Oilers vs Penguins Prediction, Odds & Player Props (Mar. 10)
- The Edmonton Oilers battle the Pittsburgh Penguins on Sunday afternoon
- The Sunday NHL odds favor Connor McDavid and the Oilers
- Read below for Oilers vs Penguins prediction, odds and player props to bet
Connor McDavid and the Edmonton Oilers will aim to snap a two-game losing streak as they face Sidney Crosby and the Pittsburgh Penguins on Sunday Afternoon Hockey. The puck drops at 1:00 PM ET at PPG Paints Arena, with TNT carrying the broadcast.
The Sunday NHL odds heavily favor the Oilers despite the team playing the second half of a road back-to-back. The over/under is set at 6.5 for a matchup featuring two of the NHL’s best players in Connor McDavid and Sidney Crosby
Let’s delve into our Oilers vs Penguins prediction, as we provide odds and player props to target.
Oilers vs Penguins Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oilers | -1.5 (+145) | -155 | Over 6.5 (-115) |
| Penguins | +1.5 (-175) | +130 | Under 6.5 (-105) |
In the Oilers vs Penguins odds, Edmonton is a -155 favorite, giving them an implied win probability of 61%.
Odds as of March 10, 2024, at BetMGM Sportsbook. Claim the BetMGM Sportsbook promo code to bet on Oilers vs Penguins. North Carolina online sports betting launches Monday, meaning NC sports bettors can pre-register at BetMGM North Carolina today for an excellent pre-reg offer.
Oilers vs Penguins History
Edmonton has dominated Pittsburgh of late, winning five straight meetings, all by multiple goals. The last meeting between the two teams was played just under a week ago when the Oilers dominated the Penguins 6-1 at Rogers Place, outshooting them 37-23.
Recent Results
| Date | Home-Away | Money Line (ML) | Puck Line (PL) | Over/Under (O/U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2024 | EDM 6 – PIT 1 | EDM -190 | EDM / -1.5 +129 | Over 6.5 |
| 02/23/2023 | PIT 2 – EDM 7 | EDM -103 | EDM / 1.5 -247 | Over 7 |
| 10/24/2022 | EDM 6 – PIT 3 | EDM -132 | EDM / -1.5 +183 | Over 7 |
| 04/26/2022 | PIT 1 – EDM 5 | EDM +118 | EDM / 1.5 -190 | Under 6.5 |
| 12/01/2021 | EDM 5 – PIT 2 | EDM -129 | EDM / -1.5 +179 | Over 6 |
Due to the Oillers’ offensive firepower and ability to torch the Penguins’ lackluster defense and goaltending, the “over” has been on a 5-1 run in this rivalry. That’s something to consider before making your Oilers vs Penguins prediction in the NHL odds.
OIilers Seeking to End Skid
The Edmonton Oilers enter Sunday afternoon riding a two-game losing streak following a 3-2 shootout loss to Buffalo on Saturday. Before falling to the Sabres, the Oilers dropped a 4-2 decision to the Columbus Blue Jackets on Thursday.
Edmonton is struggling to beat inferior opponents right now, and the Pens propose another challenge in that department. The Oilers have 14 more points than Pittsburgh in the standings, and Edmonton captain Connor McDavid is the best hockey player on the planet.
100 for 97!
Connor McDavid (@cmcdavid97) reaches the 100-point mark for the fourth season in a row. 🤯 pic.twitter.com/7lgi4dxdj2
— NHL (@NHL) March 8, 2024
While McDavid recently hit 100 points, Zach Hyman might be the story of the Oilers’ season. The veteran winger paces the club with 43 goals in 61 games and has found twine in all but three of his past 11 contests.
Hyman is currently available at plus-money to score a goal in the NHL player props, as we like taking advantage of the value. Hyman tends to perform against the Penguins, scoring 10 goals in 17 career games against Pittsburgh. The only team he’s scored more against is Calgary (12).
The Oilers average 3.48 goals per game, while allowing 2.89 goals against. Sunday’s projected starting goalie is Calvin Pickard, who is 8-4-0 with a .909 save percentage and 2.45 goals against average. He’s struggled at times this season but has allowed just four goals in his past two starts.
Penguins Remain Playoff Longshot
The Penguins are currently seven points out of a playoff spot in the 2024 NHL Playoff Bracket and need all the points they can get right now. The team traded star forward Jake Guetnzel at the trade deadline and have managed just one win in their past six games.
The last time Pittsburgh was in action was Saturday afternoon when they were walloped 5-1 by the Boston Bruins. Despite the lopsided score, the Pens actually outshot the Bruins 39-23. Goalie Alex Nedekolvich struggled, allowing five goals on 23 shots.
Despite Sidney Crosby having another great season, the Penguins are actually one of the lowest-scoring teams in the NHL this season (2.87 GF/GP). They are much better at keeping the puck out of their net (2.87 GAA).
With Nedekolvich playing Saturday, Sunday’s projected starting goalie is Tristan Jarry, who is 18-20-4 with a .908 save percentage and 2.68 GAA this season. The Pens continue to be without top forward Bryan Rust due to an upper-body injury.
Oilers vs Penguins Prediction
Is there underdog value on a desperate Penguins team on home ice Saturday? It’s hard to get behind Pittsburgh in this spot considering the team morale is likely not very high at the moment. When Crosby was asked about the message the Guentzel trade sends, he replied, “I don’t know”.
Over the past month, the Penguins have been one of the worst possession teams, sporting a 48.19 XGF%. The Oilers have been one of the top teams in that regard, rocking a 58.04 XG%. Here are some betting trends to note before wagering on Pens vs Oilers:
- Oilers are 5-0 in their last 5 Sunday games.
- Oilers are 8-1 in their last 9 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation.
- Over is 8-2 in Oilers last 10 games playing on 0 days rest.
We’re backing the Oilers in this spot for what should be a high-scoring affair. Jarry has struggled miserably against Edmonton in his career, sporting a 1-3-0 record with a .856 save percentage. We project more of those same struggles as the Pens continue their downward spiral.
EDM-PIT Picks:
- Oilers ML (-155)
- Over 6.5 (-115)
- Zach Hyman Anytime Goal
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Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
