Chiefs vs Bills Props – Best Player Props to Bet for Sunday’s NFL Playoffs
- We’ve identified Chiefs vs Bills props with value for Sunday’s NFL Playoff game
- We’re targeting Josh Allen player props against the Chiefs
- Below, see expert Chiefs vs Bills player props to bet for Sunday’s game
Chiefs vs Bills player props have been released for the highly anticipated ACF showdown on Sunday. Bettors can now place bets on the passing totals for quarterbacks Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes, plus several other betting options.
Among our expert Chiefs vs Bills player prop bets is a pick on the rushing yards total for Buffalo QB Allen. We’re also targeting KC running back Isiah Pacheco against the vulnerable Bills rush defense.
Let’s get into our Chiefs vs Bills player props, as we offer you our best prop bets for Sunday’s game.
Chiefs vs Bills Player Props
| Passer | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 21.5 (O -135 | U +105) | 225.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 1.5 (O +110 | U -140) |
| Patrick Mahomes | 24.5 (O +100 | U -130) | 254.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 1.5 (O -145 | U +114) |
| Rusher | Rushing Attempts | Rushing Yards | Rushing + Receiving Yards |
| Isiah Pacheco | 14.5 (O -115 | U +110) | 60.5 (O -125 | U -105) | 83.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
| James Cook | 14.5 (O -130 | U EVEN) | 62.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 84.5 (O -125 | U -110) |
| Josh Allen | 8.5 (O -130 | U +100) | 42.5 (O -135 | U +105) | OFF |
| Patrick Mahomes | 4.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 27.5 (O -120 | U -110) | OFF |
| Receiver | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
| Dalton Kincaid | 4.5 (O +110 | U -140) | 38.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 16.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
| Dawson Knox | 1.5 (O +105 | U -135) | 11.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 9.5 (O -105 | U -125) |
| Isiah Pacheco | 3.5 (O +120 | U -150) | 18.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 10.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
| James Cook | 2.5 (O -105 | U -175) | 18.5 (O -110 | U -120) | 10.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
| Justin Watson | 1.5 (O -166 | U -145) | 17.5 (O -135 | U +105) | 12.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
| Khalil Shakir | 2.5 (O -160 | U +130) | 32.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 16.5 (O -125 | U -105) |
| Mecole Hardman | 2.5 (O -175 | U +124) | 18.5 (O +100 | U -130) | 8.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
| Rashee Rice | 2.5 (O +170 | U -220) | 69.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 22.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
| Stefon Diggs | 6.5 (O -125 | U +100) | 62.5 (O +100 | U -130) | 21.5 (O -115 | U -120) |
| Travis Kelce | 5.5 (O +180 | U +114) | 61.5 (O -125 | U -105) | 20.5 (O -105 | U -125) |
| Trent Sherfield | 0.5 (O -190 | U +145) | 10.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 9.5 (O -105 | U -125) |
In the Chiefs vs Bills player props, Patrick Mahomes has the higher passing yards total of the two quarterbacks at 254.5 yards, although Josh Allen has a notably higher rushing yards total at 42.5 yards.
KC WR Rashee Rice has the highest receiving yards total, while Buffalo RB James Cook leads the rushing yards totals at 62.5. If you’re looking for a spread pick, we’ve also made our Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills prediction.
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All player prop odds as of January 21st, 2024, at DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook. Make sure you check out the best football betting apps for NFL player prop betting.
Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen (-130) has attracted the most money in anytime TD scorer market today on the DraftKings app. He’s also the most-bet on player to score multiple touchdowns at +550 odds and his passing prop of over 1.5 TDs (+105) is the single most-bet prop of the day. Patrick Mahomes over 1.5 TDs (-152) is the second-most-bet NFL player prop on Sunday.
Chiefs vs Bills Props #1: Josh Allen Rushing Yards
We’re not overthinking it with our first pick in the Chiefs vs Bills player props. Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen has rushed for at least 44 yards in three straight games, and oddsmakers are setting his rushing yards total for Sunday at just 42.5 yards.
.@JoshAllenQB turned on the BURNERS for the 52-yard rushing TD 🗣️
📺: #PITvsBUF on CBS
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus https://t.co/rnjmj1Pg4j pic.twitter.com/WUzjBV8d99— NFL (@NFL) January 15, 2024
Allen has a history of putting on the Superman cape in the playoffs against the Cheifs, rushing for 65-plus yards in each of his previous two postseason contests against KC. This time, he gets to play on his home field, where he’s rushed for seven scores so far this season.
