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Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills Player Props – Best Prop Bets for MNF Week 3

John Hyslop

By John Hyslop in NFL Football

Published:


Buffalo Bills wide receiver Khalil Shakir running away from Jacksonville Jaguars cornerback Tre Herndon
Oct 8, 2023; London United Kingdom; Buffalo Bills wide receiver Khalil Shakir (10) is pursued by Jacksonville Jaguars cornerback Tre Herndon (37) during the second half of an NFL International Series game at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
  • Week 3 is almost in the books but we still need to see how the Jacksonville Jaguars/Buffalo Bills game plays out on Monday Night Football
  • My favorite way to get down on the NFL is by betting players props and there are a few worth considering Monday night
  • See below to find two of my favorite Jaguars vs Bills player props to bet for this MNF matchup

The NFL is giving us two Monday Night Football games this week so obviously we need to get down. It’s the right thing to do. We can’t have these guys out there playing for nothing. Since there are two games, we’re going to get loose on both. We need to let the NFL know that we want this every single Monday moving forward. The best way to do that is to show our appreciation by gambling.

The early game is the Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills. About 45 minutes after they kick off, we’ll get the Washington Commanders vs Cincinnati Bengals. I’m hoping YouTube TV is offering the split screen because I don’t want to miss a play in either game. Why? Because we’ve got a player prop bet in each of the two games. This could easily be the greatest night of our lives.

Jaguars vs Bills Player Prop Picks

Player Rushing Attempts Rushing Yards Pick
James Cook (Bills) 14.5 (Ov -120 / Un -108) 61.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110) 70+ Rushing Yards (+128)
Player Rushing Attempts Rushing Yards Pick
Brian Robinson Jr (Commanders) 13.5 (Ov -120 / Un -108) 53.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113) 60+ Rushing Yards (+118)

Both Monday Night Football player props in Week 3 are on running backs to go over an alt-total at plus-money, starting with Buffalo’s James Cook in the early kickoff, followed Washington’s Brian Robinson Jr in the late game.

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James Cook Is Legit

The first rule of gambling is you can’t win if you don’t bet. That is a fact that can’t be disputed. It’s my favorite rule for anything but a close second is the second rule of gambling which is, “only bet on guys you can trust.”

Lucky for us, James Cook is in the Circle of Trust and he plays tonight. We have to trust a guy that runs 65 mph.

Here’s the thing, we don’t have to spend a lot of time on this one. Overthinking is the best way to lose our money betting sports. We have a guy that is faster than my first car. The Buffalo Bills know this so they just hand the ball to this guy and watch him run off with it. It’s a very simple process that works.

Want proof? So far this season, Cook has gone for 70+ rushing yards in both games. I get that he’s only played two games but whatever. He can only play when his team has a game scheduled. So far that has only been twice. He’s going to see the Jacksonville Jaguars tonight who haven’t been bad against the run but they haven’t been good either. What’s better is they should keep this thing close enough that it forces the Bills to run in garbage time.

When that happens, James Cook will go for 70+ rushing yards. It’s science.

  • The Pick: James Cook 70+ Rushing Yards (+128) at FanDuel

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Brian Robinson Is an Absolute Beast

I’m not the biggest rushing yards guy out there but we’ve reached a point in NFL history when people are running the ball again. Look around, it’s everywhere. Blame the 2-high safety looks, smaller defenders, whatever. The fact remains, teams are sticking to the ground.

Can we really blame them, though? When we have matchups like Washington vs Cincinnati tonight, you almost have to run.

It’s tough to go on and on about a rushing prop so I won’t. We don’t need it. To run the ball, we just have to want to. That and have an absolute beast and a decent offensive line. That’s something the Commanders have with Brian Robinson Jr and their guys up front. It’s simple really.

The only thing I don’t love is the fact that the Commanders are pretty big underdogs tonight. We can go broke backing running backs in road games as underdogs but we’re built different. Plus we can see that the only way the Commanders have a chance in this thing is by running with Robinson early and moving the chains in doing so.

If that happens, Joe Burrow stays off the field, the Commanders keep it respectable and Brian Robinson Jr runs for more than 60 yards. Feels right.

  • The Pick: Brian Robinson 60+ Rushing Yards (+118)

 

Also see:

John Hyslop

John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it.

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