Eagles vs Cowboys Props: Sunday Night Football Week 7
- Week 7’s Sunday Night Football sees the Philadelpha Eagles visit the Dallas Cowboys as they battle for the top spot in the NFC East
- SNF props record: 1-2 in Week 6; 6-12 on the season (-6.48 units)
- Let’s take a look at three of the most interesting prop bets for Week 7 SNF matchup
Bitter division rivals face off on Sunday Night Football as Carson Wentz leads the Philadelphia Eagles into Dallas to face Dak Prescott and the struggling Cowboys.
The Cowboys will be looking to break a three game losing streak tonight after a hot start to the season. Similarly, I’m hopeful that the reprieve Week 6 offered from finishing in the red is a sign of good things to come. Sure, my record was 1-2, but still a profit of .2 units was made. Let’s hope the small profit is enough to get things headed back in the right direction.
Prop 1: Dak Prescott Pass Completions
| Completions | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 23.5 | -114 |
| Under 23.5 | -114 |
*All odds taken October 19th
The Cowboys have cooled off recently, but Dak keeps on dishing. After six weeks of action, Dak was tied for 8th in completions with 147, averaging 24.5 a game. In the last two weeks Prescott has put up 27 and 28 completions, respectively. Never mind that both games were Cowboy losses or that scoring efficiency has drastically dropped, we are betting completions here.
Big pieces of the Cowboys offense head into the week questionable with injuries, however both WR Amari Cooper and LT Tyron Smith are expected to play.
Dak Prescott Week 1-3
70/94 completions/attempts
920 passing yards
9 passing TDs
2 INTs
Record 3-0Dak Prescott Week 4-6
77/117 completions/attempts
963 passing yards
2 passing TDs
4 INTS
Record 3-3 #Cowboys pic.twitter.com/8ZbvFrlW1d— History of Sports (@BeforeFamePics) October 13, 2019
The Eagles defense is stout against the run, but shaky at best against the pass, backing up their 2nd ranked run defense with the league’s 29th ranked pass defense. On two separate occasions they have given up 30 or more pass completions, only holding Matt Stafford, Kirk Cousins, and Luke Falk (who, in my opinion, has no place starting in the NFL) under 23.
With a tough Eagles run D looking to neutralize Zeke, Prescott will continue to rack up the passing stats against a soft Eagles secondary.
Pick: Over -114
Risk: 2 units to win 1.76 units
Prop 2: Miles Sanders Pass Receptions
| Receptions | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | -130 |
| Under 2.5 | +100 |
Despite a disappointing start to rookie RB Miles Sanders’ season, his performance in the passing game has been a definite silver lining.
As his touches have regressed over the last few weeks his role in the passing game has increased, paying off in big ways. On the season, Sanders and his 18 targets lead in air yards and average depth of target (aDOT). His total of 148 air yards is 20 yards more then the next closest back, and only four RBs are actually over 100 air yards on the season.
Efficiency and talent have matched the last couple weeks as Sanders has provided a much needed boost to the Eagles attack, catching 7 balls on 8 targets for 135 yards and a TD.
Miles Sanders has averaged 16.8 yards per reception this season, highest among RBs.#FlyEaglesFly pic.twitter.com/vLr0xoGOhp
— Inside Edge NFL (@IE_NFL) October 15, 2019
He may not take the top off a defense quite the same as injured teammate DeSean Jackson, but his 8.2 aDOT and 16.8 yards per catch bring an explosive element out of the backfield.
Pick: Over -130
Risk: 1 unit to win 0.77 units
Prop 3: Margin of Victory
| Team (Win Margin) | Odds |
|---|---|
| DAL (1-13) | +152 |
| DAL (14+) | +325 |
| PHI (1-13) | +202 |
| PHI (14+) | +548 |
After three weeks the Dallas Cowboys could do no wrong as they were 3-0, looking like Super Bowl contenders after steamrolling their first three opponents. Fast forward to Week 7 and the Cowboys come in off three straight losses, looking nothing like the juggernaut we were starting to envision.
The offense is balanced, ranking inside the top 10 in both passing and rushing, and ranking 2nd in the NFL in total yards and third down conversion rate.
The defense is also a top 10 unit in total yards allowed and points against.
So, how are they 3-3 with all these great numbers? The hot start weeks 1-3 skew these numbers greatly. In these, the Cowboys averaged 32.3 ppg and their opponents scored only 14.7.
Eagles Cowboys gettin ??
DeMarcus Lawrence on Doug Pederson saying Eagles are going to win football game
“Tell him to come on. We ready. Can he play the game? He might want to shut his ass up and stay on the sidelines. He can’t play the game for them”
-From @TheAthletic pic.twitter.com/Mhj74i3t5m
— John Clark (@JClarkNBCS) October 18, 2019
The Philadelphia Eagles have been hot and cold this season, and now have to deal without LT Jason Peters.
They come in with a record mirroring their division rivals at 3-3 and an offense ranking mostly in the middle of the pack.
The Eagles showed potential walking into Green Bay in Week 4, coming away with the W, but that remains their only notable win as the other two .500 (or better) teams they have faced resulted in losses. This Sunday night will tell us a lot about both of these potential playoff teams and how the NFC East may shake out.
Pick: Eagles by 1-13 +202
Risk: 1 unit to win 2.02 units
Nick Ferris is a seasoned fantasy football vet of over 20 years. He's an expert in everything from best ball to daily fantasy sports. Although arm chair quarterback is as close he ever got to the field - or are we counting 7v7 touch? - he has been fortunate enough to coach some youth football.
