- The Chiefs remain the Super Bowl favorite following the Divisional Round
- Cincinnati made the biggest move on the oddsboard going from +750 to +265
- Check out the latest Super Bowl 57 odds following the Divisional Round slate
The Chiefs ended the Divisional Round the same way they started it. As the frontrunners to raise the Lombardi Trophy. KC’s championship price tag shrunk from +280 ahead of their victory over the Jaguars to +270 afterwards, and then was shortened to +225 following Sunday’s action.
Super Bowl 57 Odds
|Kansas City Chiefs
|San Francisco 49ers
Odds as of January 22 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings promo to bet on NFL Futures.
Everyone was expecting a Chiefs-Bills AFC Championship Game, but once again the Bengals threw a wrench into everybody’s postseason plans. Cincinnati pulled off the biggest upset of the playoffs so far on Sunday by trouncing Buffalo 27-10. That win shot the Bengals up the Super Bowl 57 odds board, where they now reside just behind Kansas City.
Over in the NFC, the Eagles championship price has been shortened from +350 to +265 over the last 24 hours. Philadelphia remains the third-leading contender to win it all, followed by 49ers who appear to offer a good deal of value.
Cincinnati Bengals Super Bowl Betting Analysis
If there’s one quarterback you don’t want to line up against right now it’s Joe Burrow. Joe Cool is an absolute stone cold killer in the playoffs, and he proved it once again versus the Bills.
Burrow threw for 242 yards and two scores, and chipped in another 31 yards on the ground. He methodically led Cincinnati up and down the field versus a very good Bills defense, seemingly always having an answer for what they threw it at him.
Bengals' first 52 seasons: 5 playoff wins.
Bengals in Joe Burrow's first 3 years: 5 playoff wins.
Last year, Burrow told me over and over again that the old Bengals were dead and gone. He was right. This isn't some underdog story anymore.
— Albert Breer (@AlbertBreer) January 22, 2023
Burrow improved to 5-1 in his postseason career as a starter, and 3-1 as an underdog. He broke the Bengals franchise record for playoff passing yards in just his second postseason, and is one win way from leading Cincy to a second straight Super Bowl appearance.
As good as the offense was, you can’t ignore how well the defense played. The Bengals held the Bills, the second highest scoring team in the league, to a season-low 10 points. Cincinnati stymied Josh Allen and Buffalo’s aerial attack all afternoon, holding him without a passing TD and just 265 yards.
The Bengals also completely neutralized the Bills ground attack. Buffalo RB’s mustered just 37 yards on 11 carries, while the Bills were only 4-for-12 on third down.
If Cincinnati can do that to Buffalo, it’s certainly not out of the question that they can shut down a hobbled Mahomes as well. The Bengals held the Chiefs to 24 points in the regular season, KC’s fourth lowest total of the campaign.
QB’s With At Least 5 Playoff Wins in First 3 Seasons
|Russell Wilson (Seahawks)
|Joe Burrow (Bengals)
|Ben Roethlisberger (Steelers)
Cincinnati also silenced a healthy Mahomes and KC in the second half of last year’s AFC Championship Game. They held the Chiefs to three points over the final 30 minutes, erasing an 18-point deficit before winning in OT.
The Bengals will enter the conference championship game riding a 10-game winning streak, and you could argue they deserve to be favored given Mahomes’ injury.
San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl Betting Analysis
Back to the Niners now. Brock Purdy and the offense came back down to earth against an elite Cowboys defense on Sunday, but when the game was on the line San Francisco found a way to grind out a victory.
At the forefront, is arguably the league’s best rushing attack. The 49ers rushed for just 113 yards on 32 carries, but every time they needed a key conversion, there was the running game with the answer.
Despite underwhelming overall numbers, Purdy still managed to play clean football. He completed 66% of his throws for 219 yards, and got the ball to his explosive playmakers in space.
No defense remaining in the playoffs, not named the 49ers, is as strong as Dallas’. That should give San Fran backers confidence that Purdy and Co. can return to the form they flashed prior to the Divisional Round.
In six previous starts, Purdy led the Niners to an average of 35 points per game. The 49ers have won seven straight with Purdy under center, and 12 in a row overall.
The 49ers have now won 12 straight games (inc. playoffs), their longest win streak since 1984. They are going to the Conference Championship for the 18th time, which was already the most in the NFL. pic.twitter.com/ijn14JTrrB
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) January 23, 2023
Defensively, San Francisco showcased why they were the top graded unit per DVOA. They held the Cowboys to 12 points and one touchdown. The Niners yielded just 4.7 yards per play, while forcing two turnovers. San Francisco boasts an incredible combination of elite pass rushers and pure speed, and will make the lives of the next two quarterbacks they face miserable for 60 minutes.
Despite boasting the longest odds of the four teams remaining, the two NFC squads are perhaps the most dangerous. As we detailed following Saturday’s games, Philly also has an elite rushing attack and a top tier defense. That gives the Eagles and 49ers the ingredients to stymie whoever they wind up meeting next on offense, and the ability to control the clock and salt away games on the ground.
With Mahomes’ effectiveness likely severely impacted by his high ankle sprain, grab the value with your favorite remaining NFC team to win it all.