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Patriots vs Steelers Props – Best Player Props to Bet for Thursday Night Football

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Dec 7, 2023 · 4:17 PM PST

In the Patriots vs Steelers player props, New England RB Ezekiel Elliott is making his first start of the season.
Dec 3, 2023; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Bailey Zappe (4) hands the ball off to running back Ezekiel Elliott (15) during the first half at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports
  • It’s the New England Patriots visiting the Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL Week 14 TNF game
  • The total on yards for Patriots RB Ezekiel Elliott is 61.5 in the rushing prop market
  • A look at a variety of Patriots vs Steelers player props can be found below with odds and picks

There was a time not long ago when the prospect of watching a prime time NFL game between the New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers would’ve been classified as must-see TV. Now is not that time. But that doesn’t mean there isn’t value to found if you dig deep in the Patriots vs Steelers props.

The 7-5 Steelers are reeling and the Patriots are shipwrecked at the bottom of the NFL sea as these two former NFL powers clash in the Week 14 TNF game.

In fact, things have sunk so low that this tilt is carrying the lowest total seen assigned to an NFL game in three decades. Should you allow those low expectations to impact your New England vs Pittsburgh player prop picks? Let’s take a look at the best bets for this game in the Week 14 Patriots vs Steelers NFL props.

Patriots vs Steelers Player Props

Passer Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Bailey Zappe (NE) 15.5 (O -120 | U -110) 156.5 (O -115 | U -115) 0.5 (O -120 | U -110)
Mitchell Trubisky (PGH) 17.5 (O -120 | U -110) 180.5 (O -115 | U -115) 0.5 (O -230 | U +175)
Rusher Rushing Attempts Rushing Yards Rushing + Receiving Yards
Bailey Zappe (NE) OFF 8.5 (O -110 | U -120) OFF
Ezekiel Elliott (NE) OFF 61.5 (O -115 | U -115) 80.5 (O -115 | U -115)
Mitchell Trubisky (PGH) OFF 13.5 (O -110 | U -120) OFF
Receiver Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Allen Robinson (PGH) 1.5 (O -110 | U -120) 11.5 (O -110 | U -120) 8.5 (O -115 | U -115)
DeVante Parker (NE) 3.5 (O +130 | U -166) 36.5 (O -120 | U -110) 18.5 (O -105 | U -125)
Diontae Johnson (PGH) 4.5 (O +114 | U -145) 42.5 (O -115 | U -115) 17.5 (O -115 | U -115)
Ezekiel Elliott (NE) 2.5 (O -130 | U +100) 15.5 (O -115 | U -115) 18.5 (O -120 | U -110)
George Pickens (PGH) 3.5 (O +140 | U -180) 38.5 (O -120 | U -110) 9.5 (O -110 | U -120)
Hunter Henry (NE) 2.5 (O -105 | U -125) 23.5 (O -110 | U -120) 13.5 (O -110 | U -120)
Pat Freiermuth  (PGH) 2.5 (O -160 | U +124) 27.5 (O -110 | U -120) 14.5 (O -105 | U -125)

Both QBs are being given a TD pass prop total of 0.5 for this game. The over on New England’s Bailey Zappe is set at odds of -120. The under for Pittsburgh QB Mitchell Trubisky is set at +175. The Steelers are favored by 6 points in the Patriots vs Steelers odds and the over/under is 30 in the Week 14 NFL odds.

Odds as of December 7th on the DraftKings Sportsbook app.

Patriots vs Steelers Props #1: Diontae Johnson Pass Receptions

Johnson has found himself phased out as the go-to WR in the Pittsburgh offensive scheme this season. But perhaps the best thing that could happen to his stats is seeing Mitchell Trubisky sliding back in under center for the Steelers.

In his five starts at QB for Pittsburgh last season, Johnson was overwhelmingly Trubisky’s favorite receiver. In those five games, Johnson averaged 10.2 targets and 6.6 receptions. He easily went over his total for this game of 4.5 receptions in four of those five games. And Johnson caught a TD pass from Trubisky last week.

  • Patriots vs Steelers Prop Picks: Diontae Johnson Over 4.5 Receptions +114 (1 unit)  

Patriots vs Steelers Props #2: Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards

The NFL public betting splits are divided on this game. The people are going with Pittsburgh to win and New England to cover. When it comes to who to hand the ball off to, the Patriots are no longer divided.

Rhamondre Stevenson (ankle) is out, meaning that two-time NFL rushing champion Ezekiel Elliott is going to be getting the rock a lot in this game. James Conner sliced through his old team for 105 yards as Arizona won last week at Pittsburgh. All you’ll need from Elliott to cash the over on his rushing yardage total is for him to better 61.5 yards.

He had a season-high 17 carries last week. This will be Elliott’s first start of the season and he’ll make it pay if you play the over here.

  • Patriots vs Steelers Prop Picks: Ezekiel Elliott over 61.5 rushing yards -115 (1 unit)

Patriots vs Steelers Touchdown Scorer Props

Player Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Any TD
Jaylen Warren (PGH) +450 +145
Najee Harris (PGH) +500 +155
Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) +650 +205
Pat Freiermuth (PGH) +950 +310
Diontae Johnson (PGH) +1000 +320
George Pickens (PGH) +1100 +320
DeVante Parker (NE) +1500 +500
Mitchell Trubisky (PGH) +1700 +550
Godwin Igwebuike (PGH) +1700 +600
Hunter Henry (NE) +1800 +550

Pittsburgh RB Jaylen Warren is given the shortest anytime touchdown-scorer odds in touchdown prop bets for this game of +145. He’s also a +450 favorite to score the first touchdown of the game in the Patriots vs Steelers props.

Patriots vs Steelers Props #3: Mitchell Trubisky Anytime Touchdown

In two of the last three games that he’s been Pittsburgh’s starting QB, Mitchell Trubisky has run for a TD.

In a 2018 game against New England, Trubisky carried six times for 81 yards and a TD. His career rushing average facing the Patriots is 12.57 yards per carry.

  • Patriots vs Steelers Prop Picks: Mitchell Trubisky Anytime Touchdown Scorer +550 (1 unit)

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