First Presidential Debate Odds, Over/Unders, and Best Bets for Trump vs Biden

• The first United States Presidential Debate of 2020 will take place tonight at 9:00 PM ET
• The debate will take place at Case Western Reserve University in Cleveland, OH, with FOX News’ Chris Wallace as the moderator
• Sportsbooks have released a number of prop bets on what Donald Trump and Joe Biden will (or won’t) say

The first United States presidential debate in the 2020 election cycle will get underway tonight at 9:00 PM ET. The 2020 election odds show that that former Vice President Joe Biden is the favorite entering the first debate but a lot can change and quickly.

With all sorts of props up on the board for tonight’s main event, let’s take a look and see where there’s some betting value.

First Debate Props and Odds

Odds as of September 29th. *Non-facts determined by The New York Times’ fact-checker report.

Over-Under Non-Facts Said by Biden

The total for non-facts from Joe Biden is just 1.5. Considering Biden has been a gaffe machine on the campaign trail and in previous primary debates – he recently said 200 million people died from COVID-19 – we should expect at least two here.

Woke up this morning and found out I was NOT one of the 200 million people who died by the end of Biden's short talk.

Retweet if you also lived!#ISurvivedBiden pic.twitter.com/6NPTMoO7Cd

— Brick Suit (@Brick_Suit) September 21, 2020

It’s hard to say if Biden is slowing down, mentally, or if he simply got tripped up at recent debates, but between mixing up his wife and sister, forgetting the words to the Declaration of Independence, or simply botching facts, he’s had plenty of verbal slip-ups. Expect more tonight.

Value With Biden “Come On, Man” Props

There are a couple of props related to Biden saying one of his favorite catch phrases, which is “Come on, Man”. He tends to have a number of crutches like this including “The fact of the matter is …” and “Number one …” when he starts listing things.

Expect to hear at least three instances of “Come on, man” tonight; he often throws these in when he doesn’t want to directly call President Donald Trump a liar. There will probably be a lot of back-and-forth between the two and Biden will end at least a few of the exchanges with this.

There is also a prop on what Biden will say first: “Come on, man” or “Scranton”. It’s likely that we hear “Scranton” first. Biden is from Scranton, Pennsylvania, and one of the ways that he has tried to differentiate himself from President Trump is to highlight that he’s a small-town guy.

It would make sense for Biden to say that in his introduction where he can clearly differentiate himself as being a blue-collar, for-the-people type of candidate juxtaposed with Trump’s rich boy, billionaire presentation. Expect to hear “Scranton” early.

What Will Trump Say First: ‘Fake News’ Or ‘China Virus’?

Trump has a number of common go-tos that rile up his base and ‘Fake News’ is a classic. For better or worse, he goes to it frequently and he’ll have plenty of opportunity to do so. From his recently reported tax returns to many other areas where he feels attacked by the media, he’s likely to call out the ‘Fake News’.

In terms of the ‘China Virus’, it’s a harsh phrase that rubs some people the wrong way. It’s something we’re more likely to hear at one of his campaign rallies than a Presidential Debate.