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Golden Knights vs Oilers Prediction, Odds & Picks for Wednesday Night Hockey

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey

Updated Apr 10, 2024 · 12:45 PM PDT

Vegas Golden Knights right wing Jonathan Marchessault controls the puck ahead of Edmonton Oilers center Derek Ryan
Feb 6, 2024; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Vegas Golden Knights right wing Jonathan Marchessault (81) controls the puck ahead of Edmonton Oilers center Derek Ryan (10) during the first period at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Golden Knights and Oilers clash on Wednesday Night Hockey
  • Connor McDavid will be a game-time decision for the Oilers
  • Read below for Golden Knights vs Oilers prediction, odds, and McDavid injury update

The Vegas Golden Knights will look to clinch a playoff spot against an Edmonton Oilers club that could be missing its best player. Connor McDavid is a game-time decision when the Oilers host the Knights at Rogers Place (8:30 PM ET).

The Edmonton Oilers are a slight favorite on the money line, while the Golden Knights are road underdogs. Despite uncertainty around McDavid’s status, the over/under is still set at 6.5.

Let’s get into our Oilers vs Knights prediction as we analyze the odds and provide our expert NHL picks.

Golden Knights vs Oilers Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 (+200) -105 Over 6.5 (-105)
Edmonton Oilers +1.5 (-275) -115 Under 6.5 (-115)

In the Wednesday NHL odds, the Oilers are slim -115 moneyline favorites over the Knights, giving them an implied win probability of 53.5%.

 

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Golden Knights Betting Trends

The Vegas Golden Knights bring a three-game losing streak into Wednesday’s game against the Edmonton Oilers. The team was last in action Monday against Vancouver, blowing a two-goal lead in an eventual 4-3 loss.

Vegas trails the third-place Los Angeles Kings by one point in the Pacific Division NHL standings and can clinch their playoff spot tonight. Vegas’ most likely first-round matchup in the NHL Playoff Bracket is this same Edmonton team they are facing tonight.

The Golden Knights are middle-of-the-pack in both offense and defense, averaging 3.21 goals per game and allowing 2.96 goals against. Jonathan Marchessault leads the team in scoring with 41 goals and 67 points.

Wednesday’s projected starting NHL goalie is Logan Thompson, who is 23-14-5 with a .907 save percentage and 2.76 GAA this season. He’ll need to overcome the loss of top defenseman Alex Pietrangelo, who will miss his second straight game due to illness.

Oilers Betting Trends

The Oilers come into Wednesday Night Hockey riding a two-game winning streak that included an impressive 6-2 win over the powerhouse Colorado Avalanche on Saturday night. Most recently, the Oilers took down the Calgary Flames.

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Edmonton boasts the fourth-best offense in the NHL, averaging 3.58 goals per contest. They also have the league’s fourth-most efficient power play, clicking at 26.6% efficiency. Defensively, the team is allowing 2.86 goals per game, which ranks 9th-best in the NHL.

Edmonton’s projected starting goalie for Wednesday is Stuart Skinner, who is 34-14-5 with a .906 save percentage and 2.62 GAA this season. He’s 3-1-1 against Vegas in his career with a .880 save percentage.

McDavid Injury Update

The biggest news that could potentially impact this NHL betting line is the health status of Oilers superstar Connor McDavid. According to the latest McDavid injury update, the phenom will be a game-time decision on Wednesday due to a lower-body injury.

McDavid landed awkwardly during a rush toward the net in Edmonton’s 4-2 win against Calgary on Saturday. His official injury designation is “day to day”. Forward Dylan Holloway was recalled from AHL affiliate Bakersfield on Tuesday just in case McDavid can’t go.

McDavid didn’t practice on Tuesday, but that doesn’t mean he’s officially ruled out. You’ll want to check the latest updates closer to game time, as his status will impact the line in the NHL odds.

Golden Knights vs Oilers Prediction

McDavid’s injury is obviously important here, as his presence will undoubtedly impact the outcome of the game. The Oilers’ home-ice advantage will still be important regardless, as they are an impressive 26-8-3 at Rogers Place in 2023-24.

Vegas has won three of the past four meetings, however, and they will be ultra-motivated Wednesday night with a playoff spot on the line. Jack Eichel is surging with five goals in his last five games, while Thomas Hertl recently made his VGK debut and should only improve moving forward.

If we get confirmation McDavid is not playing, we lean towards taking Vegas as moneyline road underdogs. If McDavid does play, the “over” becomes appealing. Both these goalies have save percentages below .900 when facing each other, and this explosive Oilers offense could expose Pietrangelo’s absence.

VGK vs EDM Pick:

  • If McDavid Plays: Over 6.5 (-105)
  • If McDavid Doesn’t Play: VGK Moneyline (-105)

 

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