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Is There Value in Betting Anyone Other Than Aaron Donald to Lead NFL in Sacks?

Rams Aaron Donald
Through 12 weeks, Aaron Donald leads the NFL in sacks with 14.5. (Photo by Ric Tapia/Icon Sportswire)
  • Aaron Donald is a monster leading the NFL in sacks
  • Rams remaining schedule has Donald licking his chops
  • Is there anyone else worth wagering on to surpass Donald in sacks?

Aaron Donald continues his assault on the NFL despite the league’s best effort to legislate defense out of the game.

He’s been terrorizing opposing offenses all season to the tune of 14.5 sacks through 11 games – three more than anyone else. There’s little reason to suggest he’ll relinquish his tight grip on the lead with just five games to go, but could the improbable happen?

Odds to Lead NFL in Sacks in 2018

Player Odds to lead NFL in Sacks at Bovada
Aaron Donald -400
J.J. Watt +500
Danielle Hunter +550
Chandler Jones +1200
Von Miller +1500
Jason Pierre-Paul +1600
Myles Garrett +3300
Frank Clark +3300
T.J. Watt +3300

Aaron Donald having historic season

What Donald is doing is simply not human.

Not only will he most certainly take the sack crown, there is serious traction for the Rams behemoth to take home league MVP honors as well.

The 2014 13th-overall pick is shattering even his own records, already having smashed his personal high in sacks. These gaudy numbers would be outstanding from a defensive end but doing it as a pure defensive tackle? Simply unheard of!

Aaron Donald Sacks Year-by-Year

Year Sacks
2014 9
2015 11
2016 8
2017 11
2018 14.5 (on pace for 22)

Think about that for a second. He’s been a three-time All-Pro and won Defensive Player of the Year last season, totaling 11 sacks. He’s on pace to double that total this season!

2018 NFL Sacks Leaders

Player Sacks
Aaron Donald 14.5
J.J. Watt 11.5
Danielle Hunter 11.5
Chandler Jones 11
Von Miller 10.5
Jason Pierre-Paul 10.5
Myles Garrett 10
Frank Clark 10
T.J. Watt 10

JJ Watt the Main Threat to Aaron Donald’s Crown

The only player worth looking at surpassing Donald would be three-time Defensive Player of the Year and two-time sacks leader Justin James Watt.

Houston has been firing on all cylinders, so with teams having to play catch up each game, Watt can tee off and rack up the sacks. The total record of their last five opponents is 21-33-1, with only the Colts sporting a winning record.

Translation=sacks baby! However, don’t bank on it happening.

Los Angeles Rams Remaining Schedule

Team Sacks Allowed Rank
at Lions 13th
at Bears 23rd
vs Eagles 9th
at Cardinals 15th
vs 49ers 7th

The Rams remaining schedule offers Donald plenty more opportunities to keep the run away locomotive going. Only the Bears pose a serious threat with the other four teams no better than 15th in sacks allowed.

As tempting as it might be to lay some cash on the other guys available, in particular Watt, your best call is to not make a bet against Donald whatsoever – after all, he’s simply doing what mere mortals wouldn’t be able to accomplish.

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Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statisitician for the Jay and Dan Show. He has worked at TSN for over 13 years, where he's been featured on Sportscentre, That's Hockey, That's Hockey 2Nite, The Masters preview shows, and several other programs TSN.