- Sportsbooks are offering +350 odds that the next President of the United States will be a woman
- Sportsbooks are laying a line of +200 that the next Vice-President will be female
- Elizabeth Warren (+780) is the leading contender to be President among women
What are the chances the next President of the United States will be a woman? Could the next US Vice-President be female?
Sportsbooks are laying odds against either outcome.
Odds are +350 that the winner of the 2020 US Presidential election will be a woman. The sportsbook isn’t as down on the chances of there being a female Vice-President in 2020. They are listing those odds at +200.
There has never been a female President or Vice-President in US history. Democrat Elizabeth Warren is the top female contender in the 2020 Presidential election odds. She’s at average odds of +780.
Gender of Next US President
Odds taken on Dec. 4
Kamala Harris pulled the plug on her bid for the 2020 Democratic Presidential nomination on Tuesday. She was originally one of the top challengers for the nod. Her campaign faded badly in recent months, though. Her fundraising also slipped significantly.
It has been the honor of my life to be your candidate. We will keep up the fight. pic.twitter.com/RpZhx3PENl
— Kamala Harris (@KamalaHarris) December 3, 2019
The departure of Harris leaves Warren as the only woman among the top seven contenders for President. However, even her support has been waning of late.
It’s been a rough couple of months for Warren’s candidacy. Across the leading sportsbooks on October 10, she held her best odds to be President at +230. But those numbers have been steadily climbing ever since.
We're all deeply grateful for @KamalaHarris's leadership on issues from protecting our democracy and advocating for our teachers to ending the Black maternal mortality crisis—and I know my friend will continue fighting for justice. pic.twitter.com/8YBdduQyo5
— Elizabeth Warren (@ewarren) December 4, 2019
By the end of October, Warren was at +260. The conclusion of November saw her odds skyrocketing to +630. The first cross-section taken in December showed Warren slipping further out of contention at +780.
Warren’s detractors insist that her policies, including Medicare for all and free college tuition are too left-leaning socialist to resonate with the voters in the American midwest who helped give Donald Trump the Presidency in 2016.
I wouldn’t be surprised if we see a renewed push for Hillary to run. A lot of my friends who were big Hillary supporters in 2016 got behind Kamala. Still shocking she dropped before the debate.
I’m for Amy Klobuchar and Warren 2nd. Please check them out if you were Kamala.
— Amy Siskind ?️? (@Amy_Siskind) December 3, 2019
Still, when you crunch the numbers, she’s the only woman currently in with even a chance of becoming President. Among the other female candidates remaining in the Democratic race,the sportsbook lists Amy Klobuchar at odds of +11500. Tulsi Gabbard is at +12000. Marianne Williamson is a distant +120000.
Renewed Calls for Clinton?
Hillary Clinton became the first woman to run for President when she lost to Trump in 2016. Oddly enough, she’s given a line of +3300. Clinton isn’t even running for President.
On the Republican side of the ledger, former US Ambassador to the United Nations Niki Haley is listed at +8000. But it would take a Trump conviction on impeachment charges to open up the Republican race. That’s not going to happen.
Pick: No (+350)
Gender of Next US Vice-President
Two women – Democrat Geraldine Ferraro (1984) and Republican Sarah Palin (2012) – were candidates for Vice-President. Both were part of the losing ticket.
Could 2020 bring a third female Vice-Presidential candidate?
Hey New Hampshire! Snow canceled flight so we’re driving from NYC to you (as in now)! Trump didn’t call me snow woman for nothing.
— Amy Klobuchar (@amyklobuchar) December 3, 2019
The sportsbook isn’t throwing support behind that notion. However, the +200 odds aren’t as long as the line on a female President. It’s worth a look.
Harris remains an intriguing possibility. Her legal background might make her a better choice for Attorney-General. Warren probably isn’t going to be given VP consideration if she doesn’t win the Presidential nod.
— Jim Mize (@big_mize) November 30, 2019
Klobuchar, though, is a real contender. She carries a powerful presence in the midwest as Governor of Minnesota. That’s an area Democrats must carry in 2020.
Gabbard is a wild card in this scenario. Many Democrats view her policies as being too close to Republican. That quality could give her appeal to moderate Republicans weary of the Trump circus in the Oval Office.
Pick: Yes (+200)
Let's have fun and keep it civil.