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NFL Player Props Week 6 – Sunday’s Best Prop Bets (Oct. 13)

John Hyslop

By John Hyslop in NFL Football

Published:


Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams passes the ball against the Carolina Panthers
Oct 6, 2024; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams (18) passes the ball against the Carolina Panthers during the third quarter at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Daniel Bartel-Imagn Images
  • The NFL is back with another monster slate for Week 6 on Sunday, October 13th, 2024
  • A great way to get in on the action is by betting NFL player props
  • See below to find two of my favorite player props to bet for Week 6

We demolished the books last Sunday and if we’re being honest, we can do this every weekend. Taking the opening numbers on the player props every week seems to be getting easier and easier. It’s almost like the books want us to get rich. It’s crazy.

This week we’ve got four different windows to bet, so we might as well use them all. First, at 9:30 am ET, we’re going to see a matchup between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Chicago Bears. Obviously we need action on that. Then at 4:25 pm ET, the Detroit Lions and Dallas Cowboys are going to get it on. If we play our cards right, we could end up with stacks of cash while being thoroughly entertained. I like to call that the jackpot.

What’s better is, I think we have a play in both of those games that could easily get us into the Gambling Hall of Fame. First ballot.

Week 6 NFL Player Props and Odds

Player Completions Passing Yards
Caleb Williams (Bears) 21.5 (Ov -122 / Un -106) 237.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)
Player Receptions Receiving Yards
Jalen Tolbert (Cowboys) 3.5 (Ov -128 / Un -102) 42.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)

Odds taken October 11 at FanDuel. Check out the best NFL betting apps for player prop wagering. 

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Caleb Williams Is About To Go Off

Caleb Williams was the first pick of the NFL Draft last year. Everyone already knows he is good. So far this season, he’s looked like a rookie at times and at others, he’s looked like what everyone thought he was going to be.

But last week, the guy literally looked like Houdini.


Here’s the thing, we can’t watch one play and then put the kid in the Hall of Fame. That would be dumb. But what we can do, is look for a good matchup and then back him before the books catch on to the fact that he’s good. We have that opportunity this week.

So far this season, only one team in the NFL has given up more passing yards to the quarterback position than the Jacksonville Jaguars. That’s it. This could be because they are good against the run, but only time will tell on that one. Right now, only five teams are better in the opponent yards per rush attempt metric so there is that.

The point is, we could be looking at a pass funnel here people. And if that’s the case, Caleb has more than enough weapons to exploit such a situation. Even if the Jags aren’t a pass funnel, we still have enough ways to get home on 250+. Feels right.

  • The Pick: Caleb Williams 250+ Passing Yards (+118) – FanDuel

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Jalen Tolbert Might Be a Thing

All we have to do in the sports betting world is look for the next “thing”. That’s it. Guys get hurt all the time and then new guys come along and take their place. It’s on us to watch the new guys and figure out if they are a “thing” or not.

Lucky for us, we got to watch one young guy grow up on Sunday Night Football last week.


Jalen Tolbert came alive last week. We all saw him do it. What’s pretty sweet is, he did it against a pretty good Pittsburgh Steelers defense. Before the haters come in and say “Pittsburgh’s defense isn’t that good, please note that I said pretty good.” Not great.

The defense Jalen and the Cowboys will see Sunday is pretty, not good. The Detroit Lions may be able to stop the run, but they can’t defend the pass for anything. Only three teams in the entire NFL have allowed more receptions to the receiver position than Detroit. ALL three of those teams have played one more game than the Lions. That’s bad.

Obviously this is good for CeeDee Lamb and Jake Ferguson, who should eat. But at the same time, we’re only needing five receptions for our new friend Jalen and we cash a +154 ticket. I think that is more than reasonable. Feels right.

  • The Pick: Jalen Tolbert 5+ Receptions (+154) – FanDuel
  • 2024 SBD Friday Release Results – 7-3 (+5.63 Units)
John Hyslop

John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it.

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