Ravens vs 49ers Same Game Parlay Predictions for MNF Week 16
- Every major online sportsbook provides bettors with the option of putting together a same-game parlay for the Ravens vs 49ers on Christmas night (Monday Night Football)
- Matt McEwan has put together a three-leg plus-money SGP below
- Read on to see his same-game parlay picks and predictions for Baltimore vs San Francisco
Are you looking to finish your Christmas Day with a special same-game parlay to cheer on as you enjoy what has the potential to be an epic matchup between the Baltimore Ravens and San Francisco 49ers? I have put together a three-leg SGP for the game that comes out to +127 odds.
See which team and players I am adding to my Ravens vs 49ers SGP below:
Ravens vs 49ers Same-Game Parlay Picks
| SGP Picks | Odds |
|---|---|
| 49ers Moneyline | -245 |
| Christian McCaffrey 60+ Rushing Yards (Alt Line) | -350 |
| Isaiah Likely Over 25+ Receiving Yards (Alt Line) | -270 |
| SGP PARLAY ODDS | +127 |
The three legs I’m loading into my same-game parlay are the 49ers ML, Christian McCaffrey to rush for 60 or more yards, and Isaiah Likely to have 25 or more receiving yards. This SGP was constructed at FanDuel on Saturday night.
If you’re more confident in McCaffrey not being slowed by the Ravens defense, you can increase your SGP odds to +151 if you take him for 70+ at FanDuel.
If there are any loyal DraftKings users out there, you can get a similar SGP there but it not only comes with a worse price (+122), but you also have to take Likely over 25.5 (instead of 25+) receiving and CMC over 65.5 rushing. (I would recommend you open an account with FanDuel; not just for this bet, but to have the ability to line shop more in the future.)
Caesars’ alt lines increase by multiples of 25, so you can only get McCaffrey at either 50+ or 75+. If you use the latter, your SGP odds will be +150 with them. The same goes for bet365, but their odds will be a little better at +155. If you’re trying to put this SGP together at BetMGM, you’ll have to go with CMC for 70+ rushing yards and Likely for 35+ receiving yards. They won’t let you go any lower on their lines, but you will get +195 odds.
The ESPN Bet app has now added some options for alt player lines, but .only allow you to go 7-8 yards in either direction. So, you end up with McCaffrey over 76.5 rushing and Likely over 33.5 receiving and it gets you +225 SGP odds.
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Also, if you’re looking to get the most out of this bet, there’s a good chance multiple sportsbooks will be offering some sort of same-game parlay boost for the Ravens vs 49ers game. You can see which sportsbooks have SGP bonuses available and their terms at our daily odds boosts tracker.
I’ll break down my rationale for each leg below:
Ravens vs 49ers SGP Pick (Leg #1): 49ers Moneyline
In the simplest words possible, I think the 49ers are the better team in this matchup. The spread opened at San Francisco -4 but has been growing as we near kickoff. (I am seeing SF laying as many as 6 points at the time of writing this.)
If Keaton Mitchell had not gone down to injury last week, I likely would not be adding 49ers ML in this SGP today. I don’t think Baltimore has the explosion without Mitchell to keep up with the high-powered 49ers offense. However, their defense is good enough to really challenge Brock Purdy in the same way Minnesota and Cleveland did earlier this season – both losses for the 49ers.
A healthy Trent Williams (did not pay against the Vikings) and Deebo Samuel (was hurt early in game against Browns and missed Vikings game) will ensure San Francisco does not suffer the same outcome from those games, though.
Ravens vs 49ers SGP Pick (Leg #2): Christian McCaffrey 60+ Rushing Yards
Christian McCaffrey has rushed for at least 60 yards in ten of 14 games this season, which includes each of his last six. The four games he did not accomplish this feat all came in a row, starting with San Francisco’s 42-10 embarrassment of the Cowboys in Week 5, where they just couldn’t get anything going on the ground. McCaffrey only averaged 2.68 yards per carry in that one, a season-low.
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Then you have the next week against the Browns where he only played 58% of the offensive snaps and only saw 11 carries, both season-lows. McCaffrey would only receive 15 and 12 carries over the next two weeks, respectively, against the Vikings and Bengals. These were two games where the 49ers found themselves playing from behind early.
When CMC sees more than 15 carries, he has only been held under 60 yards in one of 11 games. When trying to find a weakness in the Ravens defense, I think Shanahan pinpoints their run defense, which allows 4.3 yards per carry (21st). McCaffrey will get his touches early and often throughout this one.
Ravens vs 49ers SGP Pick (Leg #3): Isaiah Likely 25+ Receiving Yards
I actually took Likely to go over his receiving yards in my Ravens vs 49ers props as well. But I’ll take a safer line in this SGP at 25+. You can see a more thorough explanation of why I like the Ravens tight end in this one in that props article.
What I’ll say here is Likely has recorded 40, 83, and 70 receiving yards in the three games he has started since Mark Andrews was lost for the season to injury. As you know, I like the 49ers to win this game, meaning Baltimore is likely to be playing with a positive gamescript for at least a portion of the game Monday night.
Likely has quickly become one of Lamar Jackson’s most trusted targets and the Ravens QB will look his way often when under the pressure San Francisco’s defense can bring.
After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.
