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Super Bowl Odds Still List Bills as Favorites, Dolphins Still +1600

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in NFL Football

Updated Sep 25, 2022 · 8:00 PM PDT

Jevon Holland pumped reaction
Miami Dolphins safety Jevon Holland lets out a yell after time runs out on the Buffalo Bills, securing a 21-19 win for the Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Sept. 25, 2022.
  • The Miami Dolphins close to +1600 Super Bowl odds after beating Bills
  • Chiefs suffer first loss of the season against previously winless Colts
  • See below for the latest Super Bowl 57 odds after Week 3 early and late slate games

Well, that was wild.

Last week, we were trying to figure out who were legit candidates in the 2023 Super Bowl odds, after the Bills and Chiefs.

So naturally, the Bills get shut down in Miami, while the Chiefs stall against the previously winless Colts.

Some of the other top contenders are doing some soul searching after Week 3, including the suddenly offensively-challenged Buccaneers and reeling Chargers.

Let’s have a look at the updated odds after the early and late slate Sunday games.

Super Bowl 57 Odds

Team Odds
Buffalo Bills +450
Kansas City Chiefs +800
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +900
Philadelphia Eagles +900
Green Bay Packers +1000
LA Rams +1400
Baltimore Ravens +1400
Miami Dolphins +1600
San Francisco 49ers +2000
LA Chargers +2200
Minnesota Vikings +2200
Denver Broncos +2500
Cincinnati Bengals +3000
Indianapolis Colts +3500
Dallas Cowboys +4000
Cleveland Browns +5000
New Orleans Saints +6000
Arizona Cardinals +6000
Jacksonville Jaguars +6000
Tennessee Titans +6000
New York Giants +6000
Las Vegas Raiders +8000
New England Patriots +8000
Pittsburgh Steelers +10000
Detroit Lions +12500
Chicago Bears +20000
Carolina Panthers +20000
Washington Commanders +20000
New York Jets +25000
Atlanta Falcons +30000
Seattle Seahawks +50000
Houston Texans +50000

Odds as of Sept 25 at Caeasars Sportsbook.


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Dolphins Stop Bills

Beating Baltimore in comeback fashion was impressive, but Miami’s 21-19 Week 3 win over the Bills was legit. Their defense played a huge part of the success, with an early Josh Allen strip sack setting up a goal-to-go situation and an eventual touchdown.

That was one of four Dolphins’ sacks of Allen, who had been taken down just three times in the first two games.

After showing their offense can go supernova, Miami showed they can hang in a slugfest as well. Tua Tagovailoa was just 13-for-18 for 186 yards and a touchdown, and suffered a scary head injury just before halftime, though he did return after half.

Miami makes a leap from +2500 to its current +1600. If you’re also looking for a frisky AFC East division winner, the Fins are in first place with an early tiebreaker over the Bills (-260). Their divisional odds have closed to +220.

Not too much worry if you’re a Bills fan. After making every play through two games, they didn’t execute from the 2-yard line, which would have won them the game. Another three seconds, and they’re probably able to spike the ball for a game-winning kick.

Allen did also throw for 400 yards and two scores, and Buffalo was down five starters on defense. No surprise the Bills’ title odds are still tops at +450.

Eagles Rise After Crushing Commanders

With all due respect to Allen and Patrick Mahomes, perhaps no quarterback is more of a focal point to its offense than Jalen Hurts.

Hurts has given Philly whatever it needs to win. In Week 3, he picked Washington apart from the pocket, throwing for a season-best 340 yards and three touchdowns in a 24-8 whipping.

He had just one TD pass coming into this game, but that doesn’t mean he hasn’t been wildly productive. In Week 1, he ran for 90 yards and score, and had a pair of rushing TD’s in Week 2.

Hurts’ excellence has overshadowed a stout Eagles’ defense that has given up just 15 points in the last two games, and sacked Carson Wentz nine times. They move from +1500 to +900.

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Here Come The Jaguars

The Jaguars are giving us those Dolphins’ vibes from a week ago. As in: what do we have here?

On Sunday, Jacksonville dismantled the LA Chargers 38-10. Yes, Justin Herbert was compromised, but this was a team that was a pick-six away from hanging an L on the Chiefs and were a top-4 team in the Super Bowl odds.

Trevor Lawrence was 28-for-39 for 267 yards and three TD’s, while James Robinson ran for 100 yards and a score, as the Jags emphatically ended an 18-game road losing streak and have now won two in a row.

We’re about to find out just how much Doug Pederson has turned the culture over, as they are on the road against the undefeated Eagles. If you’re a true believer, you may want to jump on the Jags’ +6000 odds, a huge leap from +10000. If they topple Philly, Jacksonville should rocket into the +2500-3000 range.

As for the Chargers, they plummet to +2200 odds.

Chiefs Suffer First Losses

It’s not always rosy at the top. Just ask the Chiefs, whose usual efficient offense ran into a desperate Colts buzzsaw in Week 3. Count me as one of the doubters in an upset, as it was such a lopsided matchup, but here we are, as the Colts won 20-17.

Patrick Mahomes was 20-for-35 for 262 yards and a touchdown. Perhaps a sign the offense wasn’t clicking as it had been in their first two wins, Mahomes was also the team’s leading rusher, with 26 yards on four carries.

The Chiefs fade from +700 to +800, but they’re still a powerhouse. KC had a 17-13 lead and couldn’t get the one stop they needed on Indy’s mammoth 16-play, 76-yard drive that took over eight minutes in the fourth quarter. Mahomes’ first INT of the season sealed it.

In fact, it’s probably the right time to jump on the Chiefs, as this might be the closes they get to +1000 odds the rest of the way.

Bucs Fade, Packers Rise

As for the Buccaneers, they’d skated to a 2-0 start on the strength of a defense that had been allowing just 6.5 points per game. That streak ended Sunday in a 14-12 loss to the Packers.

Tom Brady could only engineer one TD drive, at the end of regulation, and they failed to tie with the  2-point conversion. They have now scored three offensive touchdowns in three games.

Tampa still needs to get healthy, and their defence pitched a shutout for the final 2.5 quarters of the game, so their faded odds at +900 are an enticing wager.

As for the Packers, they’re now 2-1 but their offense is still not potent if they can’t establish the run. The combination of Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon carried 24 times for just 68 yards.

Still, oddsmakers are confident current reigning 2-time MVP Aaron Rodgers will figure it out. Green Bay’s title odds jump from +1500 to +1000.

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