Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Game 4 Predictions, Odds & Player Prop Picks (April 29)

• The Dallas Stars aim to even their best-of-seven series with the Vegas Golden Knights in Game 4 on Monday night
• The Stars finished with an NHL-best 26 road wins in the regular season and added another on Saturday
• See the Stars vs Golden Knights Game 4 odds, predictions, and player-prop picks for Monday, April 29

After two hard-fought losses at home in Games 1 and 2, the Dallas Stars (53-22-9, 27-10-5 away) used their road prowess to get back in their best-of-seven series with the Vegas Golden Knights (47-29-9, 27-12-3 home) in Game 3 on Saturday night, earning a 3-2 OT victory.

On Monday night, the Stars will have a chance to even the series at two games apiece with the defending Stanley Cup champions. Oddsmakers favor just that, with the Stars vs Golden Knights Game 4 odds leaning slightly to Dallas. Puck drop is scheduled for 6:40 pm PT/9:40 pm ET at T-Mobile Arena.

Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Odds (Game 4)

Monday’s NHL odds show Dallas as a -125 road favorite to win Game 4, with Vegas coming back as a +105 home underdog. The over/under has come down from 6.0 in the previous two games to 5.5 in Game 4.

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The winner of the Stars vs Golden Knights series will advance in the NHL playoff bracket to face the winner of the Colorado Avalanche vs Winnipeg Jets series, which the Avs currently lead 3-1 heading back to Winnipeg for Game 5.

Stars Triumph in Overtime in Game 3

The advance stats say that Dallas is extremely unlucky to be trailing Vegas in the series. The Stars lead the NHL playoffs in xGoals % (70.77) through the first three games against Vegas, according to MoneyPuck.com, meaning that, based on the volume and quality of shots and scoring chances, you would expect Dallas to account for seven out of every ten goals scored in the series.

Dallas also leads the playoffs in percentage of shots on goal compared to their first-round opponent (60.59% for Dallas vs 39.41% for Vegas).

All that quality play finally resulted in a win in Game 3 as Wyatt Johnston scored with just 3:37 remaining in the first overtime to get his team back in the series.

Johnston, who also scored the first goal of the game, was unquestionably the best player on the ice in Game 3. The 20-year-old center finished with a game-high eight shots on goal. Johnston’s strong start to the postseason follows an exceptional regular season in which he tallied 32 goals and 36 assists, and led Dallas in XGoals (18.96).

Other than goalie Logan Thompson, who’s sporting a 2.14 GAA and .927 SV%, Jack Eichel continued to be Vegas’ best player in Game 3. The former #2-overall pick scored a shorthanded goal to tie the game at 2-2 late in the second period and had a team-high six shots on goal. He now leads the team with five points in three games in the postseason while logging 21:57 of ice-time per game.

On the injury front, defenseman Nicolas Hague (2 G, 12 P, 73 GP) remains sidelined for the Golden Knights after suffering an undisclosed injury in Game 1.

Stars forwards Mason Marchment (22 G, 53 P) and Radek Faksa (7 G, 19 P) are listed as a game-time decisions.

DAL vs VGK Player Props for Game 4

The Dallas/Vegas player props for Game 4 show Jason Robertson (-190) with the best odds to record at least one point, followed closely by Jack Eichel at -180. Eichel also leads the props in shots on goal at 3.5, while seven other players have a shot total of 2.5.

Stars vs Golden Knights Game 4 Predictions

The Stars have undoubtedly carried the play in the majority of the 197 minutes so far in the series but that’s partly because Dallas was playing from behind for much of the first two games.  Vegas was an exceptional 27-12-2 on home ice during the regular season and they went 9-3 at home during last year’s Stanley Cup run (including 2-1 against Dallas in the conference finals).

Vegas is going to answer back with a better effort in front of its home crowd on Monday night and I love the value on the Golden Knights to win at plus-money.

DAL vs VGK Game 4 picks: 

• Golden Knights moneyline (+105)
• Wyatt Johnston over 2.5 shots on goal (-166)

Sascha Paruk 2023-24 NHL betting record: 1-0 (+1.30 units)

All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise