Eagles vs Jaguars Expert Picks & Props to Bet in London (Oct 11)

• The Eagles vs Jaguars will collide Sunday at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London
• The Jaguars are favorites to cover the spread (-7.5) in Eagles vs Jaguars picks amid a strong start to the season
• Will Shipley is a name to watch in Eagles vs Jaguars player props ahead of Sunday’s contest

The Jacksonville Jaguars host the Philadelphia Eagles at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium for a 9:30 AM ET kickoff broadcast on NFL Network. The Jaguars boast a 3-1 record and a two-game winning streak. The Eagles attempt to snap a two-game losing skid to improve a 2-2 start.

This international matchup features an efficient favorite against an injured underdog. The Eagles offense faces severe limitations, as running back Saquon Barkley and wide receiver DeVonta Smith did not participate in practice with hamstring injuries. The Jaguars enter much healthier, with receiver Jakobi Meyers logging full practice participation despite a thumb concern.

Explore the NFL odds and actionable sports betting picks below.

Eagles vs Jaguars Predictions and Expert Picks

• Jaguars -7.5 (+100 / 50¢ at Kalshi)
• Under 41.5 (+104 / 49¢ at Kalshi)
• Will Shipley Over 37.5 Rushing Yards (-107 at BetMGM)
• Will Shipley Anytime Touchdown (+245 / 29¢ via Kalshi)

Prediction Markets

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Kalshi

Jacksonville -7.5

50%

Under 41.5 Points

49%

Shipley 1+ Touchdown

29%

Predict

The Jaguars average 26.0 points per game, heavily out-pacing the Eagles’ 18.8 mark while holding opponents to just 13.3 points per contest, the second-best mark in the NFL. Jacksonville completely dominates situational football, converting 51.1% of third-down opportunities (23-of-45), the second-best mark in the AFC behind the Buffalo Bills, and executing an 81.8% touchdown rate inside the red zone. This operational efficiency, paired with a league-leading +6 turnover differential (seven takeaways against only one giveaway), gives the Jaguars a massive structural advantage against an offense prone to short fields and stalled drives.

The Eagles convert just 35.9% of third downs and enter Week 5 burdened by a -3 turnover differential, failing to cover the spread in all four contests (0-4 ATS). Sidelining Saquon Barkley and DeVonta Smith strips 150-plus yards of weekly scrimmage production from a unit already stagnating at just 269.8 total yards per game, the fourth-worst mark in the league. Without those primary chain-movers, Philadelphia faces long down-and-distance situations against a surging Jacksonville defense that allows just 74.3 rushing yards per game and held both New England and Cleveland to 10 or fewer points.

Jacksonville is 3-1 to the Under this season with three consecutive games failing to exceed 41 points, setting up the Jaguars to dictate time of possession, cover the 7.5-point number, and anchor the game total well Under 41.5.

With Barkley sidelined, Will Shipley inherits primary backfield volume and high-leverage usage. Shipley has already logged double-digit touches when called upon in spot work, and he now steps into 14 to 18 projected opportunities as Philadelphia’s clear RB1.

While Jacksonville’s front seven is stout, Shipley needs only a modest 2.5 yards per carry on a 15-carry baseline to eclipse 37.5 yards on volume alone. Backing Shipley to find the end zone at 29¢ on Kalshi offers immense value, as Philadelphia must rely heavily on designated goal-line touches and backfield screen designs to manufacture red zone points without its top two skill stars.

NFL Public Betting: Eagles vs Jaguars Splits

• Moneyline: Jaguars (55.87%) | Eagles (44.13%)
• Point Spread: Jaguars (72.24%) | Eagles (27.76%)
• Total Points: Under (62.16%) | Over (37.84%)

Bettors are heavily backing the superior offense in NFL public betting data. Sharp alignment surfaces on the point spread, where 72.24% of the money supports the Jaguars laying the points. The financial splits also back the Under, with 62.16% of handle expecting the Eagles’ offensive injuries to suppress the overall scoring output.

Eagles vs Jaguars Odds

Odds as of October 9, 2026, at 7:14 AM ET from BetMGM. Claim your BetMGM promo now.

Removing vigorish, the Jaguars hold a 75.9% normalized probability of securing a straight-up victory. The Eagles carry a 24.1% probability of executing the outright upset. The modest 41.5-point total reflects the injury attrition impacting the scoring forecast.

Eagles vs Jaguars Team Stats Comparison

The Jaguars move the football efficiently through the air, compiling 210.75 passing yards per game at 8.11 yards per attempt. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence commands an attack producing 26.0 points per game. Meyers logged full practice participation and will challenge an opposing secondary yielding 222.0 passing yards per contest.

The Eagles struggle to create defensive disruption, forcing a mere 0.5 turnovers per game while allowing 344.0 total yards. The Jaguars protect the football exceptionally well, giving away possession just 0.5 times per game. This clear discrepancy in ball security heavily favors the favorite controlling the field position battle.

Conversely, quarterback Jalen Hurts manages an offense restricted to 18.8 points and 178.25 passing yards per game. Generating only 6.20 yards per pass attempt, the Eagles face an arduous task without Barkley, Smith, and Hollywood Brown. Shipley must shoulder the rushing workload against a defense surrendering 13.25 points per game.

While the Jaguars allow 354.5 total yards per game, they execute in leverage situations. They generate 2.0 turnovers and 2.5 sacks per game, posing massive issues for a depleted offensive unit giving the ball away 1.25 times per contest.