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NFL Odds and Spreads – Line Movement for Week 7

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Oct 21, 2022 · 12:22 PM PDT

NFL Odds and Spreads - Line Movement for Week 7
New York Jets safety Will Parks (39) celebrates his defensive touchdown with linebacker Jamien Sherwood (44) and cornerback Justin Hardee (34) against the Green Bay Packers during their football game Sunday, October 16, at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis. Parks scooped up a blocked punt and ran it in for the score.Dan Powers/USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin Apc Packvsjets 1016222053djpb
  • The NFL betting lines for Week 7 include an AFC South showdown between the Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans
  • In Cincinnati, the Atlanta Falcons are putting their perfect 6-0 ATS mark on the line against the reigning AFC champion Bengals
  • All the moneylines, spreads and line movement for every game in the Week 7 NFL odds are assessed in the story below

The NFL’s last unbeaten team is guaranteed to maintain their hold on that title no matter what the NFL Week 7 line movement should bring. The 6-0 Philadelphia Eagles are on their bye week.

In the NFL odds, the Atlanta Falcons, the NFL’s only perfect against-the-spread squad (6-0) are positioned to add another notch to their belt, not to mention the completion of an impressive double coverage. The Dirty Birds will be in Cincinnati facing Joe Burrow and the reigning AFC champion Cincinnati Bengals as 6-point underdogs. Already this season, the Falcons covered as 10-point underdogs against the reigning Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams.

On the subject of Super Bowl odds, there are two Super Bowl rematches on tap in Week 7. The Kansas City Chiefs are facing the San Francisco 49ers, while on Monday Night Football, it’s the Chicago Bears vs the New England Patriots. Perhaps William (The Refrigerator) Perry, inspiration for the Super Bowl prop bet, will make a guest appearance at the game.

Before launching into this week’s line movement, let’s look at the up-to-date Week 7 NFL odds.

NFL Week 7 Betting Lines

Team Moneyline Spread Over/Under
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -650 -13 (-110) Over 39.5 (-110)
Carolina Panthers +460 +13 (-110) Under 39.5 (-110)
Team Moneyline Spread Over/Under
Green Bay Packers -220 -4.5 (-110) Over 41.5 (-110)
Washington Commanders +180 +4.5 (-110) Under 41.5 (-110)
Team Moneyline Spread Over/Under
Indianapolis Colts +118 +2.5 (-110) Over 42 (-110)
Tennessee Titans -140 -2.5 (-110) Under 42 (-110)
Team Moneyline Spread Over/Under
Atlanta Falcons +228 +6.5 (-110) Over 47.5 (-110)
Cincinnati Bengals -285 -6.5 (-110) Under 47.5 (-110)
Team Moneyline Spread Over/Under
Cleveland Browns +228 +6.5 (-110) Over 45.5 (-110)
Baltimore Ravens -285 -6.5 (-110) Under 45.5 (-110)
Team Moneyline Spread Over/Under
New York Giants +140 +3 (-110) Over 43 (-110)
Jacksonville Jaguars -165 -3 (-110) Under 43 (-110)
Team Moneyline Spread Over/Under
Detroit Lions +260 +7 (-110) O 49 (-110)
Dallas Cowboys -335 -7 (-110) U 49 (-110)
Team Moneyline Spread Over/Under
Houston Texans +250 +7 (-110) Over 45.5 (-110)
Las Vegas Raiders -320 -7 (-110) Under 45.5 (-110)
Team Moneyline Spread Over/Under
New York Jets -105 -1 (-110) Over 38 (-110)
Denver Broncos -115 +1 (-110) Under 38 (-110)
Team Moneyline Spread Over/Under
Seattle Seahawks +192 +5 (-110) Over 50 (-110)
Los Angeles Chargers -235 -5 (-110) Under 50 (-110)
Team Moneyline Spread Over/Under
Kansas City Chiefs -140 -2 (-110) Over 48.5 (-110)
San Francisco 49ers +118 +2 (-110) Under 48.5 (-110)
Team Moneyline Spread Over/Under
Pittsburgh Steelers +260 +7 (-105) Over 44.5 (-110)
Miami Dolphins -335 -7 (-115) Over 44.5 (-110)
Team Moneyline Spread Over/Under
Chicago Bears +300 +7.5 (-110) Over 39.5 (-110)
New England Patriots -385 -7.5 (-110) Under 39.5 (-110)

