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Bovada’s Exact Super Bowl 53 Matchups Favor Rams vs Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes has emerged as an MVP candidate in Kansas City. Photo by Jeffrey Beall [CC License]
  • Is Rams-Chiefs that much of a lock for Super Bowl 53?
  • Saints don’t even register in the betting
  • Finding the best value bet among the match-ups

In a season that has seen plenty of ups amid the usual downs, there is the potential to see an all-time great Super Bowl 53 in Atlanta.

You’ve got scoring machines, historically dominant QBs, iconic franchises sniffing glory and a batch of new generation ass-kickers.

As we come down to the final four weeks of the regular season, it seems that Vegas only has eyes for one exact match-up.

Super Bowl 53 Matchup Odds

Which Teams Will Play in Super Bowl 53? Odds at Bovada
Rams vs Chiefs +700
Bears vs Patriots +3500
Seahawks vs Patriots +5500
Eagles vs Patriots +6500
Cowboys vs Steelers +12500
Cowboys vs Ravens +32500
Any Other Matchup -10000

Is Rams-Chiefs the Right Bet to Make?

This one is hard to believe, since both teams, while electric and violent to scoreboard light bulbs, aren’t exactly runaway favorites when it comes down to their own Super Bowl odds.

Obviously, Kansas City is dealing with a major blow to their lineup with the Kareem Hunt incident.

Off field grossness aside, that’s a major loss offensively, especially when outscoring your problems is a must for Patrick Mahomes and company.

The Chiefs are giving up 27.2 points a game (6th worse) and are second in total yards surrendered a game at 417.0, including an NFL-worst 295 yards through the air. Thank goodness they lead the league in scoring at 37 points a game.

The Rams still appear as dominant as ever, even with Cooper Kupp gone for the season with a torn ACL. But in their 23-20 win over the Broncos – their lowest scoring output of the season – Denver showed that a strong defense can knock Jared Goff off his timing and at least make them beatable, without having to score 50.

But LA has an above average defense, and they’re led by the likely DPOY in monster Aaron Donald. He’s the one defensive player on both teams that can swing a game on his own, and that’s what makes the Rams the team to come out of the NFC.

Other Contenders Also in the Mix

We have to go to old reliable first, where the Patriots are always a threat to find their way to the Big Game. While New England may have hung an L on the Chiefs this year, chances are the AFC title game will run through KC, and that could be the difference.

And the Saints are nowhere to be found. Sure, they just got dominated by the Cowboys, but they are still right up there with KC and the Rams. They are tied with LA in scoring at 34.9 points a game. More importantly, they’re the only ones to hang an L on the Rams this year!

The Cowboys are picking up steam, and Big Ben and Russ Wilson could get Joe Flacco-2013 hot too. While KC and LA are favorites, it feels like this is a year where anything could happen. I just don’t think it happens in the above patterns set by Bovada.

The Pick

If you think the Saints are going to the dance, I don’t blame you. It’s the reason I’d choose the any other bet – and honestly, when do we ever really get the Super Bowl we want? If you had to make a pick of those other six, then go Rams-Chiefs.

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Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.