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3 Props to Bet on Monday Night Football of Week 2: Wilson Will Out Pass Trubisky

Russell Wilson
Russell Wilson looks to have another big passing day in Week 2 as the Seahawks travel to Chicago to visit the Bears. Photo by Larry Maurer {Wiki Commons) [CC License].
  • Seattle visits Chicago on Monday Night Football. Can Russell Wilson have a bigger day passing than Mitchell Trubisky?
  • With two evenly matched teams, could we see a game decided by field goals?
  • How many yards will the Bears’ Jordan Howard rush for?

Monday Night Football features two 0-1 teams with the Seattle Seahawks visiting the Chicago Bears. We dig into the prop cards to find the three best bets for MNF.

Prop #1: Russell Wilson to Have More Passing Yards than Mitchell Trubisky

QB to Throw More Passing Yards BetOnline Odds
Russell Wilson -185
Mitchell Trubisky +122

*All odds taken on 9/15/18

Week 1 saw Russell Wilson back to doing Russell Wilson things in carrying the load for Seattle’s offense. Seattle’s offensive line and run game leave much to be desired and the Seahawks attempted the fourth-fewest rushes of any team in Week 1.

That should mean we’ll see another high-volume day from Wilson through the air as he completed 19/33 passes last week for 298 yards.

In Wilson’s 97-game NFL career, his passing average is 231.7 YPG, compared to Trubisky’s career average of 181.8. Albeit Trubisky’s comes from a much smaller sample size of 13 career games.

Wilson vs Trubisky Passing Yards in Last 5 Games


298 Week 1 171
221 *Week 17 178
93 *Week 16 193
142 *Week 15 314
271 *Week 14 271

*2017 regular season stats

In the above chart, Trubisky had two big passing days in Week 14 and 15, however he only cracked the 200-yard mark once in the eight games prior.

For Wilson, he threw for 200+ yards in 9/12 of his remaining 2017 games. In two of the three that he didn’t, he had 198. Wilson also added two 300+ games and another over 400.

Pick: Wilson will have more passing yards than Trubisky.

Prop #2: Over 2.5 Total Field Goals

Number of FGs in Seahawks vs Bears BetOnline Odds
O2.5 -160
U2.5 +140

In the Seahawks vs Bears Week 2 game the Bears are field goal favorties and I could certainly see it being a tight game decided by one of the kickers.

In field goal props I like to look for teams that have the ability to move the ball playing against teams with strong defenses. Additionally I like games where the teams involved lack the finishing to complete drives with touchdowns.

Last week Chicago made four trips to the red zone which tied for eighth-best in Week 1. However they were only successful in completing those drives with touchdowns once, ranking them 25th in Week 1 red zone TD percentage. Instead, Cody Parkey went 3/3 in field goals. Overall the Bears vs Packers game featured four completed kicks.

Last week Chicago made four trips to the red zone. However they were only successful in completing those drives with touchdowns once.

In the Seahawks vs Broncos game, the Hawks attempted two kicks but Sebastian Janikowski was only 1/2. In the game as a whole though, three kicks were successful.

Wilson put up nearly 300 yards passing last week and three touchdowns and we know he’ll do everything he can to move Seattle’s offense. But the Hawks are one-dimensional offensively and Khalil Mack and a strong Bears’ defense should be able to bog them down and force field goals.

Pick: There will be over 2.5 total field goals on Monday night.

Prop #3: Jordan Howard at Least 76 Rushing Yards

Jordan Howard and the Bears’ ground game will be going up against a Seahawks’ run defense which only ranked 19th in 2017. They allowed 114 YPG on the ground last season. Chicago was only mid-pack in rushing YPG themselves last year, but still ran for 111.8 YPG.

Howard’s career average is 78.7 so just slightly over the posted total for this prop.

In Week 1 against the Packers, Howard was rolling through the early portions of the game and finished with 82 yards on 15 rushing attempts. He carried the bulk of the workload as Trubisky was actually the second-leading rusher on the team with 32 yards on seven carries, ahead of Tarik Cohen who had 25 yards on five.

Howard could be in for a big day as Seattle allowed the seventh-most ground yards last week at 146, including 71 yards to each of Denver’s rookie backs in Royce Freeman and Phillip Lindsay.

Total Rushing Yards for Jordan Howard against the Seahawks

Rushing Yards BetOnline Odds
66+ -323
76+ -115
86+ +100
96+ +138
106+ +189
116+ +254

Best Bet: Jordan Howard will have more than 76 rushing yards on Monday night.

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