Penguins vs Sharks Prediction, Puck Line & Late NHL Picks
By Chris Amberley in NHL Hockey
Published:
- The Penguins and Sharks face-off in Wednesday’s late puck drop at SAP Center
- Both teams have leaked goals all season, setting the stage for a high-scoring affair
- Keep reading for my Penguins vs Sharks prediction, puck line and late NHL picks, below
The Pittsburgh Penguins close out Wednesday’s NHL slate with a visit to the San Jose Sharks at SAP Center. Puck drop is set for 10 p.m. ET (7 p.m. in San Jose).
Neither team has found much rhythm. The Sharks are 8-11-1 and just 3-7-0 over their last 10, though they come in off a win. The Penguins sit at 6-10-2 and are 3-6-1 in their last 10 after dropping their most recent game.
Prediction markets have Pittsburgh as a slight road favorite in the NHL odds. The bigger moneyline wagers are landing on the home side though, and that’s worth a look before you lock anything in. Keep reading for my Penguins vs Sharks prediction, puck line and late NHL picks, below.
Penguins vs Sharks Prediction
I’m starting my Penguins vs Sharks picks with the total, since both clubs have trouble keeping the puck out of their own net.
Pittsburgh has scored 58 goals and allowed 65 through 18 games. That works out to about 6.8 combined goals per Penguins game, already above this 6.5 line. Pittsburgh has also gone Over in seven straight road games.
San Jose’s games have averaged about 6.1 total goals. The Sharks’ offense is the weaker piece with 51 goals in 20 games, but their defense has given up 71, roughly 3.55 per game. Pittsburgh’s 3.61 goals allowed per game is even worse.
The top skaters are producing, too. Sidney Crosby has six points over his last five games, Evgeni Malkin has five assists in that span, and Tommy Novak has four goals. On the other side, Hart Trophy odds candidate Macklin Celebrini has five points in his last five, Ivar Stenberg has three goals and Dmitry Orlov has four assists.
Then there’s the goaltending, which I break down below. Neither projected starter is saving better than .890, so I don’t see either netminder shutting this game down.
Kalshi has Over 6.5 goals trading at 55¢, which translates to a 55% implied probability. I’m happy to take that position in a game featuring two defenses allowing more than 3.5 goals per night. New users can claim the Kalshi promo code and score a bonus to use on tonight’s game.
- Pick: Over 6.5 goals (55¢ on Kalshi)
Penguins vs Sharks Puck Line
These are Kalshi contract prices in cents from early Wednesday morning. The Sharks +1.5 and Under prices come from the NO side of the matching contracts.
Kalshi prices as of 12:29 a.m. ET on November 11. Compare prices across our favorite prediction market apps.
Pittsburgh’s 56¢ moneyline price gives the Penguins about a 56% implied chance of a road win. San Jose sits at 45¢ as the home underdog.
On the puck line, Penguins -1.5 costs 35¢, while Sharks +1.5 is priced at 66¢. If you expect a lopsided road win, a Pittsburgh victory by three or more goals trades at 23¢.
Penguins vs Sharks Betting Splits
The NHL public betting splits show a big gap between ticket count and money wagered.
- Moneyline: Pittsburgh has 82.35% of bets but only 29% of the handle. San Jose has 17.65% of bets and 71% of the handle.
Most bettors are on Pittsburgh, but the average wager on San Jose is much larger. That points to bigger bettors backing the Sharks as home underdogs while the public rides the road favorite.
Penguins vs Sharks Starting Goalies
Neither starter has been confirmed, so check pregame warmups before trading. Pittsburgh is projected to start Arturs Silovs, while San Jose is expected to turn to Yaroslav Askarov.
Silovs is 5-6-1 in 12 games with a 3.35 GAA and .873 save percentage. Askarov has the better numbers at 5-8-0 with a 3.22 GAA and .889 save percentage across 13 appearances.
A goalie switch wouldn’t change much. Pittsburgh’s Sergei Murashov is 1-4-1 with a 3.52 GAA and .880 save percentage, while San Jose’s Alex Nedeljkovic is 3-3-1 with a 3.23 GAA and .895 mark.
How to Watch Penguins vs Sharks
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Penguins at San Jose Sharks
- Date and time: Wednesday, November 11, 2026, 10 p.m. ET (7 p.m. in San Jose)
- Venue: SAP Center at San Jose
- TV: SN-PIT (Pittsburgh), NBCSCA (San Jose)
- Projected goalies: Arturs Silovs (PIT) vs. Yaroslav Askarov (SJ), not confirmed
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
