno Smith and Breece Hall are the Jets’ primary options.

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Touchdown Scorer Odds

Kalshi touchdown prices as of Nov. 14, with equivalent American odds in parentheses. Translate any Kalshi price to American odds with SBD’s Kalshi odds converter.

Best Player Prop Picks for Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

The best value in this matchup comes from targeting favorable player usage and defensive weaknesses. The following picks focus on rushing and receiving production, as well as touchdown potential.

Braelon Allen Over 42.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115, BetMGM)

Despite serving as a secondary option for the Jets, Allen has a favorable opportunity to contribute as both a rusher and receiver against a Buffalo defense allowing 330.38 total net yards per game. His 42.5-yard line is well below his recent production. He has surpassed 43.5 rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six games, averaging 104.7 combined yards over that span. Buffalo is also allowing 91.62 rushing yards per game to opposing backfields, further strengthening the case for Allen.

Allen has maintained a role in the Jets’ offense regardless of Breece Hall’s snap share, averaging 11.8 touches per game and 4.8 yards after contact per attempt over his last six contests. Buffalo has struggled to contain downhill running plays, allowing a 44.2% rushing success rate and 5.4 yards per carry on zone-read and gap concepts between the tackles.

Allen is also involved in the passing game, averaging 2.8 targets and 8.6 yards after the catch per game. He should have a good opportunity to surpass 42.5 combined rushing and receiving yards if he maintains his recent workload.

Ty Johnson Over 13.5 Receiving Yards (-120, BetMGM)

The Jets allow 212.11 passing yards per game, potentially creating opportunities for Buffalo’s running backs to contribute as receivers. Ty Johnson has established a consistent role as a receiver, regularly catching short passes from Josh Allen. He averages 32.9 receiving yards per game and has surpassed 15.5 yards in seven of his last eight contests.

Johnson also plays an important role in pass protection and during two-minute drills, running a route on 68.5% of Buffalo’s third-and-medium or longer passing plays. The Jets’ defensive line generates pressure on 36.4% of opposing dropbacks, often forcing quarterbacks to release the ball quickly.

With the Jets allowing opposing backfields 5.8 receptions and 41.2 receiving yards per game, Johnson should have opportunities to exploit the short passing game.

James Cook III Anytime Touchdown (61% on Kalshi, -156) – Claim SBD’s exclusive Kalshi promo code

Despite being Buffalo’s primary running back, Cook faces an unfavorable rushing yards prop against the Jets. He has recorded fewer than 93.5 rushing yards in six of his last seven games against New York, averaging just 48.6 yards per game. However, with the Jets allowing 128 rushing yards per game, Cook could offer better value in the anytime touchdown market.

Cook has become Buffalo’s primary red-zone running back, handling 78.6% of the Bills’ goal-to-go rushing attempts. He has also scored in five of his last six divisional games. Although the Jets have the personnel to limit explosive runs, they have struggled to defend the goal line, allowing opponents to score touchdowns on 69.2% of their red-zone trips over their last four games.

Buffalo frequently uses heavy personnel packages inside the 5-yard line, creating opportunities for Cook, who ranks in the top five among NFL running backs with an 84.0% conversion rate on carries inside the opponent’s 3-yard line. At 61% on Kalshi (-156), Cook’s anytime touchdown prop offers a more appealing option than his rushing yards market.