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Leafs vs Islanders Odds, Predictions and Best NHL Pick for Saturday (Jan 22)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NHL Hockey

Jan 21, 2022 · 7:11 PM PST

Mitch Marner fighting for control of the puck during an NHL game.
Toronto Maple Leafs' Mitchell Marner (16) fights for control of the puck with New York Islanders' Oliver Wahlstrom (26) during the second period of an NHL hockey game Sunday, Nov. 21, 2021, in Elmont, N.Y. (AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs are -165 road favorites over the New York Islanders in an NHL game slated for Saturday January 22
  • Toronto has won two straight from the Islanders, both by shutout
  • Let’s take a look at the Leafs vs Islanders odds, along with our best bet prediction.

A visit to face the New York Islanders might be just what the doctor ordered for the Toronto Maple Leafs. Not only has Toronto won two in a row from the Isles, both were achieved via identical 3-0 shutout margins. Entering play Friday, the Islanders were 6-1-1 straight up in their last eight home games. They are priced as +145 home underdogs in the Leafs vs Islanders odds.

Lately, keeping the puck out of the net is becoming an issue for the Maple Leafs. They’ve allowed 11 goals in the past two games.

The Islanders, who were playing host to the Arizona Coyotes on Friday night, have been shutout four times this season.

Leafs vs Islanders Odds

Game Time (ET) Team Moneyline Puck Line Total
Saturday Jan. 22 Toronto Maple Leafs -165 -1.5 (+150) O 5.5 (-115)
7pm New York Islanders +145 +1.5 (-170) U 5.5 (-105)

Odds as of January 21st at DraftKings.

The puck is slated to drop at 7pm ET at UBS Arena. The Islanders are listed at -170 on the puckline, while the Leafs are priced at +150 to win by 2+ goals. With New York online sports betting going into its third weekend, you better believe there will be heavy action on this Saturday NHL matchup.

Leafs vs Islanders NHL Betting Trends

Leafs  coach Sheldon Keefe spent Friday backpedaling on comments he made following Toronto’s 6-3 loss to the New York Rangers on Thursday. Keefe labeled his team soft and purposeless. This slump comes at the wrong time for the Leafs as they were surging up the Stanley Cup odds.

Center Auston Matthews continues to carry the hot hand for Toronto. He’s netted five goals and collected seven points in the past five games. Leafs defenseman Morgan Rielly has dished out a team-high four assists over the same span.

Leafs vs Islanders Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Puck Line Over/Under
2/28/2019 NY Islanders 6 Toronto 1 NYI NYI Over
4/1/2019 NY Islanders 1 Toronto 2 TOR TOR Under
11/13/2019 NY Islanders 5 Toronto 4 NYI TOR Over
1/4/2020 Toronto 3 NY Islanders 0 TOR TOR Under
11/22//2021 NY Islanders 0 Toronto 3 TOR TOR Under

Although back-to-back wins over the Philadelphia Flyers pulled the Islanders back to .500 on the season, they’re still last in the Metropolitan Division. On the scoring-starved Isles, forward Mathew Barzal (7-16-23) is the only player in the lineup with more than 16 points.

Looking to rediscover his team’s mojo, New York coach Barry Trotz reunited his club’s Identity line of Casey Cizikas, Cal Clutterbuck and Matt Martin.

Leafs vs Islanders Injury Report

Toronto forward Ondrej Kase and goalie Justin Holl are out of COVID-19 protocol and are to join the team in Long Island.

The Islanders are with forward Kyle Palmieri (lower-body injury) and defenseman Ryan Pulock (lower-body injury/COVID-19 protocol). Palmieri has missed eight games. Pulock has been out since Nov. 16.

Mrazek Gets Rare Start vs New York

The Leafs will go with Petr Mrazek between the pipes for just his fifth game this season. In Mrazek’s last start, he faced only 18 shots but lost 2-1 to the Coyotes. Marzek is 64th in the NHL in GAA (3.59) and tied for 67th in save percentage (.883).

Jack Campbell, Toronto’s #1 goalie, is slumping. He’s allowed at least five goals in three of his past four starts.

Leafs vs Islanders Projected Starting Goalies

Team Goalie Record SV% GAA
Leafs Petr Mrazek 2-2-0 .883 3.59
Islanders Ilya Samsonov 13-3-3 .903 2.76

Ilya Sorokin got the nod in the net for the Isles on Friday against Arizona. That likely means it will be Sergey Varlamov tending to the twine as New York plays the second game of back to backs.

Varlamov has made more than 30 saves in each of his last four games in net for the Islanders. Tuesday night in Philadelphia, Varlamov made 31 saves on 34 shots.

Leafs vs Islanders Pick & Prediction

The Leafs are struggling to keep the puck of their net. That’s the one thing you can always count on the Islanders to do well. They’d allowed three goals or less in seven straight games entering play Friday and only once in that span did they allow as many as three goals.

The Islanders are 2-3 in the second game of back to backs. One of those losses was a 3-0 setback to the Leafs at UBS Arena on Nov. 21. Take New York at plus money to win in the Leafs vs Islanders odds on Saturday.

Pick: New York Islanders ML (+145)

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