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Avalanche vs Sabres Odds, Predictions and Best NHL Pick for Saturday (Feb 19)

Ryan Sura

by Ryan Sura in NHL Hockey

Updated Feb 18, 2022 · 1:48 PM PST

Avalanche vs Sabres Saturday NHL Odds
Colorado Avalanche defenseman Kurtis MacDermid (56) and Buffalo Sabres center Mark Jankowski (17) in the second period of an NHL hockey game Sunday, Jan. 30, 2022, in Denver. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • The Colorado Avalanche take on the Buffalo Sabres on Saturday, February 19th at KeyBank Center
  • The Avalanche are -375 road favorites in this Saturday afternoon matchup
  • See the Avalanche vs Sabres Saturday NHL odds below, along with our best bet prediction

The Colorado Avalanche head into New York to take on the Buffalo Sabres on Saturday, February 19th at 1 PM EST. Colorado are massive -350 favorites in the Avalanche vs Sabres Saturday NHL odds. The total is currently listed at 6.0 in the NHL betting lines at Barstool Sportsbook with the juice on the over.

Colorado has won six straight against Buffalo, can they make it a seventh on the road on Saturday afternoon? We take a look at the Avalanche vs Sabres Saturday NHL odds as we break down our best bets for the game.

Avalanche vs Golden Knights Odds

Game Time Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Saturday, February 19th Colorado Avalanche -1.5 (-137) O 6 (-124) -375
1 PM EST Buffalo Sabres +1.5 (+114) U 6 (+102) +280

Odds as of Feb 16 from Barstool Sportsbook App

The Colorado Avalanche continue to lead the way as the favorite in the Stanley Cup odds. The Avalanche are coming off a huge win against the Golden Knights on Jack Eichel’s Vegas debut.

Colorado Avalanche Offensive Betting Outlook

This has not been the Colorado team sports bettors have been used to seeing. With Wednesday night’s 2-0 win over Vegas, the Avalanche have now hit six straight unders. Over their last 10 games, they’re allowing just 1.80 goals per game. How did this suddenly poor defensive team right the ship?

Well, in their last 10 games they’ve played just three teams with a record above .500 (Dallas (x2), Boston, Tampa). Just two of those teams rank in the Top 15 in Goals Expected For per 60 minutes. But, you have to give them credit. Their goaltending has been much better and they are certainly limiting high danger chances.

Avalanche vs Sabres Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Puck Line Over/Under
Jan 30, 2022 Avalanche 4 Sabres 1 COL COL Under
Feb 26, 2020 Avalanche 3 Sabres 2 COL BUF Under
Feb 4, 2020 Sabres 1 Avalanche 6 COL COL Over
Mar 9, 2019 Avalanche 3 Sabres 0 COL COL Under
Oct 11, 2018 Sabres 1 Avalanche 6 COL COL Over

The Avalanche have completely dominated this series recently, and it’s clear why. The talent disparity is insane.

They get a lot of help upfront from Rantanen, Kadri, and MacKinnon, but they have a ton of offensive firepower on defense as well. Not only do they have the Norris Trophy frontrunner Cale Makar, but Sam Girard, Jack Johnson, and Devon Toews all produce efficiently too. Colorado is fourth in the league in Goals For per 60 minutes at 3.03.

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Sabres Betting Outlook in Saturday NHL Odds

The Buffalo Sabres are living at the bottom of the standings yet again this season. Despite, the young crop of talent it just hasn’t come together yet. To make things worse, this is their second meeting with the Avalanche in the last three weeks.

Avalanche vs Sabres Projected Starting Goalies

Team Goalie Record SV% GAA
COL Pavel Francouz (projected) 7-2-0 .921 2.39
BUF Dustin Tokarski (confirmed) 5-6-4 .903 3.30

The Sabres are coming off a 3-1 loss to the Senators at home, but prior to that their offense had been clicking. Buffalo has hit the over in four out of their last five contests, scoring 3 or more goals three times in that span.

They’ve given up 5, 3, 3, 3, 3 over their last five games. Now they go up against the Avalanche, who are ranked top 7 in Expected Goals For per 60 this year.

The Sabres are 6th worst in Goals Against per 60 at 2.74. Dustin Tokarski will start in nets for the Sabres, and he’s been anything but consistent this year.

Tokarski has a -0.317 Goals Saved Above Expected per 60 and has given up at least three goals in each of his last five starts. The current total sits at 6.0, but I think it’ll get pushed to 6.5 in the Avalanche vs Sabres odds. Mainly because of the confirmation of Tokarski starting and early line movement points in that direction.

Avalanche vs Sabres Pick and Prediction

With how good this Colorado offense is and the streak of unders they’ve been on, I am rolling with over 6.0 in this Avalanche vs Sabres matchup.

The over is 7-1-1 in their last nine matchups at KeyBank Center. Moreover, the Sabres have actually scored at a high rate in these weekend day games. In their last four day games, Buffalo has scored 3, 2, 6, and 5 goals for an average of 4.0 per game.

The Avalanche don’t get put in this spot often, but they’re playing on two days rest for only the eighth time this season. The over in those seven games is 5-2.

Here are a few other trends I like in this situation concerning the Avalanche vs Sabres odds:

  • Sabres are 4-1 to the over in their last five home games
  • After a loss, the over is 17-13 in Sabres games this season
  • Avalanche averaging 4.07 goals per game as a favorite this season

The Colorado online sports betting markets list the Avalanche to win by 2+ at -130. I think the total has more value and if you don’t want to pay -120, place a bet on over 7 at +180.

Best Bet: Avalanche vs Sabres Over 6.0 (-124) at Barstool Sportsbook

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