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Ducks vs Golden Knights Game 5 Prediction, SGP Picks & Best Bets (May. 12)

Michael Harrison

By Michael Harrison in NHL Hockey

Published:


Jan 8, 2026; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Vegas Golden Knights right wing Mitch Marner (93) warms up before a game against the Columbus Blue Jackets at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-Imagn Images
  • The Anaheim Ducks square off with the Vegas Golden Knights in a pivotal Game 5 Tuesday night
  • Why I love Vegas to take a 3-2 series stranglehold in their attempt to reach the Western Conference Final
  • See the odds for Ducks vs Golden Knights, along with my favorite player prop and public betting splits

The Anaheim Ducks hit the road as underdogs to face the Vegas Golden Knights in a pivotal Game 5. With this series knotted up at two games apiece, the NHL odds have Vegas as considerable favorites to wrestle control of this West second round matchup. Star power will dictate this affair. Vegas relies on the proven offensive dynamic of Jack Eichel, Mitch Marner, and Mark Stone.

The Ducks counter with an exciting young core that consistently pushes the pace through the neutral zone, led by Leo Carlsson and Troy Terry. The Stanley Cup odds has VGK at +900 and ANA lurking at +2800. Puck drop is set for 6:30 PM PT / 9:30 PM ET on May 12 at T-Mobile Arena. Keep reading for my predictions and analysis for this tilt.

Best Bets and Predictions for Ducks vs Golden Knights

Golden Knights Moneyline (-160 at DraftKings)

Despite a hard-fought loss in Game 4, the Golden Knights return to T-Mobile Arena, where they are an absolute wagon. Vegas is 7-2 on home ice over their last nine games. Furthermore, they thrive when the books expect them to take care of business, going 5-1 as a favorite over their last six contests.

Anaheim struggles to string together consecutive quality outings. They’ve dropped four straight on the road following a win. Expect Vegas to leverage their relentless 5-on-5 forecheck and home-ice advantage to secure this critical victory.

Mitch Marner Over 0.5 Assists (-154 at Caesars)

Mitch Marner has been a primary offensive catalyst during this postseason, tallying five helpers through the first four games of this series, along with four markers. Situational trends heavily favor the winger to find the scoresheet again.

He’s notched an assist in six of his last seven games against opponents with winning records, averaging 1.14 assists per game during that span. If you want to parlay Marner with at least one assist with the Vegas ML, that pays out +120.

Ducks vs Golden Knights Public Betting Splits and Handle

  • Moneyline: Looking at the NHL public betting trends, The Golden Knights command a massive 90% of wagers to win straight up.
  • Puck Line: It’s more of a split on the puck line, with exactly 50% of the tickets on both sides, though 73% of the cash is on Vegas.
  • Total: The Under has the edge, attracting 81% of the bets, though 50% of money is again split.

ANA VS VGK Game Odds: Moneyline, Puck Line, and Total

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Ducks vs Golden Knights Playoff Statistics

Playoff Statistic (Per Game)Anaheim DucksVegas Golden Knights
Goals For3.63.6
Goals Allowed3.22.7
Shots For31.227.7
Shots Allowed26.128.3
Power Play %32.3%21.9%
Penalty Kill %73.1%90.3%
Team Save Percentage.871.905
Faceoff Win %46.7%53.8%
Hits37.335.6
Blocked Shots12.217.2

Lukas Dostal vs Carter Hart: Goaltending Matchup

GoalieGPW-L-OTLGAASV%
Lukas Dostal (ANA)106-43.42.874
Carter Hart (VGK)106-42.55.908

Projected Lineups and Defensive Pairings

Vegas Golden Knights Projected Lineup

PositionLeft WingCenterRight Wing
Line 1Ivan BarbashevJack EichelPavel Dorofeyev
Line 2Brett HowdenWilliam KarlssonMitch Marner
Line 3Brandon SaadTomas HertlKeegan Kolesar
Line 4Cole SmithNic DowdColton Sissons
PositionLeft DefenseRight Defense
Pair 1Brayden McNabbShea Theodore
Pair 2Noah HanifinRasmus Andersson
Pair 3Ben HuttonDylan Coghlan

Starting Goaltender: Carter Hart
Backup: Adin Hill

Anaheim Ducks Projected Lineup

PositionLeft WingCenterRight Wing
Line 1Chris KreiderLeo CarlssonTroy Terry
Line 2Alex KillornMikael GranlundBeckett Sennecke
Line 3Mason McTavishRyan PoehlingCutter Gauthier
Line 4Jeffrey VielTim WasheRoss Johnston
PositionLeft DefenseRight Defense
Pair 1Jackson LaCombeJacob Trouba
Pair 2Pavel MintyukovJohn Carlson
Pair 3Olen ZellwegerIan Moore

Starting Goaltender: Lukas Dostal
Backup: Ville Husso

Ducks vs Golden Knights Injury Updates

  • Mark Stone (VGK – RW): The star winger is Day-to-Day with a lower-body injury and missed Game 4 against the Ducks.
  • Jeremy Lauzon (VGK – D): Ruled Out for the remainder of this second-round series due to an upper-body issue.
  • Radko Gudas (ANA – D): The physical defenseman is Day-to-Day (lower-body) after sitting out Sunday’s skirmish.
  • Drew Helleson (ANA – D): Also Day-to-Day with an undisclosed injury.
  • Petr Mrazek (ANA – G): Out for the season following hip surgery in mid-February.

Ducks vs Golden Knights How to Watch

  • Matchup: Ducks (Away) vs Golden Knights (Home)
  • TV: ESPN (United States), Sportsnet (Canada)
  • Date: Tuesday, May 12
  • Time: 6:30 PM PT / 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Michael Harrison
Michael Harrison

Sports & Entertainment Writer

Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 20 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.

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