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Odds to Lead NFL in Receiving Yards in 2022/23 Favor Kupp – Best Bets and Predictions

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in NFL Football

Apr 11, 2022 · 7:19 AM PDT

Kupp
Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Cooper Kupp, top, catches a touchdown against Cincinnati Bengals cornerback Eli Apple during the second half of the NFL Super Bowl 56 football game Sunday, Feb. 13, 2022, in Inglewood, Calif. (AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez)
  • The Los Angeles Rams’ Cooper Kupp is favored to lead the NFL in receiving yards in 2022
  • Kupp topped the league in receptions, receiving yards and touchdown catches last season
  • A look at the 2022 receiving yardage leader odds can be found below

Cooper Kupp is the favorite to lead the NFL in receiving yards in 2022, not surprising considering the wide receiver had a season for the ages in 2021 while helping the Los Angeles Rams win the Super Bowl.

Kupp led the league in receptions (145), receiving yards (1,947) and touchdown catches (16). As a +800 choice, Kupp has an 11.11% implied probability to win the receiving yards crown again.

Following Kupp on the odds board are the Minnesota Vikings’ Justin Jefferson (+1000) and Las Vegas Raiders’ Davante Adams (+1100).

2022 NFL Receiving Yardage Leader Odds

Player Odds
Cooper Kupp (Rams) +800
Justin Jefferson (Vikings) +1000
Davante Adams (Raiders) +1100
Ja’Marr Chase (Bengals) +1200
Tyreek Hill (Dolphins) +1400
Deebo Samuel (49ers) +1500
Stefon Diggs (Bills) +1800
Diontae Johnson (Steelers) +2000
Travis Kelce (Chiefs) +2500
CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys) +2500
DJ Moore (Panthers) +2500
DeAndre Hopkins (Cardinals) +3000
A.J. Brown (Titans) +3500
DK Metcalf (Seahawks) +3500
Mike Evans (Buccaneers) +4000
Keenan Allen (Chargers) +4000
Mark Andrews (Ravens) +4000
Mike Williams (Chargers) +4000
Michael Thomas (Saints) +4000
Chris Godwin (Buccaneers) +4500

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Kupp became the fifth different player to lead the NFL in receiving yards in the last five seasons. He fell 17 yards short of the league single season record of 1,964 by Calvin Johnson in 2012 with the Detroit Lions.

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Kupp had the advantage of playing in 17 games as the NFL expanded its regular season schedule by one game in 2021.

Here is a look at the last five receiving yardage champions

Season Receiving Yards Leaders 2017-21

Season Players Receiving Yards
2021 Cooper Kupp (Rams) 1,947
2020 Stefon Diggs (Bills) 1,535
2019 Michael Thomas (Saints) 1,725
2018 Julio Jones (Falcons) 1,677
2017 Antonio Brown (Steelers) 1,533

Kupp Logical Favorite

It is not surprising that Kupp is the favorite to repeat as the receiving yardage leader following his season for the ages.

He is already working on 2022.

The Rams finished fifth in the NFL in passing yards last year in Matt Stafford’s first season as quarterback. Los Angeles seems likely to have an explosive offense again despite trading wide receiver Robert Woods to the Tennessee Titans to clear salary cap space.

Allen Robinson II was signed in free agency and the veteran will look to bounce back following an injury-plagued 2021 in which he was limited to 38 receptions for 410 yards and one touchdown. Robinson had 1,147 yards in 2019 and 1,250 in 2020.

The running back duo of Cam Akers and Darrell Henderson should give the Rams a strong enough ground game to keep defenses honest.

The Next Tier

Jefferson and Adams are the next two choices, and both seem primed for big seasons in 2022.

In his first two NFL seasons, Jefferson has compiled 3,016 receiving yards. He had 1,400 as a rookie in 2020 then increased his production to 1,616 last season.

Jefferson has obviously gained the trust of veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins as he has averaged 8.8 targets a game in his nascent career.

When Adams declined to play the 2022 season on the franchise tag, the Green Bay Packers traded him to the Raiders. The move was at least a bit surprising as Adams had a strong connection with Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers.

Adams averaged 108.0 receptions and 1,327.5 yards a season over the last four years. He was selected to the Pro Bowl each season and was an All-Pro the past two years.

The adjustment to Raiders quarterback Derek Carr should be seamless as the two were teammates in college at Fresno State.

Who Will Finish First?

While Kupp is the chalk, it would not be surprising to see the Rams have a bit of a letdown following their Super Bowl triumph. That would open the door for Jefferson, who will be just 23 years old when the season begins and is still clearly ascending.

If you’re looking for a value futures bet play, try Tennessee Titans wideout AJ Brown at +3500. He has averaged 16.2 yards a catch in his three-year career and seems poised for a breakout season, especially with Woods aboard to keep defenses honest.

The Pick: Justin Jefferson (+1000)

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