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Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction, Spread & Odds for Thursday Night Football Week 11

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Nov 15, 2023 · 12:12 PM PST

Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens are 3.5-point home favorites over the Cincinnati Bengals in the NFL Week 11 TNF game.
Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) throws in the second quarter of a Week 2 NFL football game between the Baltimore Ravens and the Cincinnati Bengals Sunday, Sept. 17, 2023, at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati.
  • The Baltimore Ravens are 3.5-point home favorites over the Cincinnati Bengals in a key AFC North showdown in the NFL Week 11 TNF game on Thursday, November 15
  • Cincinnati is 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS in the past six games against Baltimore. The Bengals are also 5-1 ATS in the last six road games facing the Ravens
  • Read on for the full game odds and our Bengals vs Ravens picks here

The Cincinnati Bengals (5-4, 4-4-1 ATS) were favored to win the AFC North at the outset of the NFL season, but it’s the Baltimore Ravens (7-3, 6-4 ATS) who are in fact currently atop the division and favored in the Bengals vs Ravens odds on TNF. With a win in this key divisional matchup in the Week 11 TNF game, the Ravens would find themselves comfortably ahead of the Bengals.

Not only would the Ravens be holding a 2.5-game edge over the Bengals in the standings, they’d also be owning the tiebreaker. Baltimore already has a 27-24 Week 1 victory at Cincinnati on the ledger this season.

Baltimore is set as 3.5-point favorites in the Bengals vs Ravens odds. However, the Ravens are just 2-7 ATS in the last nine games as a home favorite over the Bengals.

Taking a deeper look into this Bengals vs Ravens prediction and matchup, we’ll supply you with our best bet for this Week 11 showdown featuring bitter AFC North rivals.

Bengals vs Ravens Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Cincinnati Bengals +165 +3.5 (-105) Over 45.5 (-115)
Baltimore Ravens -195 -3.5 (-115) Under 45.5 (-105)

In the Cincinnati vs Baltimore odds, the Ravens are -195 moneyline favorites, giving them a 66.10% implied win probability. The total is set at 45.5 points. The over is 5-1 in the last six Bengals vs Ravens game.

Cincinnati vs Baltimore odds as of November 15 at ESPN BET. Be sure to check out all the betting lines at ESPN BET before making your Bengals vs Ravens picks. Get one of the best NFL betting promos to bet on all of your NFL Week 11 ATS picks here. And check out ESPN BET’s daily menu of divisional specials and seasonal specials for NFL betting.

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Kickoff for this game at M&T Bank Stadium on Thursday, November 16 is set for 8:15pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by Prime Video and by DAZN in Canada.

Public Betting Showing Mix of Emotions

The latest NFL public betting splits for this game are displaying mixed sentiments. Underdog Cincinnati is drawing 66% of spread handle, while favored Baltimore is pulling 82% of moneyline bets. The Ravens are 3-2 ATS as a home favorite this season, while the Bengals are 1-0 ATS as an away underdog.

Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in the last six games at Baltimore and 15-5 ATS over the club’s past 20 road games. The Ravens are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games.

Neither of these squads are particularly impressive at hitting the over. Baltimore is 4-6 on the total this season, while Cincinnati is 4-5. However, four of the last six games played by the Bengals against AFC North opponents have gone over.

The Ravens are the fourth betting choice in the odds to win Super Bowl at +800. The Bengals are eighth in this betting market at +1200.

Familiar Mark for Bengals

Last season, Cincinnati went to the AFC Championship Game. The season prior, the Bengals were playing in the Super Bowl. Interestingly, nine games into both of those seasons, they were 5-4 SU, just like this season.

However, this year finds the Bengals situated in last place in the rugged AFC North, so the climb ahead will be daunting, but not impossible. Last season, Cincinnati ran the table over the past 10 games to win the division title. And along with this game, the Bengals still face Cleveland once more and Pittsburgh twice in key divisional matchups.

To make this recovery, the Cincinnati defense will need to step up. That unit permitted nine plays of 20+ yards in last week’s 30-27 loss to Houston, allowing a season-high 554 yards in the defeat.

Ravens Also Coming Off Tough Loss

Blowing a 14-point fourth-quarter lead, Baltimore lost 33-31 to the Browns in an AFC North showdown. However, there are factors entering this game that could be working in Baltimore’s favor.

The Ravens are allowing an NFL-low 4.7 yards per completion this season. The Bengals are hurting at WR. Last week, Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow was sacked four times and picked off twice. Making matters worse, RB Joe Mixon is enduring a down campaign. He’s been under 50 yards on the ground in three of the past four games.

When Baltimore has the ball, the Ravens are accumulating 7.8 yards per pass attempt. That’s fifth in the NFL. Meanwhile, Cincinnati is allowing 7.4 yards per pass, which is 30th overall in the league. And Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson is 7-1 SU as a starter against Cincinnati.

Bengals vs Ravens Prediction

Cincinnati will be missing two key starters. Both edge Sam Hubbard (ankle) and WR Tee Higgins (hamstring) have been ruled out of this game.

It’s now or never for the Bengals, though. They’ve won four of five following a 1-3 start. And they’ve shown the ability to play Baltimore tough on the road.

Bengals vs Ravens Picks: Cincinnati Bengals +3.5 (-105)

TNF Record: 6-4-0 (+2 units)


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