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Cowboys vs Colts Player Props & TD Picks – Four Props to Bet on Nov 8

Michael Schwartz

By Michael Schwartz in NFL News

Published:


Oct 18, 2026; Green Bay, Wisconsin, USA; Dallas Cowboys CeeDee Lamb (88) signals a first down against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Ross Harried-Imagn Images
  • Dallas travels to Indianapolis with both teams feeling the heat to win
  • Jonathan Taylor faces a premier matchup against a struggling Dallas run defense
  • Read below for my Cowboys vs Colts player props, predictions, and best bets

The Dallas Cowboys (3-5 SU, 4-4 ATS, 6-2 O/U) visit the Indianapolis Colts (2-6 SU, 4-4 ATS, 5-3 O/U) this afternoon, for a 1:00 PM ET kickoff at Lucas Oil Stadium on FOX. The player prop market is headlined by an offensive clash boasting a high full-game total of 51.5 points, with both squads consistently playing in shootouts and pushing game scripts into aggressive, pass-heavy territory

Bettors will focus on Dallas playmakers like Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, and Javonte Williams to drive the action against an Indianapolis defense that has surrendered chunk plays at an alarming rate. Meanwhile, Indianapolis will look toward Daniel Jones and Jonathan Taylor to keep pace and control the field position battle, leaning on Taylor’s high-volume rushing floor to exploit Dallas’ vulnerable front seven. The top player prop picks for this matchup follow below.

Player-Prop Picks for Cowboys vs Colts

The player prop market for this interconference showdown offers intriguing angles, especially when evaluating home-field dynamics and recent target shares. By isolating individual volume trends and specific statistical vulnerabilities, distinct value emerges across both sidelines.

Jonathan Taylor Over 61.5 Rushing Yards (-113, Novig)

Lucas Oil Stadium remains a highly reliable track for the Colts’ lead back. Taylor has cleared 61.5 rushing yards in at least 11 of his last 12 games at home, posting a 106.9 rushing yards per game average in that split. With Dallas allowing 152.75 rushing yards per game and 5.03 yards per rushing attempt defensively, this matchup aligns with his established home volume and expected game script. Novig offers an ideal line to back this consistent rushing floor.

Claim the NOVIG PROMO CODE before trading on DAL vs IND

George Pickens 63+ Receiving Yards (+113, Novig)

George Pickens provides strong plus-money value based on his recent offensive consistency and target share. He has exceeded 64.5 receiving yards in at least four of his last six games, securing a 77.5 receiving yards per game average over that span. The Colts currently surrender 211.80 passing yards per game, leaving them vulnerable to perimeter strikes. Pickens remains a consistent downfield threat with a longest reception line set at 23.5 yards.

Josh Downs Under 42.5 Receiving Yards (-108, Novig)

Josh Downs has experienced a notable dip in his raw production and snap share. He has failed to exceed 42.5 receiving yards in at least four of his last five games, recording a 28.8 receiving yards per game average during that window. His overall volume mirrors this drop, as he has also failed to exceed 4.5 receptions in at least his last five games, managing just a 3.2 receptions per game average in that sample. Fading his receiving total is a logical approach.

Dallas vs Indianapolis Touchdown Odds & Picks

PlayerAnytime TDFirst TD
Williams65¢ (-186)21¢ (+376)
Taylor57¢ (-133)15¢ (+567)
Lamb52¢ (-108)12¢ (+733)
Pickens41¢ (+144)10¢ (+900)
Warren33¢ (+203)6¢ (+1567)
Flournoy31¢ (+223)8¢ (+1150)
Allen28¢ (+257)6¢ (+1567)
McGowan28¢ (+257)6¢ (+1567)
Downs23¢ (+335)5¢ (+1900)
Spann-Ford23¢ (+335)5¢ (+1900)
Treadwell17¢ (+488)4¢ (+2400)
Goodson17¢ (+488)4¢ (+2400)
Prescott15¢ (+567)3¢ (+3233)
Cowboys D/ST15¢ (+567)4¢ (+2400)
Jones14¢ (+614)3¢ (+3233)
Colts D/ST12¢ (+733)4¢ (+2400)
Mingo10¢ (+900)3¢ (+3233)
Burks8¢ (+1150)2¢ (+4900)
Luepke8¢ (+1150)2¢ (+4900)
Alie-Cox7¢ (+1329)2¢ (+4900)
Dulin7¢ (+1329)2¢ (+4900)

Anytime Touchdown Pick: CeeDee Lamb (-108 / 52¢, Kalshi)

Given the high full-game total of 51.5 points, isolating an anytime touchdown scorer provides further betting value. Lamb remains a premier red-zone target and offers excellent upside to find the end zone against the Indianapolis secondary.

Dallas will lean heavily on their top playmaker near the goal line to convert scoring opportunities. Finding value on a dynamic receiver in a high-scoring game script is a sound strategy.

Enjoying our betting coverage? Want more picks, predictions, and analysis from our proven experts? Make SBD a preferred source in your Google searches!

Michael Schwartz

Michael brings 25+ years of sports media experience, including 19 years as a Sportsnet producer. Having covered the Olympics, Stanley Cups, World Cups, NBA Finals, Super Bowls, World Series, tennis, and golf, he finds sharp edges in the NBA, NHL, NFL, MLB, college sports, tennis, and golf.

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