Oilers vs Bruins Prediction, Odds & Picks (Mar. 5)
- Oilers vs Bruins highlights the Tuesday NHL slate on March 5
- We’ve made our Oilers vs Bruins prediction in the NHL odds
- Read below for Oilers vs Bruins odds, picks, and prediction for Tuesday
The Edmonton Oilers visit the Boston Bruins at TD Garden on Tuesday night in an exciting inter-conference clash. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm ET with the game televised on ESPN+.
The Oilers opened as -125 moneyline favorites with the Bruins at +105 home underdogs. The over/under is set at 6.5 goals.
Let’s get into our Oilers vs Bruins prediction, as we analyze the odds and determine the best bets to make.
Oilers vs Bruins Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers | -1.5 (+192) | -130 | Over 6.0 (-120) |
| Boston Bruins | +1.5 (-235) | +110 | Under 6.0 (+100) |
Edmonton is a -130 moneyline favorite in the Tuesday NHL odds, giving them 57% implied win probability.
Odds as of March 5, 2024, at Caesars Sportsbook. Claim the Caesars promo code to bet on Oilers vs Bruins. North Carolina bettors can check out Caesars Sportsbook in NC for a special pre-reg offer.
Oilers vs Bruins History
These teams met in Edmonton on February 21, with the Bruins prevailing 6-5 in overtime in a wild affair. The Oilers outshot Boston 42-36 and had a 5.25 to 4.0 edge in expected goals but squandered a third-period lead. Edmonton will need to play a more complete game this time around.
| Date | Home-Away | Moneyline | Spread | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/21/2024 | EDM 5 – BOS 6 OT | BOS +126 | BOS / 1.5 -199 | Over 6 |
| 03/09/2023 | BOS 2 – EDM 3 | EDM +134 | EDM / 1.5 -173 | Under 6.5 |
| 02/27/2023 | EDM 2 – BOS 3 | BOS -120 | BOS / 1.5 -215 | Under 6.5 |
| 12/09/2021 | EDM 2 – BOS 3 | BOS +117 | BOS / 1.5 -202 | Under 6 |
| 11/11/2021 | BOS 3 – EDM 5 | EDM +123 | EDM / 1.5 -189 | Over 6 |
Oilers Back to Winning Ways
The Oilers enter on a four-game winning streak and are 8-2-1 since the All-Star break. While not quite as dominant as their 16-game win streak earlier this season, Edmonton’s underlying numbers remain elite.
Their 3.19 expected goals for per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 ranks second in the NHL since the break, while their 2.19 expected goals against per 60 ranks fourth. The Oilers’ 59.26% expected goals share at 5-on-5 leads the league, indicating they are still driving play and outchancing opponents consistently.
CONNOR MCDAVID SHOOTS THE PUCK AND WINS IT IN OVERTIME 🚨
HIS FIRST GOAL IN 11 GAMES 🤯 pic.twitter.com/WmXmIULFHl
— B/R Open Ice (@BR_OpenIce) February 29, 2024
Connor McDavid is scorching hot, riding an 11-game point streak with 97 points in just 57 games played. The generational superstar is on pace to shatter his career-high of 123 points. Leon Draisaitl is also over a point-per-game with 79 in 59 contests.
Winger Zach Hyman has potted 10 goals in his last eight outings and is tied for second in the NHL with 42 tallies on the year. While McDavid and Draisaitl get most of the attention, Hyman is quietly having a monster season.
Goalie Stuart Skinner has been up-and-down but sports a solid 28-13-2 record, 2.64 GAA, and .905 save percentage.
Bruins Struggling to Find Consistency
It’s been a struggle for the Bruins since early February. Boston is just 4-4-5 with only two regulation victories in their last 13 games entering Monday. These struggles have made oddsmakers crown them home underdogs.
Their underlying metrics have also dipped during this stretch – the Bruins rank 14th in expected goals for per 60 and 21st in expected goals against per 60 at 5-on-5 since the break. Their 49.14% expected goals share indicates they are no longer controlling play like they did in the first half.
https://youtu.be/E6B9f1qNlyU?si=NI4-XqrxlPT70G_q
With Patrice Bergeron and David Krejci no longer in the fold, David Pastrnak has carried the offensive load with 87 points in 62 games. However, there’s a huge drop-off after him as Brad Marchand is second on the team with just 53 points.
The goaltending has remained solid, though, with Linus Ullmark going 16-7-3 with a 2.80 GAA and .910 save percentage. He’s Tuesday’s projected starting NHL goalie after Jeremy Swayman started Monday night against Toronto.
Oilers vs Bruins Prediction
The Bruins have really struggled to generate offense lately, ranking 23rd in expected goals for per 60 at 5-on-5 over the last month. Ullmark has also cooled off, going 3-4-2 with an .892 save percentage in his last 10 starts.
Boston is still formidable at home with a 61% points percentage, but they’ve only been a home underdog once all season (a 3-2 OT win vs Toronto on Nov 2).
The Oilers have the rest advantage as Boston played in Toronto on Monday night. Home teams in the second half of a back-to-back have only won 48.9% of games this year compared to 53.3% in all other situations. Edmonton is 7-3 straight up in their last 10 road games.
I like the Oilers to get some revenge and win this game on the road. Edmonton is playing much better hockey right now and should be able to exploit a tired Bruins squad. Boston has really struggled to score at 5-on-5 lately, and I don’t see them keeping up with McDavid and Draisaitl at even strength.
EDM-BOS Pick:
- Oilers ML (-130)
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Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
