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Odds the Next US President Is a Woman Set at a Long +350; Female VP Also a +200 Underdog

Elizabeth Warren giving speech
At average odds of +780, Elizabeth Warren is the top female contender to be elected President of the United States in 2020. Photo by Gage Skidmore (Wikimedia Commons) [CC License].
  • Sportsbooks are offering +350 odds that the next President of the United States will be a woman
  • Sportsbooks are laying a line of +200 that the next Vice-President will be female
  • Elizabeth Warren (+780) is the leading contender to be President among women

What are the chances the next President of the United States will be a woman? Could the next US Vice-President be female?

Sportsbooks are laying odds against either outcome.

Odds are +350 that the winner of the 2020 US Presidential election will be a woman. The sportsbook isn’t as down on the chances of there being a female Vice-President in 2020. They are listing those odds at +200.

There has never been a female President or Vice-President in US history. Democrat Elizabeth Warren is the top female contender in the 2020 Presidential election odds. She’s at average odds of +780.

Gender of Next US President

Gender Odds
Male -500
Female +350

Odds taken on Dec. 4

Kamala Harris pulled the plug on her bid for the 2020 Democratic Presidential nomination on Tuesday. She was originally one of the top challengers for the nod. Her campaign faded badly in recent months, though. Her fundraising also slipped significantly.

The departure of Harris leaves Warren as the only woman among the top seven contenders for President. However, even her support has been waning of late.

It’s been a rough couple of months for Warren’s candidacy. Across the leading sportsbooks on October 10, she held her best odds to be President at +230. But those numbers have been steadily climbing ever since.

By the end of October, Warren was at +260. The conclusion of November saw her odds skyrocketing to +630. The first cross-section taken in December showed Warren slipping further out of contention at +780.

Warren’s detractors insist that her policies, including Medicare for all and free college tuition are too left-leaning socialist to resonate with the voters in the American midwest who helped give Donald Trump the Presidency in 2016.

Still, when you crunch the numbers, she’s the only woman currently in with even a chance of becoming President. Among the other female candidates remaining in the Democratic race,the sportsbook lists Amy Klobuchar at odds of +11500. Tulsi Gabbard is at +12000. Marianne Williamson is a distant +120000.

Renewed Calls for Clinton?

Hillary Clinton became the first woman to run for President when she lost to Trump in 2016. Oddly enough, she’s given a line of +3300. Clinton isn’t even running for President.

On the Republican side of the ledger, former US Ambassador to the United Nations Niki Haley is listed at +8000. But it would take a Trump conviction on impeachment charges to open up the Republican race. That’s not going to happen.

Pick: No (+350)

Gender of Next US Vice-President

Gender Odds
Male -260
Female +200

Two women – Democrat Geraldine Ferraro (1984) and Republican Sarah Palin (2012) – were candidates for Vice-President. Both were part of the losing ticket.

Could 2020 bring a third female Vice-Presidential candidate?

The sportsbook isn’t throwing support behind that notion. However, the +200 odds aren’t as long as the line on a female President. It’s worth a look.

Harris remains an intriguing possibility. Her legal background might make her a better choice for Attorney-General. Warren probably isn’t going to be given VP consideration if she doesn’t win the Presidential nod.

Klobuchar, though, is a real contender. She carries a powerful presence in the midwest as Governor of Minnesota. That’s an area Democrats must carry in 2020.

Gabbard is a wild card in this scenario. Many Democrats view her policies as being too close to Republican. That quality could give her appeal to moderate Republicans weary of the Trump circus in the Oval Office.

Pick: Yes (+200)

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