- Is Rams-Chiefs that much of a lock for Super Bowl 53?
- Saints don’t even register in the betting
- Finding the best value bet among the match-ups
In a season that has seen plenty of ups amid the usual downs, there is the potential to see an all-time great Super Bowl 53 in Atlanta.
You’ve got scoring machines, historically dominant QBs, iconic franchises sniffing glory and a batch of new generation ass-kickers.
As we come down to the final four weeks of the regular season, it seems that Vegas only has eyes for one exact match-up.
Super Bowl 53 Matchup Odds
|Which Teams Will Play in Super Bowl 53?||Odds at Bovada|
|Rams vs Chiefs||+700|
|Bears vs Patriots||+3500|
|Seahawks vs Patriots||+5500|
|Eagles vs Patriots||+6500|
|Cowboys vs Steelers||+12500|
|Cowboys vs Ravens||+32500|
|Any Other Matchup||-10000|
Is Rams-Chiefs the Right Bet to Make?
This one is hard to believe, since both teams, while electric and violent to scoreboard light bulbs, aren’t exactly runaway favorites when it comes down to their own Super Bowl odds.
Patrick Mahomes isn't even playing the same sport as the rest of these guys. pic.twitter.com/KvJB1Gxzdw
— Seth Keysor (@RealMNchiefsfan) December 4, 2018
Obviously, Kansas City is dealing with a major blow to their lineup with the Kareem Hunt incident.
Off field grossness aside, that’s a major loss offensively, especially when outscoring your problems is a must for Patrick Mahomes and company.
The Chiefs are giving up 27.2 points a game (6th worse) and are second in total yards surrendered a game at 417.0, including an NFL-worst 295 yards through the air. Thank goodness they lead the league in scoring at 37 points a game.
This defense is a lost cause. Eric Berry at 100% can't save this squad. Giving up 30 to this Raiders offense is a new low.
— Chiefs_All_Day (@Chiefs_All_Day) December 2, 2018
The Rams still appear as dominant as ever, even with Cooper Kupp gone for the season with a torn ACL. But in their 23-20 win over the Broncos – their lowest scoring output of the season – Denver showed that a strong defense can knock Jared Goff off his timing and at least make them beatable, without having to score 50.
— Sporting News Canada (@sportingnewsca) October 14, 2018
But LA has an above average defense, and they’re led by the likely DPOY in monster Aaron Donald. He’s the one defensive player on both teams that can swing a game on his own, and that’s what makes the Rams the team to come out of the NFC.
Aaron Donald was unstoppable against the Lions on Sunday, recording 2 sacks and 4 TFL.
I highlighted 7 plays, all of which either led to Lions punts or FGs a few plays later.
— Cameron DaSilva (@camdasilva) December 5, 2018
Other Contenders Also in the Mix
We have to go to old reliable first, where the Patriots are always a threat to find their way to the Big Game. While New England may have hung an L on the Chiefs this year, chances are the AFC title game will run through KC, and that could be the difference.
— Kevin Boilard (@247KevinBoilard) October 15, 2018
And the Saints are nowhere to be found. Sure, they just got dominated by the Cowboys, but they are still right up there with KC and the Rams. They are tied with LA in scoring at 34.9 points a game. More importantly, they’re the only ones to hang an L on the Rams this year!
The Saints score first!
— Sporting News NFL (@sn_nfl) November 4, 2018
The Cowboys are picking up steam, and Big Ben and Russ Wilson could get Joe Flacco-2013 hot too. While KC and LA are favorites, it feels like this is a year where anything could happen. I just don’t think it happens in the above patterns set by Bovada.
If you think the Saints are going to the dance, I don’t blame you. It’s the reason I’d choose the any other bet – and honestly, when do we ever really get the Super Bowl we want? If you had to make a pick of those other six, then go Rams-Chiefs.