- Dallas Cowboys linebacker Micah Parsons is the favorite to win NFL Defensive Player of the Year
- Last year’s winner, Nick Bosa, is listed at +1200 to win the award again
- Read below for NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds, analysis, and predictions
When looking at Defensive Player of the Year odds, it is smart to look towards the defensive line. In the last nine seasons, eight winners have either been a defensive tackle or an edge rusher. The voters value sacks and turnovers forced, making d-linemen great candidates. So let’s look at all of the contenders in the DPOY odds and make our picks here.
NFL DPOY Odds 2023/2024
|Micah Parsons (Cowboys)||+500|
|Myles Garrett (Browns)||+800|
|TJ Watt (Steelers)||+850|
|Nick Bosa (49ers)||+1200|
|Ahmad Gardner (Jets)||+1500|
|Maxx Crosby (Raiders)||+2000|
|Aaron Donald (Rams)||+2500|
|Haason Reddick (Eagles)||+2500|
|Aidan Hutchinson (Lions)||+2500|
|Chris Jones (Chiefs)||+2500|
|Brian Burns (Panthers)||+3000|
|Quinnen Williams (Jets)||+3000|
|Roquan Smith (Ravens)||+4000|
|Patrick Surtain II (Broncos)||+4000|
|Fred Warner (49ers)||+4500|
|Joey Bosa (Chargers)||+4500|
|Rashan Gary (Packers)||+5000|
|Matthew Judon (Patriots)||+5000|
|Chase Young (Commanders)||+5000|
|Jaelan Phillips (Dolphins)||+5000|
Micah Parsons is the +500 favorite to take home the award this season after losing it down the stretch to Nick Bosa last year. Bosa has the fourth-best odds to repeat at +1200. Browns edge rusher Myles Garrett has +800 odds to win the award, and TJ Watt of the Steelers is currently +850 to win DPOY for the second time in his career. Sauce Gardner rounds out the top five with +1500 odds.
Odds as of August 31 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out all of the top US betting sites to get the best bonuses for the NFL season.
Micah Parsons: DPOY Favorite
It is not much of a surprise that Parsons is the favorite in the Defensive Player of the Year odds. He is an elite linebacker and edge rusher combined into one. He finished last season with 65 total tackles, 13.5 sacks, and 3 forced fumbles. Parsons was the favorite to win in 2022 from Week 4 until Week 16 when Nick Bosa passed him. Parsons got all the way to -1100 to win DPOY. He has received votes in both seasons he has played and has more than enough talent.
Parsons has been the favorite all offseason but has already been bet down from +750 to now +500. So if you like Parsons to win NFL DPOY in 2023, get your bets in sooner rather than later.
“I expect a Defensive Player of the Year type of year from him. Hands down. If I was a betting guy, my money is on him.
Kearse says that… pic.twitter.com/XsfvAtFCXW
— JPAFootball (@jasrifootball) August 30, 2023
Defensive Player of the Year Contenders
Micah Parsons is the clear favorite in the NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds, but many others could make a run at DPOY. Myles Garrett would be a strong bet as he has accumulated 16 sacks in each of his last two seasons. He is always a threat to lead the league in sacks, which the voters covet. Garrett was right there with Parsons in March at +750 to win DPOY but is now +800.
TJ Watt is a name that always floats towards the top of DPOY voting. Watt won the award in 2021 but could not stay healthy in 2022. If Watt plays all 17 games, he has a strong chance to lead the league in sacks and force multiple turnovers, making him a top DPOY candidate. Watt has been at +850 odds since the end of last season.
Two sleepers to consider are edge rushers Brian Burns (+3000) and Aidan Hutchinson (+2500). The Panthers’ defense could sneakily be a top unit in 2023 with a weak NFC South and the defensive coordinator hire of Ejiro Evero. Burns had 12.5 sacks last season and is just 25 years old.
Hutchinson is heading into his sophomore season after amassing 9.5 sacks and three interceptions last year. He is the focal point of a Lions defense that needs to improve if they want to live up to the hype in 2023. If Detroit makes that jump, Hutchinson will be a major part of that and would be worth a flyer in your NFL DPOY predictions.
Don’t Buy the Sauce
Sauce Gardner is getting a lot of betting interest to win DPOY. He won Defensive Rookie of the Year last season, so this makes sense as the next logical step. However, a defensive back has not won this award since Stephon Gilmore and his six interceptions did in 2019. Before that, the last defensive back was Troy Polamalu in 2010.
Gardner is a great cornerback, however, he had just two interceptions and zero sacks in 2022. If he wants to win this award, Gardner will need to improve drastically in both areas. There is also a good chance teams start to game plan around Gardner and not throw in his direction later in the year, making it even more difficult to generate the stats he will need. His NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds are just too short as a non-pass rusher.
Who Is the Best Bet for Defensive Player of the Year?
I normally do not like betting on the favorite to win any award, but this year truly feels like it is Parsons’ to lose. Parsons was the NFL Defensive Player of the Year betting favorite for the majority of the 2022 season until the Cowboys’ defense fell off. He makes plays all over the field and can be used in any situation. Parsons is on the voting committee’s radar and is hungry to claim what is his.
NFL Defensive Player of the Year Prediction: Micah Parsons +500
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