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Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Odds, Lines, Picks and Predictions for Week 2 Sunday Night Football

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in NFL Football

Updated Sep 17, 2023 · 7:50 AM PDT

Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Dolphins vs Patriots
Sep 10, 2023; Inglewood, California, USA; Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) recovers a fumble off a snap in the second half against the Los Angeles Chargers at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports
  • AFC East rivals clash as the New England Patriots host the Miami Dolphins on Sunday Night Football
  • New England enters the weekend riding a five-game ATS losing streak
  • Read on for all the Dolphins vs Patriots odds and trends ahead of Sunday night’s game at Gillette Stadium

The New England Patriots will be looking to snap a five-game ATS losing streak when they host the division rival Miami Dolphins in NFL Week 2 action on Sunday Night Football. Read on for our top Dolphins vs Patriots picks for Sunday Night Football here.

The Patriots opened their schedule with a 25-20 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles as 3.5-point home underdogs, which also marked the team’s sixth outright loss in eight contests. The Dolphins wrap up a two-game road trip in New England on Sunday night after eking out a narrow 36-34 victory over the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 1 but are winless in their past three primetime games on the road. Can Miami verse that trend and cash as favorites tonight in the Dolphins vs Patriots picks?

Dolphins vs Patriots Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Miami Dolphins -2.5 (-118) -142 O 46.5 (-110)
New England Patriots +2.5 (-102) +120 U 46.5 (-110)

The Dolphins have improved slightly to 2.5-point road favorites on the NFL odds since opening at -2, but have commanded just 43% of the betting action ahead of Sunday’s clash. The Patriots trail as +120 underdogs, while the title has seen an uptick from 45.5 to 46.5.

Start time of Sunday night’s matchup at Gillette Stadium is 8:20 pm ET, with clear skies and temperatures hovering around 70 degrees at game time.

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Dolphins vs Patriots Recent History

Sunday night’s matchup marks the first of two meetings this season between these AFC East rivals. Their teams split last year’s season series, with New England recording a 23-21 home victory in Week 17, snapping a four-game SU slide. However, the Patriots have consistently disappointed loyal sports bettors when facing the Dolphins, failing to cover in five straight clashes, and just three times over their past eight dates with Miami. With the Patriots averaging just 17.2 points per game, the UNDER has paid out in four of their past six head-to-head matchups.

Miami Dolphins Betting Outlook

Miami set its clock to Tua Time in last weekend’s season-opener versus the Chargers. Faced with a highly anticipated duel against LA pivot Justin Herbert, Dolphins passer Tua Tagovailoa rose to the occasion, tossing for 466 yards and three TDs to lead Miami to a narrow victory. Last week’s performance bodes well for the 25-year-old, who has struggled at times to realize his vast potential due to his brutal injury history.

While Tua’s sensational Week 1 performance has lifted him alongside Patrick Mahomes as a +700 co-favorite on the NFL MVP odds, he has been less than spectacular playing under the lights. The Miami pivot is winless in his past three road appearances in primetime and has averaged just 171.4 passing yards and just six total TDs in seven career appearances.

The Dolphins are also dealing with a rash of injuries. Among the players missing time at practice this week were rusher Raheem Mostert and receiver Jaylen Widdle, who both look good to go on Sunday. However, tackle Terron Armstead and defenders Elijah Campbell and Jaelan Phillips remain questionable.

New England Patriots Betting Outlook

Mac Jones gave Patriots fans hope that this team has turned the corner on offense while tossing for 316 yards and three touchdowns in last week’s loss to Philadelphia. However, the team’s slow start and sloppy finish remain cause for serious concern as they look to pull the upset in the Dolphins vs Patriots odds as they get set to face another powerhouse offense on Sunday night.

The Patriots turned over the ball on their first two possessions, resulting in an early 16-0 Eagles lead. And while they made things close with a pair of scoring drives just before recess, they were unable to maintain that momentum against an Eagles squad that failed to live up to the hype as defending NFC champions.

Kendrick Bourne recorded a pair of scoring catches and Ezekiel Elliott compiled 29 yards on seven carries in his Pats debut. However, this team needs to get healthy quickly. The offensive line sorely misses guards Cole Strange and Mike Onwenu, who were both out last week and remain listed as questionable. Receiver Devante Parker is also questionable as deals with a knee injury, possibly upping the workload for Juju Smith-Schuster, who made just four catches on seven targets for just 33 yards last week.

Dolphins vs Patriots Prediction

As evidenced by last week’s date with the Chargers, the Dolphins still have some work to do on defense, which could provide the Pats with a much-needed opportunity to bust out after scoring an average of just 19.3 points per game. But keeping up with the Dolphins attack is another matter. Sunday night’s contest has the potential for fireworks and another ATS loss for the Pats in the Dolphins vs Patriots odds.

Dolphins vs Patriots Picks: Dolphins -2.5 (-118); OVER 45.5 (-110)

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