Panthers vs Oilers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Game 2 of Stanley Cup Final

• We’ve made our Panthers vs Oilers prediction for Game 2 of the Stanley Cup Final
• Edmonton leads the best-of-seven series 1-0 and are slight favorites for Game 2
• Read below for my Game 2 Panthers vs Oilers prediction and betting picks

After Leon Draisaitl’s overtime heroics lifted the Edmonton Oilers to a 4-3 victory in Game 1, the Florida Panthers look to bounce back and even the series Friday night at Rogers Place. Online sportsbooks have installed Edmonton as slight home favorites in the Panthers vs Oilers odds.

The defending champions controlled large portions of Wednesday’s opener before a costly delay-of-game penalty swung momentum completely. I’m finding value with the underdog in my Panthers vs Oilers prediction.

Puck drop is set for 8:00 PM ET on TNT, with the series potentially heading back to Florida all square. Let’s dive into how I’m betting Game 2 of the Final.

Panthers vs Oilers Prediction

Wednesday’s opener delivered everything we expect from a Stanley Cup Final. Through regulation, we saw momentum swings, lead changes, and playoff intensity at its peak. The Panthers jumped out to a 3-1 advantage behind goals from Sam Bennett (2) and Brad Marchand before Edmonton stormed back with markers from Viktor Arvidsson and Mattias Ekholm.

Then came overtime drama – Tomas Nosek’s clearing attempt sailed over the glass, gifting Edmonton a power play where Draisaitl buried the winner.

The underlying metrics tell an interesting story. At 5-on-5 play, Florida controlled possession with a 52.32% Corsi For percentage and won the expected goals battle at 53.62%. The Panthers generated 37 scoring chances to Edmonton’s 26 – a dominant 58.73% share. Despite the loss, Paul Maurice’s squad dictated play for long stretches and created quality looks throughout.

Between the pipes, Stuart Skinner edged Sergei Bobrovsky with a 93.33% save percentage compared to 91.89%. However, Bobrovsky’s recent form suggests a bounce-back performance is coming – he’s posted a stellar .932 save percentage and 1.74 GAA over his last 11 starts with 13.43 goals saved above expected. The veteran netminder has been Florida’s backbone throughout their playoff run.

Panthers vs Oilers Advanced Stats – Cup Final

*All advanced stats 5-on-5 only

The critical factor for Game 2? Discipline. Florida’s parade to the penalty box in Game 1, including a delay of game in overtime, proved costly. Meanwhile, the Oilers took a couple of trips to the box themselves, and the Cats converted one power-play opportunity through Marchand. Both coaches will surely emphasize staying out of the box after Wednesday’s penalty-filled affair.

Recent history between these teams points toward another nail-biter. The last four meetings have all been decided by a single goal, dating back to Game 7 of last year’s Stanley Cup Final. With Matthew Tkachuk, Sam Reinhart, and Florida’s top line due for a breakout after posting strong possession numbers without the finish, we should be in for another one-goal thriller.

Panthers vs Oilers Picks

• Panthers Moneyline (-105)
• Under 6 Total Goals (+100)

Florida’s underlying numbers from Game 1 create a compelling case for the road team. They controlled play at even strength, generated more scoring chances, and saw their top players create quality looks without converting. Regression suggests those chances start finding twine in Game 2.

As for the total, multiple factors point toward the under. Both teams scored just two high-danger goals at 5-on-5 in Game 1, meaning the defenses held firm when it mattered most. With coaches likely preaching discipline after the penalty parade, expect fewer power-play opportunities and a tighter-checking affair.

The betting line has already moved from 6.5 to 6.0 at many books, with sharp money backing the under despite 86% of public bets on the over – a classic contrarian spot.

Florida Panthers vs Edmonton Oilers Odds

The total sits at 6 with slight juice on the over at -120. Edmonton comes in as minimal -115 home favorites, while the Panthers offer solid value at -105 on the moneyline.

In the Stanley Cup odds, Edmonton holds -235 odds to win it all compared to Florida’s +190. Connor McDavid remains the heavy Conn Smythe favorite at -155, with Sergei Bobrovsky at +400 and Leon Draisaitl at +425.

Odds as of June 6th at BetMGM Sportsbook. Grab a BetMGM promo code to wager on this game. Alberta residents can wager at Bet99 with the Bet99 promo code.

According to the NHL public betting trends, the majority of recreational money has landed on the over and Edmonton – creating value on both Florida and the under.

The Panthers’ road splits show they’ve gone under in 31 of their last 55 away games (+6.35 units), while this matchup has produced four straight one-goal games. When you combine strong defensive structure with elite goaltending on both sides, the under becomes the sharp play.