Predators vs Ducks Prediction, Odds & Wednesday NHL Picks
By Juan Pablo Aravena in NHL Hockey
Published:
- I’ve made my Predators vs Ducks prediction for Wednesday’s late-night matchup at Honda Center
- Two of the West’s hottest teams meet with a combined nine straight wins between them, and one goal-total angle stands out
- See below for my Predators vs Ducks best bets, the full odds board, public betting splits and the projected goalie matchup
Something has to give at Honda Center on Wednesday night. The Nashville Predators bring a four-game winning streak to Southern California, while the Anaheim Ducks have won five in a row.
Both clubs sit on 21 points, but they took different roads to get there. Anaheim has scored 69 goals and allowed 66 through 18 games, while Nashville has played tighter hockey at 52-51 through 17. Puck drop is set for 10 p.m. ET.
The public has already picked a side on the moneyline, but my favorite angle has nothing to do with who wins. Here’s how I’m betting it.
Predators vs Ducks prediction
I’m starting with the total, and my top bet is Over 6.5 goals at -120 with BetMGM. That price carries a 54.5% implied probability, and Anaheim’s recent results give me plenty of reason to pay it.
The Over has cashed in each of the Ducks’ last five games and in four straight at Honda Center. Stretch it out to 10 games and the Over is 8-2, an 80% hit rate.
Anaheim’s season numbers back it up. The Ducks average 3.83 goals per game, the fourth-best mark in the league, but give up 3.67, the third-worst mark. Their power play is clicking at 38.5%, while their penalty kill sits at just 73.0%.
That kill is a problem against a Nashville power play running at 27.9%. The Preds have also been leaky at 5-on-5, allowing 50.35 Corsi Against events per game against 41.76 Corsi For. Add in Anaheim’s .865 team save percentage, and I expect both nets to be busy.
Predators vs Ducks picks
- Game total: Over 6.5 goals (-120 at BetMGM)
- Player to watch: Roman Josi’s shot volume away from home
I’m watching Roman Josi’s shot volume away from Bridgestone Arena. The Preds defenseman has failed to top 2.5 shots on goal in six of his seven road games this season, averaging 2.00 shots in that stretch.
Cutter Gauthier is the Duck I’m watching. He leads Anaheim with 13 points over his last five games and has topped 3.5 shots on goal in seven straight home games. BetMGM hasn’t posted a price on his shots prop yet, so Gauthier Over 3.5 shots stays on my watch list rather than my card.
Over 6.5 is the only priced bet on my card. Josi and Gauthier are names to watch if the shots board opens.
Predators vs Ducks odds
BetMGM odds as of 12:49 a.m. ET, November 11. Compare NHL odds before puck drop.
Anaheim is a -149 home favorite, which works out to a 59.8% implied probability. Nashville sits at +125, or 44.4%. Strip out the vig and the Ducks land at about 57.4% to win, with the Preds at 42.6%.
A $10 bet on Anaheim returns $6.71 in profit, while the same bet on Nashville pays $12.50. On the puck line, the Ducks are +150 to win by two or more, and the Preds cost -182 at +1.5.
Predators vs Ducks public betting splits
Sportradar betting splits show the public is all over the Ducks on the moneyline.
- Moneyline: Anaheim has 91.01% of the handle and 89.94% of the bets. Nashville has 8.99% of the handle and 10.06% of the bets.
- Puck line: Splits are not yet available.
- Total: Splits are not yet available.
That’s about as lopsided as a moneyline split gets. Public money doesn’t guarantee value, but if you like Nashville to snap Anaheim’s streak, you’re standing against roughly nine in 10 tickets.
Predators vs Ducks starting goalies
Neither starter has been confirmed. Juuse Saros is Nashville’s projected starter, carrying a .918 save percentage and 2.42 GAA with a 6-3-4 record over 13 games.
Anaheim is projected to go with Laurent Brossoit, who is 4-0-0 with an .877 save percentage and 3.26 GAA. Lukas Dostal has handled most of the Ducks’ workload this season, so he remains a realistic option.
Saros holds the edge on paper, but Brossoit’s numbers are one more reason I’m leaning on the Over. Check confirmed starters before puck drop.
Juan Pablo is a sports writer and betting analyst with over 15 years' experience in the industry. He is an expert in European and Latin American soccer, as well as NBA, MLB, NHL, NFL, college sports, and EuroLeague. He was born and raised in Chile and is fluent in Spanish, English, and Portuguese.