Since the Bills fired Ken Dorsey, Allen has carried the ball at least eight times in all but two games. He ran the ball 10 times in the first meeting against KC and will again exploit a Chiefs rush defense that has allowed the 9th most rushing yards to quarterbacks this season.
- Chiefs vs Bills Player Prop Picks: Josh Allen Over 42.5 Rushing Yards (-135)
KC vs Buffalo Props #2: Isiah Pacheco Rushing + Receiving Yards
The second player we are targeting in our Chiefs vs Bills player props is Kansas City RB Isiah Pacheco. The 24-year-old-year-old is coming off a monster 24-carry, 98-yard performance against Miami, and he should be relied upon heavily once again in the divisional round.
The Bills have been more vulnerable against the run than the pass this season, ranking 16th in rushing defense during the regular season (110 YPG). We like targeting Pacheco’s rushing and receiving yards prop, however, as he’s racked up 30-plus receiving yards in five different games.
Have never seen another human being on earth run like Isiah Pacheco 😂 pic.twitter.com/zSGF4VPh1h
— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) December 31, 2023
The Bills have some key injuries in this game, including to cornerback Christian Benford, linebacker Baylon Spector, and safety Taylor Rapp. The Chiefs vs Bills betting line has shortened slightly in favor of the Chiefs, with oddsmakers forecasting another back-and-forth affair between the two teams.
For as much praise as Buffalo’s defense has gotten, it’s easy to forget they rank 28th in yards allowed per rush (4.6). Pacheco, who is averaging 21 touches and four receptions per game over his past five contests, will be a focal point of the Chiefs’ offensive attack Sunday.
- Chiefs vs Bills Player Prop Bets: Isiah Pacheco Over 83.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115)
Bills vs Chiefs Touchdown Scorer Props
| Player | Odds to Score 1st TD | Odds to Score Any TD |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | +600 | -110 |
| Isiah Pacheco | +750 | +115 |
| Travis Kelce | +750 | +115 |
| Rashee Rice | +750 | +105 |
| James Cook | +900 | +140 |
| Dalton Kincaid | +1000 | +210 |
| Khalil Shakir | +950 | +255 |
| Dawson Knox | +800 | +1300 |
| BUF Bills D/ST | +2500 | +475 |
| Patrick Mahomes | +2500 | +475 |
| Justin Watson | +2500 | +500 |
| KC Chiefs D/ST | +2500 | +450 |
| Ty Johnson | +2800 | +550 |
| Trent Sherfield | +2500 | +550 |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | +3000 | +600 |
| Latavius Murray | +3500 | +700 |
| Mecole Hardman | +3500 | +700 |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | +3500 | +700 |
| Richie James Jr. | +4000 | +800 |
In the Bills vs Chiefs touchdown scorer market, Buffalo QB Josh Allen has the best odds to find the endzone at -110. His counterpart, Patrick Mahomes, is much more of a longshot at +475 to find paydirt.
Chiefs vs Bills Props #3: Dalton Kincaid Anytime Touchdown
Josh Allen is the obvious choice in the Chiefs vs Bills anytime TD market, but we tried to identify a player with a bit more value. Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid is +210 to get into the endzone Sunday, and we think his 32% implied chance of scoring is simply too low.
Kincaid has become more involved in the Bills’ offense lately, averaging five receptions for 77 yards over his past three outings. Even with Dawson Knox back healthy, Kincaid has remained the top receiving tight end target in the Bills offense. Kincaid had six targets last game, while Knox only had two.
Allen to Kincaid. A tale that will be as old as time. pic.twitter.com/IZNZnhdaiU
— Trainwreck Sports (@TrainwreckSprts) January 15, 2024
The Chiefs have struggled to defend tight ends this season, allowing 43 average yards to the position group in 2023. KC defended Miami’s tight ends well in the cold weather, but were torched for 104 yards by the Chargers tight ends the prior week, including Donald Parham, who had 84 yards.
According to PFF, Kincaid ranks second among tight ends in both catches (42) and catch rate (82.4%) on the perimeter. With KC’s defense doing a great job taking away the middle of the field, we project Allen finds Kincaid in the outer edge of the endzone for a clutch TD.
- Chiefs vs Bills Player Prop Picks: Dalton Kincaid Anytime TD (+210)
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
