Odds of Daniel Jones Rushing for More Touchdowns Than Adrian Peterson in Week 4 Set at +300

By Eric Thompson in NFL Football
Updated: April 3, 2020 at 9:44 am EDTPublished:

- In a stunning debut, rookie Daniel Jones led a thrilling 18-point comeback against the Buccaneers
- Not only did he throw for two scores, but the athletic QB ran for two more. Bettors took note
- After opening at +300, the odds he’ll rush for more TDs than Adrian Peterson in Week 4 is down to +240
After Eli Manning’s benching following a Week 2 loss, the debates raged. Was the Giants’ quarterback a Hall of Famer? We now have our answer. Unequivocally yes… Daniel Jones is Canton bound!
That seems to be the only reaction in the Big Apple following a huge Week 3 comeback over Tampa. Jones showed great arm talent, along with a scrambling ability not seen for Big Blue since the Hefty Lefty was on the sidelines.
Now, the prop makers have decided to pit the Giants surefire Hall of Famer against another this week.
Adrian Peterson vs Daniel Jones Rushing TD Odds
More Week 4 Rushing TDs | Odds |
---|---|
Adrian Peterson | -380 |
Daniel Jones | +240 |
All odds taken 09/26/19
Who will find paydirt more at Metlife on Sunday?
Peterson’s Best Days Are Behind Him
While he still manages a few highlights a year that remind you how great an athlete he is, Peterson is definitely on the decline. In his last 30 games, he’s rushed for just 10 TDs, which doesn’t sound terrible until you remember his career production.
Head-to-Head Matchup
107 | Rush TDs in Career | 2 |
1 | Rush TDs in 2019 | 2 |
0.71 | Rush TDs per Game | 1 |
There’s still a ton of motivation for Peterson, who sits just three rushing scores behind Walter Payton on the all-time list. But lately, he hasn’t got much help from his offense or coach.
Jones Might Get More Goal-line Calls
On the season, Jones and Peterson both have the same amount of carries inside the 10-yard line, with two. And with Saquan Barkley out this week, it would figure the athletic Giants quarterback may get more chances to make plays with his legs in the red zone.
Daniel Jones reached 19.47 MPH on this 7-yard TD run. Jones is now responsible for two of the FASTEST speeds reached by a QB this season:
Lamar Jackson: 19.78 MPH
Kyler Murray: 19.72 MPH
Daniel Jones: 19.51 MPH
Daniel Jones: 19.47 MPH#NYGvsTB | @Giants pic.twitter.com/MlnEVd7iGi— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) September 22, 2019
Both teams have abysmal defenses, so it would figure they’ll both get plenty of chances inside the 20. But after getting scratched in Week 1, Peterson has played just 31 and 47% of offensive snaps for Washington. Jones will be out there every play. Based on opportunity alone, it’s astounding that these odds favor Peterson so much.
The Play
The -380 odds imply a nearly an 80% chance that Peterson rushes for more TDs. That’s ludicrous. He might punch in one against this Giants D, but I’m pretty confident Jones won’t be denied as well. Roll with the rookie getting some juicy odds here.

Sports Writer
Eric Thompson has been with SBD since 2015, serving as a sports betting expert in NFL, NHL, NBA, and MLB. If you want someone who eats, sleeps, and breathes sports news and betting, Eric is your man. Having studied economics at university, he understands what value is and how to spot it.