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Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns Odds, Picks & Prediction for NFL Week 1

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Sep 9, 2023 · 1:39 PM UTC

As he faces the Cleveland Browns, Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow will be taking the field as the NFL's highest-paid player
Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow returned to practice Wednesday, August 30, 2023 as the team prepares for the season opener against the Browns Burrow suffered a calf injury on July 27, has not participated in practice publicly, but did go through his normal pregame warmup before the Bengals' preseason opener against the Green Bay Packers on Aug. 11.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals are 1.5-point road favorites over the Cleveland Browns in this NFL Week 1 renewal of the Ohio rivalry in the AFC North on Sunday, September 9
  • Cleveland is 5-0 straight up in the last five home games against the Bengals
  • Cincinnati is 2-8 SU in the last 10 games against the Browns. Which team is the best bet in our Bengals vs Browns prediction?

The NFL’s battle of Ohio is being renewed right off the bat, as AFC North rivals the Cincinnati Bengals and Cleveland Browns are clashing in Week 1 of the NFL regular season with Cincy favored in the Bengals vs Browns odds.

Of late, while things have been going better for the Bengals than the Browns on the field, that hasn’t been the case when both teams are on the same field. Cincinnati’s 23-10 Week 14 win last season ended a five-game losing streak to the Browns that dated back to 2019. Overall, the Browns are 8-2 SU in the last 10 meetings with the Bengals and 5-0 SU at Cleveland in the past five games between the two teams.

Still, oddsmakers are leaning to the Bengals as 1.5-point road favorites in this game when it comes to Bengals vs Browns picks. Cincinnati is 5-2 against the spread in the last seven games facing Cleveland.

Let’s look in depth into the Bengals vs Browns odds and offer you our prediction for this NFL Week 1 rivalry game.

Bengals vs Browns Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Cincinnati Bengals -126 -1.5 (-115) Over 47.5 (-110)
Cleveland Browns +108 +1.5 (-105) Under 47.5 (-110)

In the Bengals vs Browns odds, the Bengals are -126 moneyline favorites, giving them a 55.75% implied win probability. The total is set at 47.5 points, which is the highest number assigned to a Cincinnati vs Cleveland game since 2020.

Odds as of September 8 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Be sure to claim a FanDuel promo code to bet on Bengals vs Browns and other Week 1 NFL action.

Cincinnati is 6-4 ATS in the last 10 games against Cleveland. The Bengals haven’t won back-to-back games against the Browns since 2017.

Kickoff for this game at Cleveland Browns Stadium on Sunday, September 10 is set for 1:00pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by CBS and by DAZN in Canada.

Ohio Sports Betting

This is the first NFL season in which Ohio sports betting will be legal for the entire season. With legalized betting only launching in the Buckeye State on Janaury 1, bettors will only now be able to fully take advantage of betting on the NFL this season. To do so, check out the top NFL betting apps to get one or more many great bonuses to boost your bankroll this season.

Bengals vs Browns Betting Splits

The people are choosing to ignore recent events in the NFL public betting splits. They’re solidly backing the Bengals in both the spread and moneyline. There’s 62% of handle and 71% of bets going for Cincinnati in the spread splits. Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in the last six games against AFC North opposition. Moneyline splits are also leaning Bengals, at 63% of handle and 69% of bets. The Browns are 3-1 SU in their last four home games.

The under is the pick in the total. It’s taking 86% of handle and 52% of bets in the Cincinnati vs Cleveland picks. The under is 2-0-1 in the last three games between these teams.

Cincinnati is the fourth betting choice in the Super Bowl odds at +1000. The Bengals are also set as the +150 favorite to win the AFC North title in the NFL divisional odds.

Cincinnati vs Cleveland Injury Report

Bengals RT La’el Collins (knee) is on the reserve/PUP list. There isn’t a single other Cincinnati starter with an injury designation. That’s big news, considering that QB1 Joe Burrow has been nursing a strained right calf since late July. Though listed as day-to-day, Burrow is good to go Week 1.

Out of concussion protocol, Browns LCB Denzel Ward has been cleared to play Sunday. Free safety Juan Thornhill (calf) is listed as questionable for the game.

Bengals QB Burrow Got Paid

About the only area of swelling on Burrow these days is in his wallet. Agreeing to terms on a five-year $275-million contract extension this week, he became the NFL’s highest-paid player and can certainly be targeted in the Bengals vs Browns props this week.

Now if Burrow, who threw a career-high 35 TD passes last season, could just find a way to be money against Cleveland. He’s 1-4 SU all-time against the Browns. That’s two more losses than he’s suffered against any other NFL opponent. Led by EDGE Myles Garrett, the second betting choice in NFL DPOY odds, the Cleveland defense has sacked Burrow 18 times in those five games.

Browns Poor Record In Season Openers

The $219 million guaranteed portion of Burrow’s new contract is second in the NFL to the $230 million that Cleveland guaranteed to QB1 Deshaun Watson last year. He’ll be making his first Week 1 start as the Browns starter. Watson was under NFL suspension for the first 11 weeks of the 2022 campaign.

Will Cleveland be getting the Watson who led the NFL in passing yardage in 2020, or the Watson who was 3-3 with seven TD passes and five interceptions in six starts last season?

Coming off a Week 1 win last season over Carolina, the Browns are 2-21-1 in openers since 1999. They’re seeking to win back-to-back openers for the first time since 1993-94. Both of those victories were claimed at the expense of the Bengals.

Cincinnati vs Cleveland Prediction

Looking at the recent history of this rivalry, this has the feel of a trap game for Cincinnati. The utter lack of success that both Burrow and the Bengals have enjoyed against the Browns, especially in Cleveland, makes an underdog play the best bet here in the Bengals vs Browns odds.

Bengals vs Browns Picks: Cleveland Browns +1.5 (-105)

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