Odds as of October 21st at Caesars Sportsbook. Claim the Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on the NFL this weekend

In Week 7 against the spread picks, road teams are underdogs in 10 of 15 games. Three games are showing totals that are under 40 points.



Week 7 Biggest Line Movement

Are football bettors beginning to show some faith in the New York Jets? Or has the demise of Russell Wilson and the Denver Broncos proven so distressing that even a game against the Jets can right what ails this team?

Whatever the cause behind the line movement, it’s been seismic on this game. The week opened with Denver sitting as the 3.5-point home chalk. Today, it’s the Jets who are 1-point road favorites. That’s a 4.5-point swing in favor of New York’s AFC club and it’s the biggest line movement taking place during Week 7.

In the NFL public betting trends. bettors are backing the Jets in the spread bets to the pace of 77%.

Biggest Total Movement In Week 7 NFL Lines

The Jets vs Broncos game is dominating the Week 7 line movement at NFL betting sites. In doing so, 4.5 points are also becoming a commonplace form of movement on this game.

The total was at 42 points in the opening line and has since shortened to 38 points. That’s the biggest total movement in the NFL Week 7 betting lines.

Guess Which Week 7 Line Has the Shortest Spread?

Yes, the Jets, Jets, Jets. That’s right. How’d you know?

As 1-point road favorites, the Jets are going to want to be certain that history doesn’t repeat itself. New York also went to Denver as the 1-point chalk during the 2017 NFL season. The Broncos shut out the Jets 23-0 in that game.

In fact, the last three times that the Jets took the field as the betting favorite over the Broncos, they’ve gone 0-3 both SU and ATS.

Panthers Again On Long End of Biggest Spread

The Carolina Panthers play in the NFC South and south is a pretty fair description of where their season has been heading from the opening kickoff in Week 1.

Set as 13-point underdogs against Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, it’s the second week in a row that Carolina’s line is set as a double-digit underdog. It’s also the second week in a row that the Panthers are on the wrong end of the largest spread.

Carolina is 0-4 ATS as a double-digit underdog over the past two seasons. Last season, Tampa Bay covered as a 10.5-point pick over the Panthers, winning 41-17.

This week, the 1-5 Panthers traded WR Robbie Anderson and RB Christian McCaffrey.

The Lowest Total of Week 7 Is . . . Jets vs Broncos

The Buccaneers vs Panthers (39.5 points) and Bears vs Patriots (39.5) both were making bold bids, but ultimately, they couldn’t get their totals under the 38-point number assigned to the Jets vs Broncos contest.

A key factor in the reducing number on the total for this game is speculation that the hamstring injury Wilson’s battling may keep him out of action in Week 7. Wilson, though, is insisting that he’ll be playing . . . which based on his performance this season, could also be causing the total to shrink.

Seahawks vs Chargers Garners Highest Total

Meanwhile, Wilson’s old team the Seattle Seahawks is evidently being counted on to bounce back in a big way in the Week 7 line. The Seahawks and Los Angeles Chargers are assigned 50 points, and that’s the largest total of the week. It’s also the only total of 50 points among the entire slate of games.

Last week Seattle won 19-9 over Arizona. However, in the three previous weeks, the Seahawks’ games produced a total of 214 points or 71.3 points per game. Seattle is the NFL’s #31 defense and the second-most penalized team in the league.

The Chargers are also coming off a low-scoring game, a 19-16 win over Denver. But in the three weeks prior, LA went over in each game. The average per game was 54.7 points.


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