Week 2 NFL Player-Prop Lines: Target Derrick Henry, Avoid CeeDee Lamb

Week 2 in the NFL season is upon us, with the Lions taking on the Bills on Thursday night to kick things off. This Week 2 data hub breaks down passing, rushing, and receiving yardage projections to isolate the top players to target and avoid.

By evaluating form, matchup data, and game context, my framework serves both player prop bettors and DFS players. Explore the specific positional sections below to optimize your weekly strategy.

Passing Yards Props

Week 2 NFL passing yards props require a delicate balance of evaluating a Week 1 heater against established defensive baselines. I have cross-referenced quarterback prop lines with recent form and opponent metrics to uncover the slate’s top values.

• Jared Goff’s Hot Streak: Despite a quiet 206-yard showing in Week 1, the Detroit Lions signal-caller is running hot when zooming out. Goff averages a robust 287.2 passing yards over his last five regular-season outings.

• My Target: Bryce Young (CAR) OVER 220.5 – Young heavily outperforms this number early on and draws a leaky Atlanta Falcons secondary yielding 228.7 passing yards per game over their last three affairs.

• My Fade: Bo Nix (DEN) UNDER 224.5 — Nix managed a meager 131 passing yards in his opener and faces a stingy Jacksonville Jaguars defense that allowed 185 pass yards in Week 1 vs Cleveland. Nix is also playing in just his second game since breaking his ankle in the AFC Divisional Playoff round.

Rushing Yards Props

Navigating the NFL rushing yards props market requires weighing a back’s established baseline against workload shifts and game script probabilities.

• Henry’s Historic Pace: Derrick Henry is obliterating expectations and moving the handle, trending red-hot with 142.8 rushing yards per game over his last five outings.

• My Target: Derrick Henry (BAL) OVER 88.5 – Operating as a heavy 8-point home favorite, the red-hot Henry averages 142.8 rushing yards over his last five games and should see extensive late-game volume against the New Orleans Saints.

Receiving Yards Props

Evaluating NFL receiving yards props requires identifying players seeing an influx in target share against secondaries prone to bleeding yardage.

Wide Receivers

• Olave’s Surge: Chris Olave has a scorching 112.8 yards per game over his last five after putting up the most receiving yardage in Week 1.
• Cooling Stars: CeeDee Lamb put up just 44 yards in Week 1 vs the Giants and Jaylen Waddle’s with the Broncos saw him gain only two yards.

• My WR Target: Chris Olave (NO) OVER 69.5 – Olave averages a dominant 112.8 yards over his last five games and faces a vulnerable Ravens secondary.

• My WR Fade: CeeDee Lamb (DAL) UNDER 75.5 – Lamb has just 76+ receiving yards in three of eleven all-time meetings vs Washington.

Tight Ends

Tight end matchups operate on an entirely different plane, dictated by linebackers and safeties rather than cornerbacks.

• My TE Target: Tucker Kraft (GB) OVER 46.5 – Kraft heavily outperforms this number with 65 yards in Week 1 vs the Vikings and draws a dream matchup against a New York Jets defense.

• My TE Fade: Sam LaPorta (DET) UNDER 46.5 – Despite strong personal averages, LaPorta runs into a buzzsaw in Buffalo. The Bills were the NFL’s stingiest defense against the position in 2025, yielding a microscopic 29.6 yards per game.